MO/MS-Data For Progress: Biden massacres expected
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  MO/MS-Data For Progress: Biden massacres expected
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Author Topic: MO/MS-Data For Progress: Biden massacres expected  (Read 3855 times)
heatcharger
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« on: March 08, 2020, 10:45:38 PM »

https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/3/8/ahead-in-ms-mo

Missouri:
Biden 62%
Sanders 32%
Warren 4%
Gabbard 2%

Mississippi:
Biden 77%
Sanders 22%
Gabbard 1%
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2020, 10:47:19 PM »

Bernie should drop out on Monday to be honest, if he wants to avoid utter humiliation.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2020, 10:54:31 PM »

Damn son.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2020, 10:55:59 PM »

This is looking more and more like a repeat of the 2004 primary.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2020, 11:26:19 PM »

New Poll: Mississippi President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-03-07

Summary:
Biden:
77%
Sanders:
22%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2020, 11:26:24 PM »

New Poll: Missouri President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-03-07

Summary:
Biden:
62%
Sanders:
32%
Other:
6%
Undecided:
0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #6 on: March 08, 2020, 11:33:39 PM »

Reminder that while Data for Progress tended to do well in whiter States, they horribly undershot Biden in the states with rural AAs. So MS could be an even worse slaughter for Bernie.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: March 09, 2020, 05:56:09 AM »

Reminder that while Data for Progress tended to do well in whiter States, they horribly undershot Biden in the states with rural AAs. So MS could be an even worse slaughter for Bernie.

I would not be surprised if he did worse than 2016 (Hillary 83-17)
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #8 on: March 09, 2020, 01:47:29 PM »

PredictIt odds for Mississippi:

Biden 99%
O'Rourke 1%
Harris 1%
Booker 1%
Sanders 1%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #9 on: March 09, 2020, 03:48:42 PM »

King Joseph
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: March 09, 2020, 06:11:52 PM »

Oof!
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Amtrak Joe
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« Reply #11 on: March 09, 2020, 09:09:57 PM »

Joementum!
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #12 on: March 11, 2020, 06:34:31 PM »

Anyway Data for Progress is back on their accuracy streak...though now with exceptions. Michigan, Idaho, and Missouri were all close to the final result. In this environment we should probably expect the final Washington results to be near their Biden+6. However, the reservation I alluded to was that their have been less accurate in Black Belt states with rural AAs, and the Mississippi poll here behaves similar to that trend.
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OneJ
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« Reply #13 on: March 11, 2020, 07:52:35 PM »

Anyway Data for Progress is back on their accuracy streak...though now with exceptions. Michigan, Idaho, and Missouri were all close to the final result. In this environment we should probably expect the final Washington results to be near their Biden+6. However, the reservation I alluded to was that their have been less accurate in Black Belt states with rural AAs, and the Mississippi poll here behaves similar to that trend.

Yes. It seems clear that they have a particularly difficult time polling states with high percentages of Black populations (especially rural ones).
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