Utah (Deseret News/Hinckley Institute): Trump +19
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  Utah (Deseret News/Hinckley Institute): Trump +19
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Author Topic: Utah (Deseret News/Hinckley Institute): Trump +19  (Read 1110 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: August 07, 2020, 12:32:34 AM »

Trump 50
Biden 31

UT 04

Trump 45
Biden 35

https://www.deseret.com/utah/2020/8/6/21357209/donald-trump-holding-onto-lead-over-joe-biden-in-utah-deseret-news-hinckley-institute-poll
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2020, 12:39:22 AM »

I think it's a little hard to compare this to the previous few election results since McMullin's 2016 campaign and Romney being a Mormon in 2012.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2020, 04:15:26 AM »

It is weird that

(1) strong approval is about as high as strong disapproval, and
(2) that slight approval is so large.

This could reflect how pollsters ask questions. In a state whose polls are wild in divergence in results (although all give Biden no chance) strange things can happen. Trump is a hideous match for Utah as a Republican. I would love to contrast approval of Trump to that of Obama now. Obama is far closer to Mormon values at the least in his family life than is Trump.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2020, 04:25:13 AM »

I would definitely like to see more polling out of Utah.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2020, 05:34:30 AM »


This is entirely plausible in terms of Trump '20 floor in UT absent a serious 3rd Party Contender.

All that said, I would not be surprised to see UT PRES GE % Vote margins a bit less than +19% Trump.

Biden should most likely significantly out-perform Obama '08 in UT, especially if we look at the current ntl % baseline and also look at Trump's "appeal" to many LDS adherents, which needless to say is a bit lacking, not to mention younger Mormons in Utah not necessarily voting the same way that their parents did a few decades back bcs of shifts in generational cultural "value orientation" and themes.
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2020, 09:51:06 AM »

RIP Bluetah Sad
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2020, 06:23:09 PM »

Yeah, this was always fool's gold.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2020, 06:53:03 PM »



That's assuming it was ever remotely close to begin with
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2020, 09:39:47 PM »

Safe R
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #9 on: August 20, 2020, 09:36:00 AM »

New Poll: Utah President by Rasmussen on 2020-08-01

Summary: D: 31%, R: 50%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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