Quinnipiac (SC, ME, KY): Trump +5, Biden +15, Trump +9
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  Quinnipiac (SC, ME, KY): Trump +5, Biden +15, Trump +9
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac (SC, ME, KY): Trump +5, Biden +15, Trump +9  (Read 2957 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: August 06, 2020, 01:00:52 PM »

https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3670

Kentucky

Trump 50
Biden 41

Maine

Biden 52
Trump 37

SC

Trump 47
Biden 42
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JA
Jacobin American
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2020, 01:04:05 PM »

Two polls showing Trump under a +10 lead in Kentucky should be very concerning to his campaign. Biden won't win KY, but he has a great chance at dramatically making inroads into Trump's lead there and help make the re-election campaign of McConnell more competitive.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2020, 01:04:52 PM »

Trump is up 1% in ME-02.
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Holmes
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« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2020, 01:04:53 PM »

Trump+1 in ME-02.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2020, 01:06:12 PM »

Does anyone seriously believes that Collins will survive if Biden carries Maine by double digits?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2020, 01:08:16 PM »

Beautiful numbers. The race tightening narrative that unscrupulous hacks like Nate Cohn, Harry Enten, and Sean Trende keep trying to force down our throats based on fluctuations in internet polls continues to be total malarkey.
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n1240
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« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2020, 01:11:06 PM »

Would expect Maine white college ed to be left relative to US white college ed but +58 seem insane.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2020, 01:13:45 PM »

Beautiful numbers, I still really doubt KY being under 20 points, let alone under 10.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2020, 01:13:56 PM »

Imagine if Atlas' favorite county goes blue again...
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Darthpi Ė Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2020, 01:17:15 PM »

Four consecutive polls with Trump at or under +5 in South Carolina.

Also more evidence that Maine isn't likely to be close this year.

Those two facts really tell you all you need to know about where things stand nationally right now.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2020, 01:19:01 PM »


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Rand
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« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2020, 01:20:28 PM »

Beautiful numbers. The race tightening narrative that unscrupulous hacks like Nate Cohn, Harry Enten, and Sean Trende keep trying to force down our throats based on fluctuations in internet polls continues to be total malarkey.

And thereís only one candidate who does not tolerate malarkey...
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #12 on: August 06, 2020, 01:21:09 PM »



Undecideds also appear to uniformly dissaprove of Trump. That along with the fact that Maine has RCV, leads me to believe Biden has a real chance there.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #13 on: August 06, 2020, 01:21:29 PM »

Those Trump approval numbers are insane.

Maine:
37% approve
60% disapprove

South Carolina:
50% approve
47% disapprove

Kentucky:
49% approve
47% disapprove

Just some of my takeaways, the Kentucky and South Carolina numbers are, frankly, insane. The Maine numbers aren't as crazy, but they would mean that its extremely likely that the entire undecided pool disapproves of Trump.
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Horus
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« Reply #14 on: August 06, 2020, 01:23:51 PM »

Trump's approval in Kentucky is only +2. That is bad for him.
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WD
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« Reply #15 on: August 06, 2020, 01:24:19 PM »

One thing Iíve been noticing in these polls is Trumpís vote share is almost exactly equal to his approval ( 48% approval in KY, gets 50%, 46% approval in SC, gets 47%, 36% approval in Me, gets 37%) while Biden is substantially over preforming his approval. He has a 35% approval in KY but gets 41%, has a 47% approval in ME but gets  52%. He is at 36% in SC but gets 42%. This shows that no one outside of Trumpís immediate base is supporting him, while Biden is getting support from independents and conservatives that donít necessarily like him. I think this explains Bidenís large lead nationwide and surprisingly decent showings in Red states.
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Woody
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« Reply #16 on: August 06, 2020, 01:24:35 PM »

Does anyone seriously believes that Collins will survive if Biden carries Maine by double digits?
Do you seriously believe Biden is going to carry Maine by double digits?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #17 on: August 06, 2020, 01:25:13 PM »

Does anyone seriously believes that Collins will survive if Biden carries Maine by double digits?
Do you seriously believe Biden is going to carry Maine by double digits?

Yes
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G_Master
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« Reply #18 on: August 06, 2020, 01:25:37 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2020, 01:30:44 PM by G_Master »

Wow, those approval/favorability numbers are bad, especially in KY. Also, isn't this the second poll in two days or so that show him within single digits in KY and within 5 points in SC?
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Woody
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« Reply #19 on: August 06, 2020, 01:26:54 PM »

Does anyone seriously believes that Collins will survive if Biden carries Maine by double digits?
Do you seriously believe Biden is going to carry Maine by double digits?

Yes
Man... I really don't know what to say, you're going to need some serious therapy after the election day results if your expectiations are that high.
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redjohn
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« Reply #20 on: August 06, 2020, 01:27:10 PM »

Love love love those Maine numbers. I also think they're very realistic... The northeast is going to deliver historic landslides for Biden in multiple states.

Also, SC could be close but it is safe R. Don't let polls fool you. HRC got about 41% in SC, and Obama reached nearly 45% in 2008 but still didn't come near winning the state.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #21 on: August 06, 2020, 01:28:14 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2020, 01:32:03 PM by Make PA Blue Again! »

Biden is up 77-19% with white 4-year grads in Maine...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: August 06, 2020, 01:54:40 PM »

SC is going the way of NC and VA
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Pollster
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« Reply #23 on: August 06, 2020, 02:13:47 PM »

Disappointing that we don't get a regional breakdown for the ballot tests in KY and SC. The KY margin suggests Trump is weak in KY-06 and the Cincinnati suburbs.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #24 on: August 06, 2020, 02:25:23 PM »

Even if those KY and SC #s are off a bit, they are still horrific for Trump.

Also, Janet Mills won by 8% in 2018, and that was against generic R. Why would people think that Biden couldn't win by double digits against Trump, who is completely toxic, especially in the northeast?
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