Quinnipiac (SC, ME, KY): Trump +5, Biden +15, Trump +9
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  Quinnipiac (SC, ME, KY): Trump +5, Biden +15, Trump +9
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac (SC, ME, KY): Trump +5, Biden +15, Trump +9  (Read 2960 times)
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #25 on: August 06, 2020, 02:30:52 PM »

Let's turn the whole east coast blue!

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #26 on: August 06, 2020, 02:37:28 PM »

Crazy how the SC poll lines up perfectly with Morning Consult, yet KY was so off.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #27 on: August 06, 2020, 02:40:59 PM »

Does anyone seriously believes that Collins will survive if Biden carries Maine by double digits?
Do you seriously believe Biden is going to carry Maine by double digits?

Yes
Man... I really don't know what to say, you're going to need some serious therapy after the election day results if your expectiations are that high.
I don’t think anyone on here are going to need therapy if Uncle Joe wins by less than expected, as long as he wins. Now if we are talking about blue avatars completely denying reality then that’s another matter.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #28 on: August 06, 2020, 03:08:26 PM »

Does anyone seriously believes that Collins will survive if Biden carries Maine by double digits?
Do you seriously believe Biden is going to carry Maine by double digits?

Yes
Man... I really don't know what to say, you're going to need some serious therapy after the election day results if your expectiations are that high.

Obama won Maine by 15 points in 2012.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #29 on: August 06, 2020, 03:19:13 PM »

Does anyone seriously believes that Collins will survive if Biden carries Maine by double digits?
Do you seriously believe Biden is going to carry Maine by double digits?

Yes
Man... I really don't know what to say, you're going to need some serious therapy after the election day results if your expectiations are that high.

Obama won Maine by 15 points in 2012.

I had to check this and ...wow he actually did.

Not only that, he won Maine by a larger margin than he won Washington state!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #30 on: August 06, 2020, 03:31:33 PM »

For comparison, here were the Senate numbers in these polls:


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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #31 on: August 06, 2020, 03:35:03 PM »

But Old School Rep, MT Treasurer and VA Republican says IA, OH and ME Senate were Safe R.

Trump is done
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #32 on: August 06, 2020, 03:47:32 PM »

Disappointing that we don't get a regional breakdown for the ballot tests in KY and SC. The KY margin suggests Trump is weak in KY-06 and the Cincinnati suburbs.

Which doesn't surprise me at all.

I doubt he'll win by only single digits, but a pretty weak showing with a margin in the low double digits isn't unfathomable. Especially if his support collapses as hard in those areas as I expect.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #33 on: August 06, 2020, 04:37:38 PM »

Trump's approval definitely isn’t higher in SC than in KY, and I strongly doubt that ME is this lopsided or KY this close. It’s almost certainly another issue of underestimating GOP strength in states which are heavily rural, trending Republican, and have a high percentage of non-college-educated voters. It obviously wouldn’t be the first time, and Quinnipiac has had some serious pro-D outliers in the past.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #34 on: August 06, 2020, 05:58:33 PM »

Trump's approval definitely isn’t higher in SC than in KY, and I strongly doubt that ME is this lopsided or KY this close. It’s almost certainly another issue of underestimating GOP strength in states which are heavily rural, trending Republican, and have a high percentage of non-college-educated voters. It obviously wouldn’t be the first time, and Quinnipiac has had some serious pro-D outliers in the past.

I don’t know. Fits pretty well with some of the national polls we’ve seen. Especially that Maine result, I don’t find that unrealistic at all.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #35 on: August 06, 2020, 06:02:06 PM »

Trump's approval definitely isn’t higher in SC than in KY, and I strongly doubt that ME is this lopsided or KY this close. It’s almost certainly another issue of underestimating GOP strength in states which are heavily rural, trending Republican, and have a high percentage of non-college-educated voters. It obviously wouldn’t be the first time, and Quinnipiac has had some serious pro-D outliers in the past.

Not looking good for your predictions on Ernst and Collins. Both of them are losing 3 to 5 pts🤩🤩🤩
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #36 on: August 06, 2020, 06:34:46 PM »

I'm not sure why they chose three states but they all suggest very bad things for Trump.
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G_Master
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« Reply #37 on: August 06, 2020, 07:12:47 PM »

It’s more likely that Trump will be more at risk in states that he should do well in (like KY), than Biden will in states that he should do well in (Like IL).  I’ve always kind of thought this, and with the current crisis I think it’s come to head.
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