Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There will be a backlash but it isnt gonna be an EC landslide, its gonna be reverse of 2016, with MI/PA/WI flips and Dems gain AZ, CO, ME, NC in the Senate; whereas, Dems should of won PA and WI Senate seats, in 2016. BIDEN is up 3 to 5 points not 6 to 10 and will choose Warren or Yates as Veepstakes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump job approval: 43/54 (-11)
Trump virus approval: 43/53 (-10)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F04.21.20.pdf

MSNBC has his polls 46/51, the same as last yr

[wbrocks67]

The country is getting ready to open up, Trump approvals are gonna improve

45 thousand people are still dead and we are still in recession
So no trump is not going to improve at all........

if anything his approval going to get a lot worse since the 1000 dollar checks trump has been hyping up wont be nearly enough to help many as this recession drags on over the next few months

I predict there will be A backlash against both trump and the GOP once people really start to feel the pain of this ongoing recession

I hope your right, but I've been waiting three and a half years for the backlash against Trump, it's been disappointingly small so far

Were you asleep during the 2018 midterms or

[Person Man]

The country is getting ready to open up, Trump approvals are gonna improve

45 thousand people are still dead and we are still in recession
So no trump is not going to improve at all........

if anything his approval going to get a lot worse since the 1000 dollar checks trump has been hyping up wont be nearly enough to help many as this recession drags on over the next few months

I predict there will be A backlash against both trump and the GOP once people really start to feel the pain of this ongoing recession

I hope your right, but I've been waiting three and a half years for the backlash against Trump, it's been disappointingly small so far

Were you asleep during the 2018 midterms or

It wasn't enough for the Senate but the backlash against Obama wasn't enough for the senate, either.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 19-21, 1500 adults including 1144 RV

Adults:

Approve 46 (nc)
Disapprove 47 (-1)

Strongly approve 25 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-1)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46 (+1), Disapprove 45 (-2)


RV:

Approve 46 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (-2)

Strongly approve 28 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-3)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 45 (+2), Disapprove 51 (-2)

2020 (RV only): Biden 48 (nc), Trump 42 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 46 (-1), R 38 (-2)

[Person Man]

According to 538, Trump is near -9 again. He tends to be around there during election years.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), April 15-21, 4429 adults including 3806 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (-3)
Disapprove 52 (+1)

Strongly approve 23 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (+3)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 44 (-4), Disapprove 52 (+4)

Biden 43 (+1), Trump 36 (-2)


RV:

Approve 43 (-3)
Disapprove 54 (+3)

Strongly approve 25 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+4)

Biden 47 (+2), Trump 39 (-1)

[pbrower2a]

No bounce for Trump in Jersey - 41/56 approval.

Governor Murphy, meanwhile, has a +51 approval, 72/21.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_nj_042120/

Michigan: poll done for the Detroit Free Press.

Trump approval 50-54%
Trump approval positive but under 50%
ties are in white
Trump approval negative but disapproval under 50%
Trump disapproval 50-54%
Trump disapproval 55% or higher

[GeorgiaModerate]

AP/NORC, April 16-20, 1057 adults (change from late March)

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (-4)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+2)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 41 (-3), Disapprove 58 (+3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Florida: Quinnipiac, April 16-20, 1385 RV

Approve 45
Disapprove 51

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46, Disapprove 51

Biden 46, Trump 42

[American2020]

Florida: Quinnipiac, April 16-20, 1385 RV

Approve 45
Disapprove 51

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46, Disapprove 51

Biden 46, Trump 42

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1253029764060852224

[GeorgiaModerate]

Florida: Quinnipiac, April 16-20, 1385 RV

Approve 45
Disapprove 51

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46, Disapprove 51

Biden 46, Trump 42

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1253029764060852224

That map (with NE-02 for Biden and ME-02 for Trump) is exactly the prediction I entered yesterday.

[Person Man]

Florida: Quinnipiac, April 16-20, 1385 RV

Approve 45
Disapprove 51

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46, Disapprove 51

Biden 46, Trump 42

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1253029764060852224

I can believe that the lightest shades of states contain a sigma above 1 of all outcomes.

[pbrower2a]

Much data here, and not only on the electoral match-up. Perceptions about COVID-19 natter greatly as well as the reality that more than 40,000 Americans have already died.


Florida, Quinnipiac:

:


April 22, 2020 - 72% Of Florida Voters Think Social Distancing Should Continue Into May, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Biden Vs. Trump: It's Close      


As states face decisions on when to reopen, Florida voters say 72 - 22 percent that Florida should NOT loosen social distancing rules by the end of April, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. About three quarters of registered voters, 76 percent, say that the state's economy should only reopen when public health officials deem it safe, compared to 17 percent who say it should reopen even if public health officials warn against it.

"The state's stay-at-home order is scheduled to expire at the end of the month of April, but nearly three quarters of Floridians are not ready to drop their guard," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

Florida voters also do not expect the coronavirus crisis to end quickly:
49 percent expect the crisis to last a few months;
26 percent expect the crisis to last more than a year;
18 percent expect the crisis to last a few weeks.
GOVERNOR DESANTIS AND THE CORONAVIRUS

Half of Florida voters, 50 - 41 percent, approve of the way Governor Ron DeSantis is handling the coronavirus response, with wide partisan gaps. Republicans approve 81 - 14 percent, Democrats disapprove 64 - 28 percent, and independents are split with 45 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving. The governor's overall job approval is a positive 53 - 33 percent rating.

Still, about six out of ten voters, 61 percent, say Governor DeSantis could have responded sooner to the coronavirus outbreak while 34 percent say he responded quickly enough. And voters disapprove 52 - 43 percent of his decision to exempt religious services from Florida's stay-at-home order.

PRESIDENT TRUMP AND THE CORONAVIRUS

President Trump gets a slightly negative approval rating from Florida voters for the way he is handling the response to the coronavirus, with 46 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving. He gets a nearly identical overall job approval rating, with 45 percent approving of the way he is handling his job as president, while 51 percent disapprove. This is the best job approval rating Trump has received in Florida by a hair, with a negative 44 - 51 percent as his previous high in June 2019.

THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Florida voters don't have a clear favorite in the upcoming presidential election. If the election for president were being held today, former Vice President Joe Biden would get 46 percent of the vote, while Trump would get 42 percent. The candidates are holding their bases just about equally well, as Biden wins among Democrats 91 - 4 percent and Trump wins among Republicans 89 - 7 percent. The race is close among the key swing group, independents, with Biden getting 44 percent of the vote and Trump receiving 37 percent.

My comment: The usual margin of error for an electorally-large state  is 4%, and Florida just does not go more than 4% one way or the other except in electoral blowouts. This really is horrible for Trump. He can lose with Florida, but he cannot win without it. It may not be as horrid as the results on MSN's computer-collected polls, but Florida is nails in the coffin for Trump's chances should he lose his adopted home state.

Trump approval 50-54%
Trump approval positive but under 50%
ties are in white
Trump approval negative but disapproval under 50%
Trump disapproval 50-54%
Trump disapproval 55% or higher

[wbrocks67]

Florida: Quinnipiac, April 16-20, 1385 RV

Approve 45
Disapprove 51

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46, Disapprove 51

Biden 46, Trump 42

Quinnipiac oddly tries to spin that as a good thing bc it's the "highest he's gotten so far", but they fail to mention at the same time that this is again supposed to be during a "rally effect", and the most Trump can muster in a state he won in 2016 is... -6.

[wbrocks67]

AP/NORC, April 16-20, 1057 adults (change from late March)

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 47 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (-4)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+2)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 41 (-3), Disapprove 58 (+3)

I think it's 42/57, not 42/47.

[GeorgiaModerate]

AP/NORC, April 16-20, 1057 adults (change from late March)

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 47 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (-4)
Strongly disapprove 41 (+2)

COVID-19 handling: Approve 41 (-3), Disapprove 58 (+3)

I think it's 42/57, not 42/47.

It is, fat-fingered on my part.  I'll fix the OP; thanks for catching it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems made a big fuss about these stimulus checks, I havent gotten mine yet.  Alot of people havent gotten theirs yet.


That's why Trump polls are rising, the stimulus payments the Dems promised are gonna be delivered but we havent gotten our payments yet and Pelosi controls the House

[indietraveler]

Dems made a big fuss about these stimulus checks, I havent gotten mine yet.  Alot of people havent gotten theirs yet.


That's why Trump polls are rising, the stimulus payments the Dems promised are gonna be delivered but we havent gotten our payments yet and Pelosi controls the House

What are you talking about? This entire page shows Trump's numbers falling. It's been well known that if you haven't had direct deposit set up for your taxes that your refund was going to be delayed - I agree that's unfortunate considering that probably impacts a lot of people who need it most, but sending checks out always takes way longer no matter what entity you're dealing with.

[wbrocks67]

Fox News Polls - losing to Joe Biden by 8% in each

Michigan (Biden 49-Trump 41)
Favorability: 44/52 (-8)
Job approval: 47/51 (-4)
Coronavirus approval: 45/50 (-5)

Pennsylvania (Biden 50-Trump 42)
Favorability: 44/53 (-9)
Job approval: 47/51 (-4)
Coronavirus approval: 44/51 (-7)

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1253071689363140626

[Progressive Pessimist]

Florida: Quinnipiac, April 16-20, 1385 RV

Approve 45
Disapprove 51

COVID-19 handling: Approve 46, Disapprove 51

Biden 46, Trump 42

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1253029764060852224

That map (with NE-02 for Biden and ME-02 for Trump) is exactly the prediction I entered yesterday.

Remove North Carolina and I think that's a pretty likely Biden victory map.

[GP270watch]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1253071689363140626

In other words we are super polarized and nothing really matters.

[emailking]

That map (with NE-02 for Biden and ME-02 for Trump) is exactly the prediction I entered yesterday.

Which do you think is easier for Biden, NE-02 or ME-02?

[GeorgiaModerate]

That map (with NE-02 for Biden and ME-02 for Trump) is exactly the prediction I entered yesterday.

Which do you think is easier for Biden, NE-02 or ME-02?

Definitely NE-02.  I think ME-02 is out of reach for him unless it's a national landslide.