Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

New Fox Poll has it at 48/51%... virtually unchanged from their last poll.

Trump gets a 51/46% approval on Coronavirus... a lot lower compared to approval for state govt. (74%), Dr. Fauci (77%) and the Federal Government (55%).

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-march-21-24-2020

[Bidenworth2020]

New Fox Poll has it at 48/51%... virtually unchanged from their last poll.

Trump gets a 51/46% approval on Coronavirus... a lot lower compared to approval for state govt. (74%), Dr. Fauci (77%) and the Federal Government (55%).

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-march-21-24-2020

Seems like Trump's approval is settling back down to about where it was pre-virus, although 1-2 points higher.

[Pericles]

45% let's go!

Lmao grading on a curve indeed.

[Gass3268]

Most polling has suggested that it's Democrats that have seen the largest increase in approval for Trump, which means it's not too difficult to imagine that number going back down to where it has been.

[Sir Mohamed]

Most polling has suggested that it's Democrats that have seen the largest increase in approval for Trump, which means it's not too difficult to imagine that number going back down to where it has been.

... or that they will vote for him. Some GOPers might also approve their Dem gov on the pandemic, but wouldn't vote for him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems are gonna have a close election on their hands, but polling has flux between 5 and 3 point leads anyways. I wouldnt put much stock in polling due to fact, if it's a 2004, Dems will win WI, by a narrow margin, just like Kerry did.

Blowouts had a 1 percent chance anyways

[wbrocks67]

ABC/WaPo (March 22-25)

Trump overall approval: 48/46 (+2)
Trump Corona approval: 51/45 (+6)

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/coronavirus-impacts-disrupted-lives-elevated-stress-soaring-worry/story?id=69812058&cid=social_twitter_abcn

The caveat being this started on 3/22, which is already basically a lifetime ago in terms of this virus and the response.

That being said, he's seen a general ~+5 approval on the virus in most recent live caller polls.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Two high-quality Gold Standard live pollsters, basically confirming the results of Monmouth.



https://www.scribd.com/document/453417322/Fox-News-Poll-March-21-24-2020
MAR 21-24, 2020
A-
Fox News
1,011 RV

48 (+1 since Feb 23-26)
51 (-1)

Corona 51/46

Horrid "economic conditions today"

Excellent 12% (-8 since Jan)
Good 21 (-14)
Only Fair 28 (-2)
Poor 37 (+23)



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SI661NEVFDByCA6rjt9dOqNHT37N4tbUJeug72qT9Y4/
MAR 22-25, 2020
A+
ABC News/Washington Post
1,003 A

48 (+5 since FEB 14-17)
46 (-7)


RV
49 (+3)
47 (-5)

Corona
51/45 (52/45 RV)


The caveat here is that People haven't read yet about Trump Populist Boomer Stimulus 💰💰💰.

[wbrocks67]

Tracking poll updated - Trump approval on Corona

March 20-23: 52/42 (+10)
March 21-24: 52/43 (+9)
March 22-25: 48/48 (=)
March 23-26: 49/49 (=)

Overall Trump job approval is 46/52.

https://navigatorresearch.org/navigating-coronavirus/

[Hindsight was 2020]

I know compared to everyone else this is a weak rally but quite frankly Trump has handled this whole thing so poorly that he shouldn’t be getting a rally like this at all and it’s beyond horrifying that he is

[Bidenworth2020]

https://twitter.com/RyanGirdusky/status/1243525802601349120

Some interesting crosstabs (why do 12% of Republicans dissaprove?)

[LabourJersey]

https://twitter.com/RyanGirdusky/status/1243525802601349120

Some interesting crosstabs (why do 12% of Republicans dissaprove?)

17% of Democrats approve of Trump? these crosstabs look pretty sketchy

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We havent seen much of Biden as his many of the rallies have stopped and since he stopped winning primaries, his polls are equalizing back to norm. As Dems keep asking for donations and people need to conserve money

[wbrocks67]

Can also guarantee there is no way Trump has only a -14 approval among 18-29 year olds.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is a news flash that Trump can indeed win, he was always never out of it, as Bush W, Obama also had similar approval ratings as Trunp 49 percent and Melania Trump,  soccer moms connect with.

Pelosi spent all that time on impeachment for nothing, to result in a reelection of Trump

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Each time Trump gets a bit better numbers, the unskewers pop up as mushrooms after rain.


WaPo/ABC pollster is A+ Gold Standard Live Pollster. They know what they are doing. If you put enough efforts you'll always find some "inconsistency" in some (small sample) group due to random noise.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Approval-Dissaproval is only 2 points away now

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

PPP isn't a good pollster and is the only pollster showing Trump approval stagnant or declining with coronavirus, other pollsters have him going up

Not the only one:

Tracking poll has Trump's approval slowly dipping.

OVERAL APPROVAL
3/23: 47/49 (-2)
3/24: 46/51 (-5)
3/25: 46/52 (-6)

CORONAVIRUS APPROVAL
3/23: 52/42 (+10)
3/24: 52/43 (+9)
3/25: 48/48 (=)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.25.20.pdf

His bump, as I expected, was in reaction to things he promised. Had he followed through--increased testing, forcing manufacturing of more masks/supplies, eliminating cost for coronavirus testing/care, etc--then his handling would've deserved approval, at least the 'here and now' part of it.

The problem for him is that he did none of those and in fact has reversed course on every one of them (surprise surprise) and is talking now about his fantasy timeline that he wants to impose in the real world--this combined with the increasing realization of people who had their heads buried in the sand until now that the situation is increasingly dire, and could've been prevented, means reality is setting in and his approvals are coming back down.

increased testing - at least (not all states provides negative etc) 100,000 tests/day the day before yesterday and it's increasing fast https://covidtracking.com/
forcing manufacturing of more masks/supplies - Trump claims the threat of it helps, don't know it it is true, but sounds at least partially reasonable. Perhaps, there are good articles on this issue?
eliminating cost for coronavirus testing/care - well, Trump's Populist Boomer Stimulus supposed to to some extent do just that?

https://www.axios.com/whats-in-coronavirus-stimulus-bill-320eedcb-ce06-4dea-b736-8fa59a4dd5b0.html

Hospitals and health care: The deal provides over $140 billion in appropriations to support the U.S. health system, $100 billion of which will be injected directly into hospitals. The rest will be dedicated to providing personal and protective equipment for health care workers, testing supplies, increased workforce and training, accelerated Medicare payments, and supporting the CDC, among other health investments.

Coronavirus testing: All testing and potential vaccines for COVID-19 will be covered at no cost to patients.

"at no cost to patients."


That's why I think that Trump might retain a part of the Bump. How big? We'll see.

[Bidenworth2020]

Each time Trump gets a bit better numbers, the unskewers pop up as mushrooms after rain.


WaPo/ABC pollster is A+ Gold Standard Live Pollster. They know what they are doing. If you put enough efforts you'll always find some "inconsistency" in some (small sample) group due to random noise.

I know, but republicans are (or should be) about a third of the sample. That is not a small sample size.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have mixed feelings about these R polls coming out, all of a sudden Biden is trailing Trump, if Biden does lose, this will be big, no wonder why Trump is getting cocky

[The Mikado]

IMO this bump is absolutely real.

The question is just whether it lasts any appreciable amount of time (weeks, even).

Even support among Democrats going back down from that 17% to its usual 8%ish (which will eventually happen) would be enough to knock that 48% back down to ~45%.

[Gass3268]

IMO this bump is absolutely real.

The question is just whether it lasts any appreciable amount of time (weeks, even).

Even support among Democrats going back down from that 17% to its usual 8%ish (which will eventually happen) would be enough to knock that 48% back down to ~45%.

Most of the movement has been among Democrats, some with independents, very little with Republicans. Makes me think this is revert back after some time.

[The Dowager Mod]

Let's see how well medical supply companies cancelling contracts with Michigan because of Trump plays in November.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I doubt that Trump is still at 44 percent approvals

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

You all say Trump's handling of Corona is horrid. Yet there is enough of Independents and Democrats to make a ~majority that approves it. If I recall correctly, you all thought Trump's approval would tank. Yet it didn't.

So here is my questions. If there is enough of Independents and Democrats to approve his, horrid according to you, Corona Response, why are you so sure there'll never be enough of them to get him re-elected?