Rate NC-11
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Poll
Question: Rate NC-11
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Toss-up/Tilt R
 
#5
Toss-up/Tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Rate NC-11  (Read 230 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: August 14, 2020, 01:49:02 PM »

Rate NC-11 for congress. This has gotten very interesting with Cawthorn's baggage.
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Upstater
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E: -6.58, S: -4.00

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« Reply #1 on: August 14, 2020, 01:50:10 PM »

Safe R.
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andjey
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« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2020, 01:51:30 PM »

Lean R. I can see here potential upset in a great night for Dems
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Storr
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« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2020, 01:55:31 PM »
« Edited: August 14, 2020, 02:01:37 PM by Storr »

Remember this district is now slightly more Dem (the old NC-11 was Trump 62% Clinton 33% in 2016, while the 2020 version of NC-11 would have been Trump 56.1% Clinton 39.2% in 2016) after NC Supreme Court ordered redistricting as it now includes all of heavily liberal Buncombe County where Asheville, the district's only large city, is located.

IMO If the sexual harassment allegations against Cawthorn are true: Lean R
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Lognog
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« Reply #4 on: August 14, 2020, 01:57:54 PM »

still a very Republican district, vote for Trump by 17. I think Cawthorn's baggage will make this race close but he'll probably win by 5 points. I see him getting primaried in 2022. He's the next Steve Watkins I predict.

If only Heath Shuler wanted to run for his old seat, that would be a real race
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Astatine
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« Reply #5 on: August 14, 2020, 02:08:38 PM »

Likely R, closer to Lean that Safe, reasons stated by other posters before.
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S019
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« Reply #6 on: August 14, 2020, 03:16:33 PM »

Likely R, but this race is heading in the wrong direction for Cawthorn
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: August 14, 2020, 03:21:35 PM »

Safe R. Trump is on the ballot, and will likely do even better than last time in this district.
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