2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread  (Read 167901 times)
It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1150 on: October 13, 2020, 03:31:55 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 13, 2020, 02:42:28 PM
Pretty incredible. 5% of 2016 turnout in Harris County in an 8-hour span 20 days before Election Day.
That’s...not bad.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1151 on: October 13, 2020, 03:32:20 PM »
Can we get the arbitrary 600 k?
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1152 on: October 13, 2020, 03:33:39 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 13, 2020, 03:13:53 PM
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 13, 2020, 03:12:34 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 13, 2020, 02:36:14 PM


Feeling good about Biden netting that 300k margin out of here.

@OSR

Is that what he needs to have a chance at winning statewide?

300k margin out of Harris would essentially halve the 2018 Senate margin statewide. O’Rourke netted 200k out of there, but with relatively low turnout.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1153 on: October 13, 2020, 03:35:54 PM »
Quote from: riceowl on October 13, 2020, 03:30:41 PM
Quote from: Crumpets on October 13, 2020, 03:14:22 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 13, 2020, 02:36:14 PM


This may be the millennial in me showing, but I can't imagine "Hedwig Village" as being anything other than a massive stare of owls.

Haha! We used to run through there for cross country practice.

Interesting story [checks notes] riceOWL. I rest my case.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1154 on: October 13, 2020, 03:49:42 PM »
Really excited to see if Hidalgo can get close to 30k today, and Cameron over 10k.
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Stockdale for Veep
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« Reply #1155 on: October 13, 2020, 04:16:31 PM »
Republicans say gun control would never work. All Dems need to do is point to their voter suppression tactics as proof that it would. If you put up enough barriers, you will stop plenty of lazy/unmotivated people. But as 2018, and hopefully 2020, shows, you cannot stop someone who is hellbent and has a plan.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #1156 on: October 13, 2020, 04:27:22 PM »
For any of our Texas posters, when can we expect today's turnout numbers to be released? Later tonight or tomorrow?
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #1157 on: October 13, 2020, 04:33:14 PM »
Quote from: Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia on October 13, 2020, 04:27:22 PM
For any of our Texas posters, when can we expect today's turnout numbers to be released? Later tonight or tomorrow?
IIRC from 2016 and 2018 I think its posted on the Secretary of States website early the next morning.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #1158 on: October 13, 2020, 04:38:03 PM »


Update from Dallas.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1159 on: October 13, 2020, 04:44:23 PM »
100,100 with still 3.5 hours left
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1160 on: October 13, 2020, 04:54:18 PM »
A good site for Arizona early voting results.

https://www.saguarostrategies.com/arizona-ballot-returns

Dem 44,807
Rep 28,782
Other 19,786
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #1161 on: October 13, 2020, 05:02:29 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2020, 05:14:15 PM by Michelle O' »
My sister said she receives her ballot today so we should start seeing ballots in Richland county SC come in soon.
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Holmes
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« Reply #1162 on: October 13, 2020, 05:20:56 PM »
You can track live voter turnout in Tarrant here, and even see turnout by the hour.

https://www.tarrantcounty.com/en/elections/Upcoming-Election-Information/Live_Turn_Out_Widget.html
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1163 on: October 13, 2020, 05:23:50 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2020, 06:21:46 PM by libertpaulian »
I early voted today in Northwest Indiana!  It was about a 50-minute ordeal, including the time it took to vote.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #1164 on: October 13, 2020, 05:33:16 PM »

I think we can.  Maybe we should up arbitrary goal to 700k?
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indietraveler
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« Reply #1165 on: October 13, 2020, 06:07:18 PM »
will we get any data on early voters who are also first time voters in their respective states?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1166 on: October 13, 2020, 06:11:57 PM »
Quote from: indietraveler on October 13, 2020, 06:07:18 PM
will we get any data on early voters who are also first time voters in their respective states?

We have some data for that in Florida:
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1167 on: October 13, 2020, 06:13:01 PM »
Quote from: indietraveler on October 13, 2020, 06:07:18 PM
will we get any data on early voters who are also first time voters in their respective states?

http://georgiavotes.com

this site has it for Georgia
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #1168 on: October 13, 2020, 06:16:15 PM »

Depends if you are looking at just Absentees or Absentees & In Person Early Voting. If it is just absentees 700K would seem to me to be the minimum since Democrats have requested nearly 800K ballots than Republicans.
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indietraveler
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« Reply #1169 on: October 13, 2020, 06:16:36 PM »
Great! I think that's probably the best measurement at this point to try to conclude anything on the final result? The potential for a Biden blowout seems to be there based on the data. Even if he wins some of these states by 1% or so that fact won't be the talking point.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #1170 on: October 13, 2020, 06:46:40 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2020, 07:19:42 PM by Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia »

If that's just today's in-person numbers and not VBM, then Jesus! (Fine, I guess I'll contain my anticipation until we more official numbers from here and the rest of the state)

42,402 early votes from today + 32,089 VBM ballots (not including today) = ~74,491 early votes

TARRANT COUNTY (Fort Worth) (On first day of early voting)
2012:   52,225       5.4% of registered voters
2016:   65,156       6.1%
2018:   62,971       5.6%
~2020: 74,491       6.2%
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GP270watch
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« Reply #1171 on: October 13, 2020, 06:53:36 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on October 13, 2020, 06:16:15 PM

Depends if you are looking at just Absentees or Absentees & In Person Early Voting. If it is just absentees 700K would seem to me to be the minimum since Democrats have requested nearly 800K ballots than Republicans.

Democrats are always left with a lot more unreturned ballots. We will really get a sense of where Democrats are when early voting starts in the big counties on Monday 19th.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1172 on: October 13, 2020, 06:56:11 PM »
Quote from: Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia on October 13, 2020, 06:46:40 PM

If that's just today's in-person numbers and not VBM, then Jesus!

42,402 early votes from today + 32,089 VBM ballots (not including today) = ~74,491 early votes

TARRANT COUNTY (Fort Worth) (On first day of early voting)
2012:   52,225       5.4% of registered voters
2016:   65,156       6.1%
2018:   62,971       5.6%
~2020: 74,491       6.2%
Doesn’t seem like a huge increase.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1173 on: October 13, 2020, 07:05:54 PM »
My mom's in line waiting to vote (in Coppell) despite polls already closing in the north Dallas county suburbs. Voting Democratic the entire way.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1174 on: October 13, 2020, 07:06:01 PM »
California's already at 5% turnout.
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