Morning Consult: Biden +8

[wbrocks67]

Biden 51
Trump 43

Favorabilities:

Biden 51/46 (+5)
Trump 43/55 (-12)

We are literally back to where we were pre-convention.

https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/01/battleground-presidential-polling-post-conventions/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah this race is over, Trump will get 6 percent of the AA vote like Romney did in 2012, Dems will win TX

[BlueSwan]

That's a bit of a relief. Was getting worried with all the terrible polls.

[wbrocks67]

This also shows the problem with Morning Consult putting out 1 day polls. Never a good idea. If Trump was up on 6 on Friday, he must've fallen back to -8 or -9 for most of the other days.

[wbrocks67]

The figures, which are nearly identical to polling conducted Aug. 14-16, come after daily tracking of the head-to-head contest showed a narrow improvement in Trump’s standing against Biden by Friday. That post-convention bump proved to be fleeting, with daily tracking on Saturday showing Trump trailing Biden 43 percent to 51 percent and Sunday’s responses putting Biden back to a 9-point lead and 52 percent of the vote. The Saturday and Sunday polling came with respective 2- and 1-point margins of error.

Similarly, movement away from Biden and toward Trump that was detected on Friday among white voters and suburbanites was short-lived, with the three-day survey showing no significant national shifts among those groups.

So Friday was a blip.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The figures, which are nearly identical to polling conducted Aug. 14-16, come after daily tracking of the head-to-head contest showed a narrow improvement in Trump’s standing against Biden by Friday. That post-convention bump proved to be fleeting, with daily tracking on Saturday showing Trump trailing Biden 43 percent to 51 percent and Sunday’s responses putting Biden back to a 9-point lead and 52 percent of the vote. The Saturday and Sunday polling came with respective 2- and 1-point margins of error.

Similarly, movement away from Biden and toward Trump that was detected on Friday among white voters and suburbanites was short-lived, with the three-day survey showing no significant national shifts among those groups.

So Friday was a blip.

It's as if all these right-wing, fly-by-night polling outfits waited exactly the moment after the RNC to start polling in order to show Trump's numbers at a post-convention sugar high, flood the zone, and establish the narrative of a comeback.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1300765923431907332

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Well, fun freak out, everybody! Same time next week?

[AncestralDemocrat.]

lol.. can Monmouth or some other high quality pollster actually release some data for the presidential.

The spam of B/C rated polls is getting rather tiresome.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Its not a matter if Trump is gonna lose, its all over, its all depends on how much and how much padding of a lead Biden gets in Early voting and VBM

All the naysayers like Election Guy, kept giving the Emerson poll credibility

[GeorgiaModerate]

lol.. can Monmouth or some other high quality pollster actually release some data for the presidential.

The spam of B/C rated polls is getting rather tiresome.

I'm guessing we'll have some this weekend and next week.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

lol.. can Monmouth or some other high quality pollster actually release some data for the presidential.

The spam of B/C rated polls is getting rather tiresome.

I'm guessing we'll have some this weekend and next week.

We better, GM... or else!

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

Something tells me this thread won't reach 5 million pages like certain others have done.

[Gass3268]

lol.. can Monmouth or some other high quality pollster actually release some data for the presidential.

The spam of B/C rated polls is getting rather tiresome.

I'm guessing we'll have some this weekend and next week.

Unfortunately, probably not with Labor Day coming up.

[Sir Mohamed]

So, there wasn't an actual convention bump, as I predicted? The only polls that have moved the needle a little up for Trump are the usual (C rated) suspects. Quality pollsters haven't found much of an upward trend for him.

[Devout Centrist]

I told you it was interesting

[wbrocks67]

What's most interesting is that despite the RNC, Biden's favorability is the best it's ever been in MC polling (+5) while Trump's (-12) is basically flat to where it's been for a while.

[Pollster]

Both candidates are polling at their favorability numbers.

[Rand]

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!

[Kuumo]

So much for the yuge Trump surge. I'm not sure that Morning Consult is all that reliable either though. Hurry up, Monmouth, CNN, and Fox!

[kireev]

"That post-convention bump proved to be fleeting, with daily tracking on Saturday showing Trump trailing Biden 43 percent to 51 percent and Sunday’s responses putting Biden back to a 9-point lead and 52 percent of the vote. The Saturday and Sunday polling came with respective 2- and 1-point margins of error. "

[WD]

What? Are you telling me that all those Biden+3/4 polls were from low quality pollsters just trying to establish a narrative and Biden’s campaign isn’t actually crumbling to dust? Who could have guessed?

[Horus]

Eh, guess I'll take it.

[KaiserDave]

Everyone ignore this poll!!! Focus on the garbage ones!!! Neyaaaaahh

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Eh, guess I'll take it.

Lol you so badly want Trump to win so you can get that juicy vindication after bedwetting all year