2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread  (Read 168264 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #150 on: September 17, 2020, 04:01:14 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 17, 2020, 03:39:18 PM


Yeah but it's not like there is a huge difference. According to the stats posted last page the rejection rate is 3% for whites and 7% for blacks.
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Beet
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« Reply #151 on: September 17, 2020, 04:03:57 PM »
Reason #3457 why the Dems' obsession with mail-in ballots is dumb.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #152 on: September 17, 2020, 04:24:11 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on September 17, 2020, 04:01:14 PM
Yeah but it's not like there is a huge difference. According to the stats posted last page the rejection rate is 3% for whites and 7% for blacks.

If 50% of people vote early, and Blacks are supposed to make up 50% of the Dem vote, that 4% difference as an entire 0.5% Biden loses just from higher rejection rates for Blacks.

North Carolina is going to be really really close both at the presidential and the senate level.  Just losing 0.5% due to some stupid s--t like this isn't trivial at all.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #153 on: September 17, 2020, 04:41:30 PM »
There's a lot of time to correct the errors.  Democrats seem to be requesting ballots earlier than Republicans as a general matter so that strategic advantage might cancel out a bit.  I'd say it's safe to assume that most of the white votes being rejected are Trump voters as they seem to be coming from rural areas and college educated whites who are voting Biden are probably more likely to fill out the forms correctly.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #154 on: September 17, 2020, 05:47:41 PM »
Early vote starts tomorrow in Virginia, first time there is no need for an excuse.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #155 on: September 17, 2020, 05:52:26 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 17, 2020, 05:47:41 PM
Early vote starts tomorrow in Virginia, first time there is no need for an excuse.

Democracy flourishing after years of suppression is a beautiful sight.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #156 on: September 17, 2020, 05:54:19 PM »
As has been pointed out, a lot of the focus on absentee ballot rejection rates fails to take into account the number of people who would otherwise not have voted at all, and the rejection rate of people that try to vote/would try to vote in person.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #157 on: September 17, 2020, 07:06:54 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on September 17, 2020, 05:52:26 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 17, 2020, 05:47:41 PM
Early vote starts tomorrow in Virginia, first time there is no need for an excuse.

Democracy flourishing after years of suppression is a beautiful sight.

Virginia in general has been like the state equivalent of a phoenix since the Democratic trifecta took over.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #158 on: September 17, 2020, 07:12:01 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on September 17, 2020, 04:01:14 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 17, 2020, 03:39:18 PM


Yeah but it's not like there is a huge difference. According to the stats posted last page the rejection rate is 3% for whites and 7% for blacks.

Just enough to fudge the election.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #159 on: September 17, 2020, 09:14:23 PM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on September 17, 2020, 05:54:19 PM
As has been pointed out, a lot of the focus on absentee ballot rejection rates fails to take into account the number of people who would otherwise not have voted at all, and the rejection rate of people that try to vote/would try to vote in person.
And it doesn't change whenever someone fixes their ballot. 
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #160 on: September 17, 2020, 11:36:45 PM »
Just got my absentee ballot. I'm gonna fill it up, and send it in ASAP!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #161 on: September 18, 2020, 01:19:23 AM »
Quote from: We Live in Black and White on September 17, 2020, 07:12:01 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on September 17, 2020, 04:01:14 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 17, 2020, 03:39:18 PM


Yeah but it's not like there is a huge difference. According to the stats posted last page the rejection rate is 3% for whites and 7% for blacks.

Just enough to fudge the election.

Good thing then that they have been alerted already and have the chance to rectify any mistakes and make their ballots count.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #162 on: September 18, 2020, 07:15:31 AM »
« Edited: September 18, 2020, 08:20:31 AM by Gass3268 »






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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #163 on: September 18, 2020, 08:26:24 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 18, 2020, 07:15:31 AM





W T H. It's as if it were election day!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #164 on: September 18, 2020, 08:29:21 AM »
Anyone who thinks this is gonna be a low turnout election is kidding themselves.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #165 on: September 18, 2020, 08:59:27 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #166 on: September 18, 2020, 09:06:43 AM »
That's amazing. Awful that they have to do that but they know at this point, it just needs to happen.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #167 on: September 18, 2020, 10:10:12 AM »
This doesn't surprise me.

The same thing happening today in VA can be seen in Vienna for the state election there on Oct. 11

People are voting early there to avoid more crowded precincts on election day.



In the US, the postal sabotage by Trump is also adding to it.

Still, you cannot necessarily say that there will be higher turnout because of it - because there could simply be a rush of early voters and then it drops off in the next weeks.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #168 on: September 18, 2020, 10:19:36 AM »
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #169 on: September 18, 2020, 10:26:59 AM »
The crazy thing about those Fairfax lines is that we don't even tend to have super long wait times in Fairfax on Election Day (in the vast majority of precincts).  This is 100% about people who hate Trump.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #170 on: September 18, 2020, 10:53:25 AM »
582 ballots have been returned in Wisconsin. I'll have my first set of analysis next Tuesday. Douglas County is actually leading the pack with 76 returned ballots.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #171 on: September 18, 2020, 11:41:36 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 18, 2020, 08:29:21 AM
Anyone who thinks this is gonna be a low turnout election is kidding themselves.

Calling it right now: Biden breaks 80M and Trump breaks 70M.
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Badger
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« Reply #172 on: September 18, 2020, 11:48:57 AM »

I THINK that map looks like a tentative positive development for Democrats, right?
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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #173 on: September 18, 2020, 11:51:28 AM »
Just got my ballot emailed to me while riding the train home and nearly sh-t myself
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #174 on: September 18, 2020, 12:01:44 PM »
Quote from: Clarko95 on September 18, 2020, 11:51:28 AM
Just got my ballot emailed to me while riding the train home and nearly sh-t myself

what state are you in that does email balloting?
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