2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 11, 2024, 11:37:50 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread 		« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 38 39 40 41 42 [43] 44 45 46 47 48 ... 120
Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread  (Read 169830 times)
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,098
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1050 on: October 12, 2020, 06:17:57 PM »
Quote from: Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia on October 12, 2020, 06:11:41 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 12, 2020, 05:48:56 PM
Crazy registration numbers in Texas.




"It's not there yet"

Theoretically, Biden wouldn’t even need to flip any Trump ‘16 voters to win it. But if I point that out I’m a hack
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1051 on: October 12, 2020, 06:20:44 PM »
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1837208868

Dem lead 375k in Florida now.
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,551


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1052 on: October 12, 2020, 06:23:37 PM »

Hard to see them *not* hitting 600k at this point.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1053 on: October 12, 2020, 06:24:55 PM »

I'd hope so.  Particularly because Miami and Orange have been slow to report.  If it picks up this week I think we could be at 500k by Friday.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,545
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1054 on: October 12, 2020, 06:28:20 PM »
Ds will benefit from a large lead in absentee and other mail-in ballots, to counter the Trump Election Day edge that we'll see.
Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,098
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1055 on: October 12, 2020, 06:40:06 PM »
Alright bitches, turns out I will probably be too busy with work to vote tomorrow or Wednesday as promised, but Thursday or Friday, I’ll come back here to report my first vote in a Texas general election.

Biden +1. Only 214,980 votes to go to turn TX blue!
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,545
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1056 on: October 12, 2020, 06:40:55 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 12, 2020, 06:40:06 PM
Alright bitches, turns out I will probably be too busy with work to vote tomorrow or Wednesday as promised, but Thursday or Friday, I’ll come back here to report my first vote in a Texas general election.

Biden +1
best of luck. you are doing the Lord's work.
I only wish I could do the same. Sad
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,827


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1057 on: October 12, 2020, 06:58:20 PM »

Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1058 on: October 12, 2020, 07:01:00 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 12, 2020, 06:58:20 PM


I read that about 1% of all the polling machines in the entire state of Georgia are at the State Farm Arena.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,827


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1059 on: October 12, 2020, 07:22:19 PM »
I'm hearing that the early in-person vote in Georgia today (the first day of early voting) will exceed 120K.
Logged
MRS DONNA SHALALA
cuddlebuns
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 596
South Africa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1060 on: October 12, 2020, 07:37:31 PM »

Dems with a 7 point lead in Sumter county (The Villages) seems significant.
Logged
ExSky
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 543


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1061 on: October 12, 2020, 07:49:22 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 12, 2020, 06:40:06 PM
Alright bitches, turns out I will probably be too busy with work to vote tomorrow or Wednesday as promised, but Thursday or Friday, I’ll come back here to report my first vote in a Texas general election.

Biden +1. Only 214,980 votes to go to turn TX blue!
214979 Wink
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1062 on: October 12, 2020, 08:14:18 PM »
OVER 10 MILLION VOTES

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html
Logged
republican1993
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 388
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1063 on: October 12, 2020, 08:19:44 PM »

it's still very early and republicans have been crawling back in most of these republican counties to break even.
Logged
new_patomic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1064 on: October 12, 2020, 08:31:42 PM »
Democrats seem to have successfully hammered home the whole 'get your ballot in early' message.
Logged
new_patomic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1065 on: October 12, 2020, 08:55:31 PM »
Logged
GP270watch
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,619


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1066 on: October 12, 2020, 08:58:12 PM »
« Edited: October 12, 2020, 09:01:47 PM by GP270watch »

What we're seeing is many Democrats really don't like Trump but not much else yet to really know what's going on in Florida.

This is the total registered voters in Sumter:

Democrat: 24,932
Republican: 59,788
Others: 20,908

Total:105,628

 Democrats are already at 27.4% turnout vs. Republicans 9.6%.  There is a lot more Republican vote to go. The margin out of Sumter is killer it was 30k for Trump in 2016 and 31k Scott in the 2018 midterm.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,671
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1067 on: October 12, 2020, 09:09:20 PM »


https://www.vpap.org/visuals/visual/absentee-ballots-precinct-nov-2020/
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1068 on: October 12, 2020, 09:12:19 PM »
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1069 on: October 12, 2020, 10:20:16 PM »
Quote from: new_patomic on October 12, 2020, 08:55:31 PM


Voter suppression enthusiasm!
Logged
Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1070 on: October 12, 2020, 10:25:14 PM »
Quote from: kph14 on October 12, 2020, 05:01:21 PM
Nevada has posted its first numbers (so far only four rural counties). Funny enough, Democrats lead the returns in all four counties which all have a lot more registered Republicans than Democrats

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9054

Add the first results from Washoe County.

October 12, 2020

Democratic - 6,090
Republican - 2,409
Nonpartisan - 2,096
Total -10,595

https://www.washoecounty.us/voters/elections/20_gen_ab_ev_reports.php
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,551


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1071 on: October 12, 2020, 10:52:11 PM »
« Edited: October 12, 2020, 10:58:51 PM by soundchaser »
Does anyone know what the split was in Washoe on the first day of 2016? Those numbers look pretty promising to me.

EDIT: I found Ralston’s early voting blog from that year. Either it was R +500 or D +1,000 in absentees in Washoe on the equivalent day. (There was an error at the SOS’s office, but I’m not sure which is the correct number.)

So either way, a 4,000 vote lead already is eyebrow-raising.
Logged
Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1072 on: October 12, 2020, 10:57:57 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on October 12, 2020, 10:52:11 PM
Does anyone know what the split was in Washoe on the first day of 2016? Those numbers look pretty promising to me.

Really tough to tell. Absentee voting was not a big thing in Nevada in 2016, the vast majority of early voters voted in person (In person early voting starts Saturday). Voter registration is almost dead even in Washoe county so good numbers so far for Democrats but extremely early.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1073 on: October 12, 2020, 10:58:47 PM »
Nevada has been the only Hillary state I was worried about Biden holding but if this trend continues for another week or so then I'm not worrying anymore.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1074 on: October 12, 2020, 11:54:24 PM »
Georgia: 126,876 in-person votes cast on the first day (plus 35,353 mail ballots). Pre-10/12 vote tallies/percentages by demographic can be found here.

Quote from: Questionable Intent on October 12, 2020, 11:50:26 PM
After today's update of voters, the electorate got quite a bit blacker (33.6 -> 34.4) and substantially younger (18-29: 5.2 -> 6.1; 65+: 60.0 -> 52.5).

601,247 voters have cast ballots as of Monday.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 38 39 40 41 42 [43] 44 45 46 47 48 ... 120  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.067 seconds with 13 queries.