2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[Rep Jessica]

UMichVoter
@umichvoter99
·
2m
343,000+ people have voted in Harris County in just 3 days of early voting

2016 Total Turnout:  1,338,000

[It’s so Joever]

UMichVoter
@umichvoter99
·
2m
343,000+ people have voted in Harris County in just 3 days of early voting

2016 Total Turnout:  1,338,000

Yikes.
If those numbers aren’t some strange anomaly, that’s pretty bad news for Trump.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1316880132641050624

yeah something is going on in Texas.  Beto-mentum?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Sorry for the delay!


Day 2 of early voting in Texas (In-person + VBM)

HARRIS COUNTY (Houston)
2012:   142,764      7.1%
2016:   205,390      9.2%
2018:   181,916      7.8%
2020:   287,531    11.6%

DALLAS COUNTY (Dallas)
2012:    84,942       7.2%
2016:   134,235    10.4%
2018:   136,982    10.3%
2020:   152,209    10.9%

BEXAR COUNTY (San Antonio)
2012:    73,540       8.0%
2016:    92,737       8.9%
2018:    83,179       7.6%
2020:   119,922    10.2%

TARRANT COUNTY (Fort Worth)
2012:    87,172      8.9%
2016:   110,338   10.2%
2018:   107,360     9.6%
2020:   123,726   10.3%

TRAVIS COUNTY (Austin)
2012:    38,494     6.1%
2016:    84,438   11.6%
2018:    83,162   10.7%
2020:    97,083   11.4%

DENTON COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:    30,518     7.9%
2016:    42,555     9.2%
2018:    45,741     9.2%
2020:    84,671   15.0%

COLLIN COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:    39,591     8.6%
2016:    68,241   12.7%
2018:    74,273   12.8%
2020:    84,642   13.1%

EL PASO COUNTY (El Paso)
2012:    18,755     4.9%
2016:    36,173     8.5%
2018:    39,603     8.7%
2020:    53,052   10.9%

WILLIAMSON COUNTY (Austin suburbs)
2012:    21,694     8.6%
2016:    41,006   13.7%
2018:    44,290   13.3%
2020:    56,447   15.0%

HIDALGO COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:    25,418     8.3%
2016:    39,494   11.7%
2018:    33,296     9.2%
2020:    43,097   11.0%

MONTGOMERY COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:    25,476     9.6%
2016:    33,213   10.7%
2018:    32,175     9.7%
2020:    33,550     9.1%

CAMERON COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:     9,280      5.1%
2016:    14,956     7.6%
2018:    16,030     7.8%
2020:    24,587   11.2%

NUECES COUNTY (Corpus Christi)
2012:    12,631     6.6%
2016:    17,279     8.7%
2018:    20,021     9.8%
2020:    27,371   12.9%

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1316880132641050624

yeah something is going on in Texas.  Beto-mentum?

I want to believe

[Terry the Fat Shark]

for more context:

https://twitter.com/zachdespart/status/1316882756815773696

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/NCSBE/status/1316887674301652992

[Minnesota Mike]

Biggest day so far for ballots processed in Broward County. Over 25,000 so far and they appear to be still counting. Previous high was 17,781. Big number is very likely due to ballots left over from yesterday when they only processed 4,093.

https://tqv.vrswebapps.com/?state=FL&county=bro

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/davebjerke/status/1316898803841142785

[GP270watch]

Biggest day so far for ballots processed in Broward County. Over 25,000 so far and they appear to be still counting. Previous high was 17,781. Big number is very likely due to ballots left over from yesterday when they only processed 4,093.

https://tqv.vrswebapps.com/?state=FL&county=bro

Monday was a postal holiday as well.

[Non Swing Voter]

Who thinks we can hit 35 million votes by the end of next week?

[Holmes]

Who thinks we can hit 35 million votes by the end of next week?

It's possible. More states are starting early voting next week, including Florida. And mail ballots are starting to come in from CO, WA and UT.

[The Mikado]

Welp.

https://twitter.com/JudgeClayJ/status/1316900939819790336

[Non Swing Voter]

Who thinks we can hit 35 million votes by the end of next week?

It's possible. More states are starting early voting next week, including Florida. And mail ballots are starting to come in from CO, WA and UT.

I think if tomorrow ends at around 21 million that will be a good sign.  I think the increased early voting + mail ballots starting to come back in some of the bigger states could get us some 4 or 5 million days next week.  Here in Virginia extra early voting locations are starting to open up.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Welp.

https://twitter.com/JudgeClayJ/status/1316900939819790336

But muh cookie poll

[DINGO Joe]

Who thinks we can hit 35 million votes by the end of next week?

I'd expect 40 million possible more as virtually every state will be reporting something by that point.

[republican1993]

Does Ohio look terrible for Biden at the moment? only 47k in Cuyahoga so far?

[Holmes]

Does Ohio look terrible for Biden at the moment? only 47k in Cuyahoga so far?

Really depends on whether that's because people aren't returning their ballots or if the county is being slow to process returned ballots. For example, take a look at Cook County in Illinois... it's at 1% returned, but I'm willing to bet it's just the county dragging their feet when it comes to processing the ballots or reporting numbers.

[Gass3268]

Does Ohio look terrible for Biden at the moment? only 47k in Cuyahoga so far?

Really depends on whether that's because people aren't returning their ballots or if the county is being slow to process returned ballots. For example, take a look at Cook County in Illinois... it's at 1% returned, but I'm willing to bet it's just the county dragging their feet when it comes to processing the ballots or reporting numbers.

Yeah, Northeast Ohio looks to be a bit behind.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Does Ohio look terrible for Biden at the moment? only 47k in Cuyahoga so far?

Really depends on whether that's because people aren't returning their ballots or if the county is being slow to process returned ballots. For example, take a look at Cook County in Illinois... it's at 1% returned, but I'm willing to bet it's just the county dragging their feet when it comes to processing the ballots or reporting numbers.

I feel like Cuyahoga is known for reporting slow on election night, so it wouldn't surprise me if they are behind before the election as well.

[Holmes]

Does Ohio look terrible for Biden at the moment? only 47k in Cuyahoga so far?

Really depends on whether that's because people aren't returning their ballots or if the county is being slow to process returned ballots. For example, take a look at Cook County in Illinois... it's at 1% returned, but I'm willing to bet it's just the county dragging their feet when it comes to processing the ballots or reporting numbers.

I feel like Cuyahoga is known for reporting slow on election night, so it wouldn't surprise me if they are behind before the election as well.

Yes, they're slow, but that's why Ohio was able to be called for Obama early and Karl Rove had that meltdown on Fox.

[Flabuckeye]

There is only one early voting site per county in Ohio.  All of Cleveland to one site. Ridiculous.
Same in Cincy and Columbus. Thank you to Republicans in the governors mansion and controlling the legislature. 

On another front anyone have any intel why Miami Dade’s numbers didn’t move at all today?

[Rep Jessica]

FLORIDA

2,242,712 votes cast

Democratic 1,110,343 (49.5%)

Republican 672,707 (30.0%)

Others 459,662 (20.5%)

Dem lead increases to 437,636 ~170k ballots processed today

[Bootes Void]

Florida could be 700k lead for dems before election day if this holds up. i remember people saying 500 k would be sufficient but that will be reached easily

[Non Swing Voter]

Who thinks we can hit 35 million votes by the end of next week?

I'd expect 40 million possible more as virtually every state will be reporting something by that point.

cool so our thinking is

35 million = low

40 million = on pace

45+ million = huge

?