TX-Quinnipiac: Trump +1

[SN2903]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7.

IF anything, Q-pac UNDER-estimated Beto in 2018, so...

They had Gillum up and Nelson.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7.

IF anything, Q-pac UNDER-estimated Beto in 2018, so...

They had Gillum up and Nelson.

So....it's a wash?

[President Johnson]

Lean Republican -> Tossup/tilt Republican

I still think Trump will win the state, but who the heck knows? Michigan wasn't expected to go his way in 2016 either. So if Trump continues to do this poorly across the board, this may actually go blue. If Republicans actually start losing Texas by the middle of this decade, they have a severe problem. Even winning the Mid West entirely (except Illinois) it won't compensate losing Texas (and at least Arizona with it).

[wbrocks67]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7.

IF anything, Q-pac UNDER-estimated Beto in 2018, so...

They had Gillum up and Nelson.

How is a Florida poll relevant to Q-pacs history in TX?

[Lambsbread]

PURPLE TEXAS

[Landslide Lyndon]

How long will SN continue to clutter every thread with his histrionics?

[OSR stands with Israel]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Yeah I think Biden will probably get 43% in NOV, Trump will do some points better though

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Lean R.

Unlike GA which will be relying on Blacks who always vote above their weight, TX has to rely on Hispanics who are very unreliable voters.

Harris would be the best fit for hispanics in TX/AZ

[wbrocks67]

Yeah I think Biden will probably get 43% in NOV, Trump will do some points better though

... you think Trump will get 57% of the vote in TX for a +14 margin? Huh?

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Yeah I think Biden will probably get 43% in NOV, Trump will do some points better though

... you think Trump will get 57% of the vote in TX for a +14 margin? Huh?

No lol, he will get somewhere on the low side of 50's or high 40's

[Pollster]

Quinnipiac's final poll of Texas in 2018 was 51/46 Cruz, so not sure why people are saying they underestimated Beto considering they got the race damn near exactly right and clearly well within the margin of error.

Trump has bumbled his way into making Texas a toss-up. Incredible that the GOP didn't pull the trigger on this guy when they had a golden opportunity to. Imagine where the party would be right now if President Pence handled covid-19 in a competent manner.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls coming out today, hits Dems back to reality, it isn't sewn up for Biden, yet.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Polls coming out today, hits Dems back to reality, it isn't sewn up for Biden, yet.

‘Trump +1 in Texas’

DeMoCrAtS iN dIsSaRrAy.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Trump has bumbled his way into making Texas a toss-up. Incredible that the GOP didn't pull the trigger on this guy when they had a golden opportunity to. Imagine where the party would be right now if President Pence handled covid-19 in a competent manner.

Because they are afraid that their rabid base will tear them apart if they show even the slightest sign of disagreement with their Cheeto Jesus.

[tagimaucia]

Quinnipiac's final poll of Texas in 2018 was 51/46 Cruz, so not sure why people are saying they underestimated Beto considering they got the race damn near exactly right and clearly well within the margin of error.

Trump has bumbled his way into making Texas a toss-up. Incredible that the GOP didn't pull the trigger on this guy when they had a golden opportunity to. Imagine where the party would be right now if President Pence handled covid-19 in a competent manner.

I dunno.  If Trump had just randomly passed away or something, I agree that Pence would be in much better shape for November than Trump currently is now.  But if the Republican party had thrown him under the bus, I think a huge number of Republicans would be extremely pissed off and demoralized and would just stay home. Look at what happened to Republican turnout in the 74 midterms after Watergate.

[SN2903]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

Democrats need to stop siding with rioters and looters over our President. To act like Democrats are being responsible right now is a joke.

[SN2903]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

There is a history of Trump being undercounted. It's not out of thin air.

[Calthrina950]

Quinnipiac's final poll of Texas in 2018 was 51/46 Cruz, so not sure why people are saying they underestimated Beto considering they got the race damn near exactly right and clearly well within the margin of error.

Trump has bumbled his way into making Texas a toss-up. Incredible that the GOP didn't pull the trigger on this guy when they had a golden opportunity to. Imagine where the party would be right now if President Pence handled covid-19 in a competent manner.

I dunno.  If Trump had just randomly passed away or something, I agree that Pence would be in much better shape for November than Trump currently is now.  But if the Republican party had thrown him under the bus, I think a huge number of Republicans would be extremely pissed off and demoralized and would just stay home. Look at what happened to Republican turnout in the 74 midterms after Watergate.

I must agree with these. Trump's ardent supporters would have held Republicans responsible if he had been removed from office, and no doubt would have retaliated in the primaries against some of them. Turnout will be critical in this election, and they would be less enthused to turnout without their "idol" at the top of the ticket.

[tagimaucia]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

There is a history of Trump being undercounted. It's not out of thin air.

The national polls undershot Trump's margin by... 1 point, not 4 or 5 or 6.

I'm pretty sure Texas polls have undershot Democrats by a lot more than that in both 2016 and 2018 (3 or 4 points both times).

[SN2903]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

There is a history of Trump being undercounted. It's not out of thin air.

The national polls undershot Trump's margin by... 1 point, not 4 or 5 or 6.

I'm pretty sure Texas polls have undershot Democrats by a lot more than that in both 2016 and 2018 (3 or 4 points both times).

Elections are decided in the states NOT nationally and the polls in Mi, WI, PA, FL were all wrong.

[indietraveler]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

There is a history of Trump being undercounted. It's not out of thin air.

The national polls undershot Trump's margin by... 1 point, not 4 or 5 or 6.

I'm pretty sure Texas polls have undershot Democrats by a lot more than that in both 2016 and 2018 (3 or 4 points both times).

Elections are decided in the states NOT nationally and the polls in Mi, WI, PA, FL were all wrong.

You're missing all the reasonable points people are trying to make here.

[Nyvin]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

There is a history of Trump being undercounted. It's not out of thin air.

The national polls undershot Trump's margin by... 1 point, not 4 or 5 or 6.

I'm pretty sure Texas polls have undershot Democrats by a lot more than that in both 2016 and 2018 (3 or 4 points both times).

Texas polls "under" counted Clinton in 2016 by 2.7%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

Democrats need to stop siding with rioters and looters over our President. To act like Democrats are being responsible right now is a joke.

Its politically motivated in an election yr, by Stephen Jackson whom is friends with Lebron James, who wanted Hilary in and was very close to Obama. Biden is Veep to Obama

[Bidenworth2020]

Junk it. Quinnipiac is not reliable after 2018
Trump will win by 5-7. 13% undecided? LOL

Is every poll skewed 4-5 points Dem in your opinion lol .


If Trump wants to be reelected , maybe he should act like a leader for once who cares about governing especially in a time of crises and if he had done that from like the beginning of this year then this election would have been almost a lock for him but instead he is still acting like this is 2016

There is a history of Trump being undercounted. It's not out of thin air.

The national polls undershot Trump's margin by... 1 point, not 4 or 5 or 6.

I'm pretty sure Texas polls have undershot Democrats by a lot more than that in both 2016 and 2018 (3 or 4 points both times).

Elections are decided in the states NOT nationally and the polls in Mi, WI, PA, FL were all wrong.

...and they were off by similar margins in Texas? What is so complicated.