Is Conrad Burns done for?
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  Is Conrad Burns done for?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Will Conrad Burns lose?
#1
Definately		  
#2
Probably		  
#3
Toss-up		  
#4
Unlikely		  
#5
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 35

Author Topic: Is Conrad Burns done for?  (Read 1797 times)
Jacobtm
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« on: March 19, 2006, 04:45:23 PM »
Conrad Burns is the most unpopular member of the Senate. He was unpopular even before he got caught up in all this corruption mess, and now it seems that he's on the fast track to finally getting kicked out of the Senate.

But Montana is a SOLIDLY Republican state. Could pure partisanship save him?
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BRTD
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« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2006, 04:46:08 PM »
Quote from: Jacobtm on March 19, 2006, 04:45:23 PM
But Montana is a SOLIDLY Republican state.

Not quite. They don't even have a Republican legislature.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2006, 05:12:01 PM »
Democrats control the governorship, state Senate and House. They are NOT a Republican-controlled state.

Also, Clinton won there once (1992) and almost won there a second time (1996).

I don't regard Montana as a very partisan state at all.
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Galactic Overlord
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« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2006, 05:22:23 PM »
Quote from: Jacobtm on March 19, 2006, 04:45:23 PM
Conrad Burns is the most unpopular member of the Senate. He was unpopular even before he got caught up in all this corruption mess, and now it seems that he's on the fast track to finally getting kicked out of the Senate.

But Montana is a SOLIDLY Republican state. Could pure partisanship save him?

Depends on whether Burns can define his opponent.  Given that they are not well known, that is possible.  We won't know that until the primaries are over. 
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Virginian87
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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2006, 05:31:09 PM »
Option 2, at the moment.  I think either Tester or Morrison have a solid chance of beating Burns.  However, a lot can change in eight months. 
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Jake
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2006, 06:43:23 PM »
No one is "done" right now, nor can anyone be "done" eight months before an election. Let's see how brutal the primary gets and judge it in August, for now, Toss-up.
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nini2287
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« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2006, 08:34:44 PM »
It's certainly not looking good for him, but it's obviously not a guarantee.  I'd say probably but I would not be surprised if he wins.
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Galactic Overlord
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« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2006, 09:36:59 PM »
He's had two out of three competitive contests, and politicians who weather these kinds of races regularly often keep winning.  Tom Harkin and Jesse Helms would be such examples.  Granted, it is not a guarantee, so I agree with those who say we don't know this early out. 
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Mr. Paleoconservative
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« Reply #8 on: March 19, 2006, 09:43:39 PM »
« Edited: March 19, 2006, 09:48:13 PM by Reagan Raider »
Quote from: Galactic Overlord on March 19, 2006, 09:36:59 PM
He's had two out of three competitive contests, and politicians who weather these kinds of races regularly often keep winning.  Tom Harkin and Jesse Helms would be such examples.  Granted, it is not a guarantee, so I agree with those who say we don't know this early out. 

Good examples with Helms and Harkin, still, Al D'Amato was nailed on the fourth run.  Though one can easily conclude that Montana is slightly friendlier turf for a long-term Republican incumbent. 

As of right now I am calling it a toss up.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #9 on: March 19, 2006, 10:22:17 PM »
"Definately" is still not a word.
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Jacobtm
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« Reply #10 on: March 19, 2006, 11:28:32 PM »
Originally, the word was "Colour," but since we spelled it "Color" for so long without any regard that it "wasn't a word," it became a word.

Same principal applies to "Definately".
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ATFFL
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« Reply #11 on: March 19, 2006, 11:32:31 PM »
Quote from: Jacobtm on March 19, 2006, 11:28:32 PM
Originally, the word was "Colour," but since we spelled it "Color" for so long without any regard that it "wasn't a word," it became a word.

Same principal applies to "Definately".

No.  The US changed the spelling of the word when we went through the Great U Shortage of 1854.  Even after the US recovered from the shortage in 1859, the new spelling remained.  In this way it is much like the Great E Crash of 1478 in England.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #12 on: March 20, 2006, 03:11:54 AM »

Another one wrong, no matter how you dance around it.
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Gabu
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« Reply #13 on: March 20, 2006, 03:17:50 AM »

Remember: the "princiPAL" is your PAL!
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Alcon
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« Reply #14 on: March 20, 2006, 03:23:22 AM »
« Edited: March 20, 2006, 03:33:27 AM by Alcon »
Quote from: Jacobtm on March 19, 2006, 11:28:32 PM
Originally, the word was "Colour," but since we spelled it "Color" for so long without any regard that it "wasn't a word," it became a word.

Same principal applies to "Definately".

No.  That is because the Latin is color.  There is no precedent for "definately."

Besides, "colour" is infinitely superior to this "color" crap.
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Gabu
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« Reply #15 on: March 20, 2006, 03:28:34 AM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 20, 2006, 03:23:22 AM
Quote from: Jacobtm on March 19, 2006, 11:28:32 PM
Originally, the word was "Colour," but since we spelled it "Color" for so long without any regard that it "wasn't a word," it became a word.

Same principal applies to "Definately".

No.  That is because the Latin i s color.  There is no precedent for "definately."

Also, "definitely" comes from the word "definite", which comes from the Latin word definitus ("defined").  So the spelling comes straight from Latin, unlike the spelling of "colour", which was indeed blatantly made up.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #16 on: March 20, 2006, 05:22:21 AM »
What the hell happened to discussion of Conrad Burns' re-election chances?
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Gabu
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« Reply #17 on: March 20, 2006, 05:24:43 AM »
Quote from: Adlai Stevenson on March 20, 2006, 05:22:21 AM
What the hell happened to discussion of Conrad Burns' re-election chances?

Oh yeah, that guy.

I can say one thing definitively: either he's done for or he isn't.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #18 on: March 20, 2006, 09:18:43 AM »
He'll probably eke out a win. Might lose though. What do I vote?
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Gustaf
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« Reply #19 on: March 20, 2006, 12:09:12 PM »
Quote from: Lefty Trondheim on March 20, 2006, 09:18:43 AM
He'll probably eke out a win. Might lose though. What do I vote?

Tossup...at least, that's what I voted and I share your opinon...it's a pretty badly choiced poll.
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