Rate Kansas

[ElectionsGuy]

Vote or change vote in previous threads here:

AZ CO GA GA(S) IA ME MI MT NH NC TX

Ratings

No Election: 35
Safe Dem: 8
Likely Dem: 2
Lean Dem: 2
Toss-Up/Tilt Dem: 2
Toss-Up/Tilt Rep: 1
Lean Rep: 2
Likely Rep: 2
Safe Rep: 12
No Election: 30

Predictions

Democrats: 49
Republicans: 47

Pickups

AZ CO ME NC

[Woody]

Safe Republican. R+15.

[Galeel]

Likely R, closer to safe than lean. I think even Kobach probably wins, and I don't think he'll be the nominee.

[😥]

Lean R, bordering on Likely R with Marshall, Pure Tossup with Kobach

[MT Treasurer]

Kobach vs. Bollier: Tossup/Tilt D
Marshall vs. Bollier: Lean R

But certainly not "Safe R" because of "polarization" or whatever.

[Woody]

Kobach vs. Bollier: Tossup/Tilt D
Marshall vs. Bollier: Lean R

But certainly not "Safe R" because of "polarization" or whatever.

Son. Ever heard about Indiana 2016?

[Roll Roons]

Kobach vs. Bollier: Tossup/Tilt D
Marshall vs. Bollier: Lean R

But certainly not "Safe R" because of "polarization" or whatever.

Son. Ever heard about Indiana 2016?

Todd Young is a much, much stronger candidate than Kobach, and Bollier still lives in Kansas and won’t forget her address.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Kobach vs. Bollier: Lean R, but closer to Tilt R than Likely R

Marshall vs. Bollier: Safe R

I split the difference and went with Likely R, but closer to Lean R than Safe R since I have no idea whether Kobach or Marshall is favored in the primary.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt D, Bollier has a slight lead in the polls

[SnowLabrador]

Safe R even with Kobach. Partisanship will kick in.

[here2view]

Kobach: Lean R but closer to Tilt than Likely
Marshall: Safe R

[S019]

Lean R for now

[Gracile]

Voted Likely R on balance, but it will depend a lot on the GOP primary.

[GMantis]

Lean R if Kobach wins the primary, Safe R otherwise. So overall Likely R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt D

[ProgressiveModerate]

Likely R. Will move to tilt R is Kobach wins the nomination though. If Marshall wins this seat is safe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely R. Will move to tilt R is Kobach wins the nomination though. If Marshall wins this seat is safe.

KS trended D in 2002 and 2006 with Kathleen Sebelius and AZ trended D with Janet Napolitano during the 2008 Recession,  we are a Recession already in 2020

Gov Kelly whom Rs think will lose in 2022 has a 60 percent approval like Gov Bullock and Cooper

[Lechasseur]

Lean R if Kobach wins the primary, Safe R otherwise. So overall Likely R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R if Kobach wins the primary, Safe R otherwise. So overall Likely R.

And Gov Kelly and Gov Sebelius says hi, after Gov Kelly has a 60 percent approval like Bullock and Cooper does, that's why Dems are leading in KS, MT and NC

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Kobach vs. Bollier: Tossup/Tilt D
Marshall vs. Bollier: Lean R

But certainly not "Safe R" because of "polarization" or whatever.

Yeah, that's it. Ignored. If you think a Marshall vs Bollier race is Lean R you aren't a serious..well, anything.

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, that's it. Ignored.

Thank God.

[Coastal Elitist]

Lean R if Kobach wins the primary, Safe R otherwise. So overall Likely R.

And Gov Kelly and Gov Sebelius says hi, after Gov Kelly has a 60 percent approval like Bullock and Cooper does, that's why Dems are leading in KS, MT and NC

If Governor races were an indication of anything California would've voted Republican in 2008 after Arnold easily won in 2006. That's what your logic seems to be saying.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R if Kobach wins the primary, Safe R otherwise. So overall Likely R.

And Gov Kelly and Gov Sebelius says hi, after Gov Kelly has a 60 percent approval like Bullock and Cooper does, that's why Dems are leading in KS, MT and NC

If Governor races were an indication of anything California would've voted Republican in 2008 after Arnold easily won in 2006. That's what your logic seems to be saying.

Bollier is leading Kobach, there is no poll on the Marshall race.

Bullock and Cunningham are leading by 5 or more points due to Trump doesnt want a check on his Testimg policies by a Dem House

[Coastal Elitist]

Lean R if Kobach wins the primary, Safe R otherwise. So overall Likely R.

And Gov Kelly and Gov Sebelius says hi, after Gov Kelly has a 60 percent approval like Bullock and Cooper does, that's why Dems are leading in KS, MT and NC

If Governor races were an indication of anything California would've voted Republican in 2008 after Arnold easily won in 2006. That's what your logic seems to be saying.

Bollier is leading Kobach, there is no poll on the Marshall race.

Bullock and Cunningham are leading by 5 or more points due to Trump doesnt want a check on his Testimg policies by a Dem House

Get back to me when a non internal poll of Kansas is done. Also I recall in 2016 certain democrats were leading in the polls at this point and went on to lose

[Xing]

Lean R if Kobach wins the primary, Safe R otherwise. So overall Likely R.