MI (Target-Insyght) - Biden +41
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  MI (Target-Insyght) - Biden +41
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Author Topic: MI (Target-Insyght) - Biden +41  (Read 2449 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« on: March 09, 2020, 10:33:24 AM »

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Target_Insyght_Michigan_Dem_Primary_March_9_2020.pdf
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2020, 10:38:07 AM »

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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #2 on: March 09, 2020, 10:44:35 AM »

This doesn't mean anything. Sanders was polling badly in MI back in 16', yet he won in a upset against Clinton.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #3 on: March 09, 2020, 10:46:34 AM »

I know that Sanders pulled off an upset in 2016 while polling badly, but I can't imagine the polls being this far off now. 2016 was also a different race and Hillary was much more unpopular than Biden.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #4 on: March 09, 2020, 10:47:24 AM »

This doesn't mean anything. Sanders was polling badly in MI back in 16', yet he won in a upset against Clinton.
Biden > Clinton

2020 Sanders < 2016 Sanders
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ShamDam
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« Reply #5 on: March 09, 2020, 10:51:09 AM »

Oh come on this is just embarrassing
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #6 on: March 09, 2020, 10:54:35 AM »

I know that Sanders pulled off an upset in 2016 while polling badly, but I can't imagine the polls being this far off now. 2016 was also a different race and Hillary was much more unpopular than Biden.

Many Sanders 2016 votes were merely protest voters against HRC, who did poorly with WWCs in rural areas. Biden has done well with them in ST primaries. So this isn't a factor anymore. The same happened / will happen in Appalachia primaries such as WV and KY, though I doubt Sanders will be in the race by May, when these states vote. If recent polls are remotely accurate, Sanders is done by the end of March at latest.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #7 on: March 09, 2020, 10:57:37 AM »



RE:  MI (CNN) - Biden +80

this poll is meaningless bernie was predicted to lose michigan in 2016 and came back to win it also all the predictors had trump winning the general election especially NATE BRONZE and trump won so you really cant trust any of these polls also everyone i know is voting for bernie so theres no way hes down 80 points and i dont believe for a second that 90% of democratic voters want to vote for someone who has dementia and personally invaded iraq and wants to eliminate social security these polls are just another plot by the establishment owned corporate media to reduce enthusiasm for bernie and help sleepy joe win so you see bernie is really winning VIVA LA REVOLUCION
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Dr Oz Hater
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« Reply #8 on: March 09, 2020, 10:58:05 AM »

@Bernie Bros

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RI
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« Reply #9 on: March 09, 2020, 10:58:57 AM »

To those who think a miraculous upset is possible here because of 2016: where do you envision the Sanders votes coming from? Or will Biden supporters just get complacent and not show up?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #10 on: March 09, 2020, 11:08:49 AM »

To those who think a miraculous upset is possible here because of 2016: where do you envision the Sanders votes coming from? Or will Biden supporters just get complacent and not show up?

I'm interested too. The WWC voters that carried Bernie to victory in 2016 are no longer supporting him, especially after he came out in support of decriminalizing illegal immigration and allowing illegal aliens to receive healthcare paid for by taxpayers.

There are not enough Hispanics in MI to make up for that loss, and Sanders isn't going to win black voters. 
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: March 09, 2020, 11:10:40 AM »

I don't think a Sanders upset is happening this time, but I doubt it will be this lopsided.
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Catalyst138
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« Reply #12 on: March 09, 2020, 11:36:35 AM »

Okay, this poll can't be true. There's no way Bernie is losing Michigan by as much as he lost the Deep South.
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АndriуValeriovych
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« Reply #13 on: March 09, 2020, 11:41:20 AM »

If this is true, Sanders should drop out after Michigan
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Georgia Democrat in 2022
mollybecky
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« Reply #14 on: March 09, 2020, 12:02:45 PM »

I do think Biden is going to win Michigan big(ly) tomorrow.  But this margin is a little too much!
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: March 09, 2020, 12:24:01 PM »

Bernie is done.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #16 on: March 09, 2020, 12:33:58 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: March 09, 2020, 12:35:42 PM »

I'll join the skeptical-of-the-margin group.  Biden will very probably win, but not by anything like that.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: March 09, 2020, 02:37:27 PM »

I realize it makes no difference since this primary is no longer in question, but the massive point spread in these polls is quite amusing. Biden +15 or Biden +41?
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President Johnson
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« Reply #19 on: March 09, 2020, 02:49:57 PM »

I'm starting to feel bad for the bros. They're going through a rough time, even though this poll is definitely an outlier. I'm expecting a 10-15 point win at best.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #20 on: March 09, 2020, 02:52:05 PM »

I'm starting to feel bad for the bros. They're going through a rough time, even though this poll is definitely an outlier. I'm expecting a 10-15 point win at best.

Anytime I feel bad for the Bros I just open up social media

Quote
As a professional mental health expert it is obvious to me that Biden is in the advanced stages of dementia.  The Democratic establishment is propping up this drooling, sundowning moron because they would rather lose to Trump than let poor people get insulin

and all is cured.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #21 on: March 09, 2020, 06:13:43 PM »

I doubt that he will do this well, but this really might be the end of Sanders if Biden wins by even a fifth of this. 
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AGA
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« Reply #22 on: March 09, 2020, 09:59:00 PM »

And people thought that I was crazy for suggesting that Sanders drop out...
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IceSpear
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« Reply #23 on: March 10, 2020, 11:30:39 PM »

This poll is just as off as a Sanders +10 poll would've been, lol.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #24 on: March 11, 2020, 06:33:23 PM »

It's remarkable that polls overestimated Biden so much and yet he still somehow managed to decimate Sanders here. In a way Sanders did get another polling error here that he wanted...it just wasn't as favorable to him as in 2016.
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