PPP (Iowa): Ernst +1

[S019]

Lean R, this is more competitive that Atlas admits, but Ernst is still an undeniable favorite, and this is way closer to Likely than tossup. Honestly, I’d prefer that Democrats don’t invest too much here, as this one is basically a reach race.

[S019]

Lean R, this is more competitive that Atlas admits, but Ernst is still an undeniable favorite, and this is way closer to Likely than tossup. Honestly, I’d prefer that Democrats don’t invest too much here, as this one is basically a reach race.

I’m confused...

I mean that it's not Likely/Safe R, and it is competitive, but at the same time it's Lean R, and Ernst is a definite favorite, just not an overwhelming one.

[S019]

43 to 42 for Ernst and 47 to 43 for McConnell is bad for their reelection prospects 😍😍😍

Sen Greenfield and Sen McGrath

It tilts R, but not Solid R, Dems know the difference

I'm sorry but KY isn't flipping, I think after 2008 and 2014 the lesson was learned that KY is Safe R