2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

The USPS stuff might have backfired on Trump. It looks like it scared a lot of Democrats into sending their ballots in as early as possible.

I knew it'd backfire on him as soon as it became headline news. Yet we had a few good months of bedwetters still saying it'd lead to Trump's reelection and Democrats being too weak & submissive to do anything about it

[Non Swing Voter]

The USPS stuff might have backfired on Trump. It looks like it scared a lot of Democrats into sending their ballots in as early as possible.

I knew it'd backfire on him as soon as it became headline news. Yet we had a few good months of bedwetters still saying it'd lead to Trump's reelection and Democrats being too weak & submissive to do anything about it

Well, to be fair Democrats have tended to cower and not do anything over the last 4 years so it was a reasonable assumption.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/edit#gid=1837208868

Dems up 357k in Florida now

[It’s so Joever]

Finally received my ballot. I am excited to vote.

[GP270watch]

Finally received my ballot. I am excited to vote.

Yesterday you said tomorrow, so JUST DO IT!

[NOVA Green]

We just got our Oregon Voters' Pamphlet in the mail from the SoS a few days back...

For everyone not aware every Registered Voter gets one in the mail for every election within their jurisdictions which provides everything from general voting information, Party Platform statements, ballot initiative measures in full including arguments "for and against", Political Candidate Statements, etc...

Our specific Voters Pamphlet is about 160-170 pages, and I plan on reading the whole thing before our ballots arrive on schedule and on time through the USPS.

Oregon VbM ballots are scheduled to be mailed out 10/13 to all Registered Voters within OR, so once me and my spouse receive ours we will fill them out ASAP and drop them off at the closest ballot drop-box, which is less than a 10 Minute Drive from where we live.

The most difficult ones are always the Non-Partisan races including Judicial, Municipal, and County elected offices since it takes a bit more time to read through to figure out what they really stand for, especially living in a heavily Trump County.

[swf541]

Got my ballot today

[It’s so Joever]

Finally received my ballot. I am excited to vote.

Yesterday you said tomorrow, so JUST DO IT!

Did it today.
Voting out Gardner/Trump and against the local school district felt so satisfying. I’ve been waiting for this moment for years. There seems to be a lot of enthusiasm to vote this year.

[Non Swing Voter]

This is a pretty nice summary of the absentee and early voting schedule by state.

[brucejoel99]

This is a pretty nice summary of the absentee and early voting schedule by state.

Eh, I can point out at least 1 inaccuracy, given that I got my ballot in the mail on the 29th of Sept. & that chart says FL doesn't start mailing ballots 'til Oct. 1st.

[Non Swing Voter]

This is a pretty nice summary of the absentee and early voting schedule by state.

Eh, I can point out at least 1 inaccuracy, given that I got my ballot in the mail on the 29th of Sept. & that chart says FL doesn't start mailing ballots 'til Oct. 1st.

well it's a good general guideline.  Some of these dates are somewhat in flux as well due to ongoing court battles.

[Skill and Chance]

This is a pretty nice summary of the absentee and early voting schedule by state.

Eh, I can point out at least 1 inaccuracy, given that I got my ballot in the mail on the 29th of Sept. & that chart says FL doesn't start mailing ballots 'til Oct. 1st.

well it's a good general guideline.  Some of these dates are somewhat in flux as well due to ongoing court battles.

Wait, why does Oklahoma bother having in person EV when it's only open 3 days (10/29-31)?

[Non Swing Voter]

This is a pretty nice summary of the absentee and early voting schedule by state.

Eh, I can point out at least 1 inaccuracy, given that I got my ballot in the mail on the 29th of Sept. & that chart says FL doesn't start mailing ballots 'til Oct. 1st.

well it's a good general guideline.  Some of these dates are somewhat in flux as well due to ongoing court battles.

Wait, why does Oklahoma bother having in person EV when it's only open 3 days (10/29-31)?

Seems dumb although I'm sure there's more interest right before the election than now so it probably still will produce a fair amount of early votes.

[Non Swing Voter]

Now up to 9.2 million early votes. 

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

really insane when you consider there's either nothing or a small percent from 3 of the 4 biggest states (NY, CA, TX) and still a lot of other states that haven't even started reporting.  I think turnout is going to be massive this year.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Now up to 9.2 million early votes. 

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

really insane when you consider there's either nothing or a small percent from 3 of the 4 biggest states (NY, CA, TX) and still a lot of other states that haven't even started reporting.  I think turnout is going to be massive this year.

Do we know how many votes were recorded at that point in 2016?

[philly09]

Now up to 9.2 million early votes. 

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

really insane when you consider there's either nothing or a small percent from 3 of the 4 biggest states (NY, CA, TX) and still a lot of other states that haven't even started reporting.  I think turnout is going to be massive this year.

Do we know how many votes were recorded at that point in 2016?

429,337 votes for the week ending Oct 9, 2016.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/early-voting-a-month-to-g_b_12424562

[Antonio the Sixth]

Now up to 9.2 million early votes. 

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

really insane when you consider there's either nothing or a small percent from 3 of the 4 biggest states (NY, CA, TX) and still a lot of other states that haven't even started reporting.  I think turnout is going to be massive this year.

Do we know how many votes were recorded at that point in 2016?

429,337 votes for the week ending Oct 9, 2016.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/early-voting-a-month-to-g_b_12424562

The week ending on October 16 would be a better comparison, since election day was almost a week later.

But yeah this looks like a major bump.

[philly09]

Now up to 9.2 million early votes.  

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

really insane when you consider there's either nothing or a small percent from 3 of the 4 biggest states (NY, CA, TX) and still a lot of other states that haven't even started reporting.  I think turnout is going to be massive this year.

Do we know how many votes were recorded at that point in 2016?

429,337 votes for the week ending Oct 9, 2016.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/early-voting-a-month-to-g_b_12424562

The week ending on October 16 would be a better comparison, since election day was almost a week later.

But yeah this looks like a major bump.

1.2 Million.  46.26 Million voted in the before Election Day.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-p-mcdonald/early-voting-more-states_b_12517738.html

[Antonio the Sixth]

Now up to 9.2 million early votes. 

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

really insane when you consider there's either nothing or a small percent from 3 of the 4 biggest states (NY, CA, TX) and still a lot of other states that haven't even started reporting.  I think turnout is going to be massive this year.

Do we know how many votes were recorded at that point in 2016?

429,337 votes for the week ending Oct 9, 2016.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/early-voting-a-month-to-g_b_12424562

The week ending on October 16 would be a better comparison, since election day was almost a week later.

But yeah this looks like a major bump.

1.2 Million.  46.26 Millon voted in the before Election Day.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-p-mcdonald/early-voting-more-states_b_12517738.html

Thanks! It's really useful to have a point of comparison.

[Sir Tiki]

My sister and I got our ballots a couple of weeks ago, but we're waiting to drop them off until Florida starts officially counting in a couple of days.

I voted straight D, though I broke with the party on their suggestion of the nonpartisan Soil and Water Commissioner. I also voted to retain all but three justices, and yes on 2, 5 and 6.

[Brittain33]

I think that calendar may be showing last possible dates - in Massachusetts cities have the option to send ballots out sooner. I know people in Brookline who already received ballots and sent them back. I have a notice that mine has been mailed out but I haven't received it yet.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

2016 PA dem lead; 900,000
2020 PA dem lead; 700,000

[wbrocks67]

2016 PA dem lead; 900,000
2020 PA dem lead; 700,000

are you talking about voter registration? you should provide more context to your post.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

2016 PA dem lead; 900,000
2020 PA dem lead; 700,000

are you talking about voter registration? you should provide more context to your post.

https://mobile.twitter.com/ShaneGoldmacher/status/1315316983928422401

[wbrocks67]

2016 PA dem lead; 900,000
2020 PA dem lead; 700,000

are you talking about voter registration? you should provide more context to your post.

I think so Ye, saw it on a tweet

November 2016
Dems 4,217,456 (48.3%)
Reps 3,301,182 (37.8%)
Other 1,204,339 (13.9%)
Total 8,722,977

October 2020
Dems 4,168,900 (46.9%)
Reps 3,451,514 (38.7%)
Other 1,277,325 (14.4%)
Total 8,897,739

In 2016, Dems lead over Reps was 916K (10.5%), while it's now 717K (8.2%). So yes, it's down, but PA is a very complex state and it's hard to tell whether these are truly people converting to R, or a bunch of ancestral Ds that have been voting R and now just making it official. You also have a lot of people in the PA suburbs as well who are still Republicans who aren't as fast to change their registration to D. (for example, i know one - my mom, she only *just* changed to D this year from being R for 30+ years)

The other problem with this narrative is that Dems lead was lower in 2018 (9.8%) than it was in 2016 (10.5%) and yet Casey and Wolf both won by double digits.