COVID-19 Megathread 4: Grandma Got Run Over by the Dow Jones

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Not interested in arguing with the Internet Research Agency, it’s beyond dispute that community spread in the U.S for months while Trump downplayed the crisis is why so many people will needlessly die.

You just claimed you thought it would be hundreds or thousands deaths with Hillary. Not even the Internet Research Agency would spread such disinformation even though they're working overtime trying to sow discord  in US with baseless claims

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Wow, look at the tracker today. Nearly every state seeing decreases in new cases compared to yesterday. Looks like the tide has turned more quickly than anyone expected and Trump has saved the country from disaster, expect a big approval bump.

Hopefully, but it could also just be the Sunday/weekend effect that we've seen before.

Nate Silver appears cautious, too

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1246822933026267136
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1246825582471647233

[Dr. Arch]

Putting Russian Bear on super ignore was the best decision for my mental health.

[President Johnson]

Wow, look at the tracker today. Nearly every state seeing decreases in new cases compared to yesterday. Looks like the tide has turned more quickly than anyone expected and Trump has saved the country from disaster, expect a big approval bump.

One day is hardly a trend here. The same happened weeks ago in Germany and I actually thought it might be a gamechanger, and the rise hasn't stopped yet despite contact ban. To see trend emerging, this needs to be the case over at least a week. It can also be assumed the increase drops on weekends because less people go to work.

[Frodo]

Putting Russian Bear on super ignore was the best decision for my mental health.

I've had him on ignore for a while -what was he saying?

[Dr. Arch]

Putting Russian Bear on super ignore was the best decision for my mental health.

I've had him on ignore for a while -what was he saying?

Idk. Something hackish, for sure.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Putting Russian Bear on super ignore was the best decision for my mental health.

And happiness too swiftly flies.
Thought would destroy their paradise.
No more; where ignorance is bliss,
'Tis folly to be wise 

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Wow, look at the tracker today. Nearly every state seeing decreases in new cases compared to yesterday. Looks like the tide has turned more quickly than anyone expected and Trump has saved the country from disaster, expect a big approval bump.

One day is hardly a trend here. The same happened weeks ago in Germany and I actually thought it might be a gamechanger, and the rise hasn't stopped yet despite contact ban. To see trend emerging, this needs to be the case over at least a week  It can also be assumed the increase drops on weekends because less people go to work.

In ID classes, we were taught that a pattern can be considered significant after 4-10 days.  (The range is so broad because it depends on the illness, along with a bunch of other factors).

[GeorgiaModerate]

If a troll makes a post and everyone has them on ignore, does it make a sound?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

If a troll makes a post and everyone has them on ignore, does it make a sound?

Geez, Georgia I know we've had our differences, but that hurts

[GeorgiaModerate]

If a troll makes a post and everyone has them on ignore, does it make a sound?

Geez, Georgia I know we've had our differences, but that hurts

LOL.  Definitely not; you're more of an anti-troll.

(A llort?)

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

If a troll makes a post and everyone has them on ignore, does it make a sound?

Geez, Georgia I know we've had our differences, but that hurts

LOL.  Definitely not; you're more of an anti-troll.

(A llort?)

I believe a "llort" is a cryptid half-bear/half-man beast that is said to prowl the bogs of Wales. 

[Del Tachi]

Wow, look at the tracker today. Nearly every state seeing decreases in new cases compared to yesterday. Looks like the tide has turned more quickly than anyone expected and Trump has saved the country from disaster, expect a big approval bump.

That tracker you're citing may not be entirely accurate:

Coronavirus death toll: Americans are almost certainly dying of covid-19 but being left out of the official count

As if we ever come close to to accurately counting deaths from the flu or other respiratory viruses that primarily kill older folks with serious preexisting conditions.  There’s an almost unanswerable argument here about how to code these deaths in people who are really sick - does blaming the coronavirus or the flu (or anything else) for the death of someone who would have died in a few days from a severe underlying illness make sense? 

[Virginiá]

https://twitter.com/alexkotch/status/1246797807094239239

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

No thread subtitle, Virginia?

"AntIViral?"

"IV Drip?"

(Working with what I have here.)

[Dr. Arch]

No thread subtitle, Virginia?

"AntIViral?"

"IV Drip?"

(Working with what I have here.)

Grandma Got Run Over by the Dow Jones

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1246837549546553346

[QAnonKelly]

My mom and I were supposed to go to Amsterdam the 20th but decided to go to Berlin instead because the German government's website was much more helpful and the attractions are opening back up the 19th.

[GP270watch]

https://twitter.com/rmayemsinger/status/1246531751775580161

MAGA tragedy played out in real time, quite sad. Also been reading reports of people going to the hospital sick, being diagnosed with Covid-19 and fighting with Doctors to give them the medication Trump talked about in his speech.

 This is not the way to conduct healthcare even in a pandemic. Doctors are professionals and will use all tools available to them to save lives. They don't need people coming in with a politcal agenda undermining them. What a mess. I really hope these anti-malaria drugs actually work.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Here's a pretty good and easy to read general explanatory article on epidemic models:

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01003-6

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ByMikeBaker/status/1246869458229981185

[Bandit3 the Worker]

My mom and I were supposed to go to Amsterdam the 20th but decided to go to Berlin instead because the German government's website was much more helpful and the attractions are opening back up the 19th.

Of April??? I wouldn't want to go on a trip anywhere this month.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Not a Brit, but the Queen's address was quite moving.

https://mobile.twitter.com/BBCBreaking/status/1246876720952639492

[emailking]

does blaming the coronavirus or the flu (or anything else) for the death of someone who would have died in a few days from a severe underlying illness make sense? 

Yes.

[It’s so Joever]

Wow, look at the tracker today. Nearly every state seeing decreases in new cases compared to yesterday. Looks like the tide has turned more quickly than anyone expected and Trump has saved the country from disaster, expect a big approval bump.

That tracker you're citing may not be entirely accurate:

Coronavirus death toll: Americans are almost certainly dying of covid-19 but being left out of the official count

As if we ever come close to to accurately counting deaths from the flu or other respiratory viruses that primarily kill older folks with serious preexisting conditions.  There’s an almost unanswerable argument here about how to code these deaths in people who are really sick - does blaming the coronavirus or the flu (or anything else) for the death of someone who would have died in a few days from a severe underlying illness make sense? 

With your “logic” I should be able to shoot up a ward of terminally ill cancer patients and not be classified as a murderer.