St Patrick's Day (Mar 17) Election Results Thread

[NOVA Green]

Leon County, perhaps not surprisingly looking like one of Bernie's strongest thus far....

[W]

Hopping on, not gonna be following these too closely since it's all but over at this point. Still will be eyeballing Illinois.

Reminder that there is no way these primaries should be going on and when DeWine is making better moral calls than some of these other governors we are in big trouble.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1240056881915232256

[Bidenworth2020]

Leon County, perhaps not surprisingly looking like one of Bernie's strongest thus far....

Also matching Biden's statewide %. Wonder why they had less other voters?

[NOVA Green]

Just saw an AZ exit poll on MSNBC and 35% of DEM PRIM voters were 65+

[Green Line]

Hopping on, not gonna be following these too closely since it's all but over at this point. Still will be eyeballing Illinois.

Reminder that there is no way these primaries should be going on and when DeWine is making better moral calls than some of these other governors we are in big trouble.

Yes, lets cancel our elections because .0009% of Americans have a virus that 99%+ of will recover from.

Anyway, not a good start for Bernie but not as bad as I expected.

[Bidenworth2020]

Just saw an AZ exit poll on MSNBC and 35% of DEM PRIM voters were 65+

Is this high or low?

[W]

Hopping on, not gonna be following these too closely since it's all but over at this point. Still will be eyeballing Illinois.

Reminder that there is no way these primaries should be going on and when DeWine is making better moral calls than some of these other governors we are in big trouble.

Yes, lets cancel our elections because .0009% of Americans have a virus that 99%+ of will recover from.

Anyway, not a good start for Bernie but not as bad as I expected.

It's not that, it's the fact that as most even "confirmed" cases have no known source it is almost certain that real #s are 20x or more. With basically all non-essential services closed at least here in NY proceeding with the primary process is nuts. Especially given this illness has a higher (close to 20%) mortality rate with the elderly who consitute a huge voting and volunteer bloc and our medical system simply cannot handle the surge in cases this will inevitably cause. Biden will be the nominee, I know it you know it, his coronation can be put off until June. This process is a mere formality at this point.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

All three of these are going to be a slaughter in favor of Joe.

Only question is if Bernie drops out tonight.

[Oryxslayer]

Alachua EV comes in and it looks to be on par with Osceola. Those are the best counties Sanders will get out of Florida.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

[MillennialModerate]

I don’t think it will happen but I felt like if Sanders wasn’t viable in Florida, he would drop out

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

Although it’ll mainly be because of EV, that’s still an impressive accomplishment given the circumstances.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

I don’t think it will happen but I felt like if Sanders wasn’t viable in Florida, he would drop out

One can hope.

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1240056881915232256

One of my pet peeves (not ideological but rather as someone who enjoys looking at data after the fact), is that Early-Early Votes in primaries distorts any type of comparative picture....

Here we are looking at election results from FL and now we have tons of Bloomberg votes floating around cluttering things up.... it was the same way with CA, when we had tons of Pete, Amy, & Steyer voters mucking around with the statistics....

Additionally crowded DEM PRIM field in 2020 effed things up further....

In Oregon where it is all VbM, unless you live way out in the sticks, you can always fill out your ballot even same day and drop it off in a ballot box, without having to worry about election lines or state postal deadlines for "ballots received"...

If your candidate drops out a few days before, your vote still counts even if "Donald Duck" graceful announced his/their "suspension" of their Presidential Campaign....

Rant aside.... let's carry on folks.   

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

Uhh what have YOU seen?

[libertpaulian]

Bernie is getting absolutely destroyed, and I'm here for it!

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

This is amazing and shows the benefit of vote by mail.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

Uhh what have YOU seen?

Turnout is slightly down in Palm Beach relative to 2016 (about 97%), down in Duval (95%), probably down in Broward (92%). Tampa area is about 110% higher but not enough to get this to 2 million.

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

Uhh what have YOU seen?

Turnout is slightly down in Palm Beach relative to 2016 (about 97%), down in Duval (95%), probably down in Broward (92%). Tampa area is about 110% higher but not enough to get this to 2 million.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1240061232289366016

[NOVA Green]

I don’t think it will happen but I felt like if Sanders wasn’t viable in Florida, he would drop out

One can hope.

Personally I believe the opposite....

Sanders being in the race both in '16 & '20 has moved the policy positions of DEM standard banners to the Left on fundamental issues that now have overwhelming support among the DEM base (and are also pop among the American population).

1.) $15/Hr Min Wage
2.) Free or heavily discounted public college and universities (mean tested).
3.) M4A (Or some variant of an expansion of a "single payer" style system.

I would argue that this will make Biden a stronger GE candidate, if as appears might well be the case, he ends up eventually with the DEM Nomination for PRES.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1240059450007977987

That's way off, it won't break 2 million based on what I've seen following turnout in multiple counties

Uhh what have YOU seen?

Turnout is slightly down in Palm Beach relative to 2016 (about 97%), down in Duval (95%), probably down in Broward (92%). Tampa area is about 110% higher but not enough to get this to 2 million.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1240061232289366016

I really don’t think DDH will be off by half a million.

[Horsemask]

Why is Bernie still in this?

[NOVA Green]

Anybody betting on Miami-Dade Margins???

Was 75-24 HRC in '16....

https://enr.electionsfl.org/DAD/2581/Summary/

Biden 56
Sanders 20
Bloomberg 16

DDHQ now has it as with 117/783 precincts reporting (assuming fully reporting + all of the Ev):

Biden 57
Sanders 21
Bloomberg 16