Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

I’m not so sure that this can just be chalked up to a rally effect. Does half this country even agree that there is a crisis to rally around? Does anyone really think people on the East and West coasts are rallying around a guy basically absolving himself of all responsibility and leaving them to their own devices?

Moreover, I thought that "rally around the flag" usually happens because nations unites, that is President is praised by both parties and, of course, by MS, no???
Now the opposite happens.

One could speculate that thats why Trump's boost is so muted compared to other historical rallies.  

Absolutely. We'll see if this "boost" is temporary.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

MAR 13-22, 2020
B
Gallup
1,020 A
https://news.gallup.com/poll/298313/president-trump-job-approval-rating.aspx

49 (+5 since March 2-13)
45 (-7)

Forgot the Coronavirus.

Handling of Corona:
Approval 60
Disapproval 38%

Approval of Handling of Corona among
GOP 94%
Indies 60%
Dems 27%

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

MAR 20-23, 2020
Global Strategy Group/GBAO
1,038 RV
https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.23.20.pdf


Approve 47 (+6)
Disapprove 49 (-7)


Corona:
Approve 52 (+10)
Disapprove 42 (-7)


Economy:
53/43

Are they going to publish on daily basis?

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.24.20.pdf
MAR 21-24, 2020
Global Strategy Group/GBAO
1,012 RV


Approve 46
Disapprove 51


Corona:
Approve 52
Disapprove 43


Economy:
52/45


Trust more on Responding to the coronavirus outbreak:
Democrats in Congress 39%
President Trump 44%

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Two high-quality Gold Standard live pollsters, basically confirming the results of Monmouth.



https://www.scribd.com/document/453417322/Fox-News-Poll-March-21-24-2020
MAR 21-24, 2020
A-
Fox News
1,011 RV

48 (+1 since Feb 23-26)
51 (-1)

Corona 51/46

Horrid "economic conditions today"

Excellent 12% (-8 since Jan)
Good 21 (-14)
Only Fair 28 (-2)
Poor 37 (+23)



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SI661NEVFDByCA6rjt9dOqNHT37N4tbUJeug72qT9Y4/
MAR 22-25, 2020
A+
ABC News/Washington Post
1,003 A

48 (+5 since FEB 14-17)
46 (-7)


RV
49 (+3)
47 (-5)

Corona
51/45 (52/45 RV)


The caveat here is that People haven't read yet about Trump Populist Boomer Stimulus 💰💰💰.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Each time Trump gets a bit better numbers, the unskewers pop up as mushrooms after rain.


WaPo/ABC pollster is A+ Gold Standard Live Pollster. They know what they are doing. If you put enough efforts you'll always find some "inconsistency" in some (small sample) group due to random noise.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

PPP isn't a good pollster and is the only pollster showing Trump approval stagnant or declining with coronavirus, other pollsters have him going up

Not the only one:

Tracking poll has Trump's approval slowly dipping.

OVERAL APPROVAL
3/23: 47/49 (-2)
3/24: 46/51 (-5)
3/25: 46/52 (-6)

CORONAVIRUS APPROVAL
3/23: 52/42 (+10)
3/24: 52/43 (+9)
3/25: 48/48 (=)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.25.20.pdf

His bump, as I expected, was in reaction to things he promised. Had he followed through--increased testing, forcing manufacturing of more masks/supplies, eliminating cost for coronavirus testing/care, etc--then his handling would've deserved approval, at least the 'here and now' part of it.

The problem for him is that he did none of those and in fact has reversed course on every one of them (surprise surprise) and is talking now about his fantasy timeline that he wants to impose in the real world--this combined with the increasing realization of people who had their heads buried in the sand until now that the situation is increasingly dire, and could've been prevented, means reality is setting in and his approvals are coming back down.

increased testing - at least (not all states provides negative etc) 100,000 tests/day the day before yesterday and it's increasing fast https://covidtracking.com/
forcing manufacturing of more masks/supplies - Trump claims the threat of it helps, don't know it it is true, but sounds at least partially reasonable. Perhaps, there are good articles on this issue?
eliminating cost for coronavirus testing/care - well, Trump's Populist Boomer Stimulus supposed to to some extent do just that?

https://www.axios.com/whats-in-coronavirus-stimulus-bill-320eedcb-ce06-4dea-b736-8fa59a4dd5b0.html

Hospitals and health care: The deal provides over $140 billion in appropriations to support the U.S. health system, $100 billion of which will be injected directly into hospitals. The rest will be dedicated to providing personal and protective equipment for health care workers, testing supplies, increased workforce and training, accelerated Medicare payments, and supporting the CDC, among other health investments.

Coronavirus testing: All testing and potential vaccines for COVID-19 will be covered at no cost to patients.

"at no cost to patients."


That's why I think that Trump might retain a part of the Bump. How big? We'll see.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

You all say Trump's handling of Corona is horrid. Yet there is enough of Independents and Democrats to make a ~majority that approves it. If I recall correctly, you all thought Trump's approval would tank. Yet it didn't.

So here is my questions. If there is enough of Independents and Democrats to approve his, horrid according to you, Corona Response, why are you so sure there'll never be enough of them to get him re-elected?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Why havent bprower responded in this thread with his maps?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Trump approval at all time high, only 2.0 points behind disapproval.

Not really translating downballot

Approvals:
Fox News          Monmouth                       ABC/WaPo
48 (+1)             48 (+4)                            49 (+3)
51 (-1)              48 (-3)                              47 (-5)

H2H vs Biden
40 (-1)           45                                        47 (+2)
49 (nc)           48 (didn't poll before)            49 (-3)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

MAR 27-30, 2020
A+
Selzer & Co.
1,009 A
777 LV
https://www.grinnell.edu/sites/default/files/docs/2020-03/GCNP%20April%202020%20Toplines%20and%20Methodology.pdf

All Adults:
48 (+8 since OCT 17-23)
45 (-5)

Economy
54 (+4)
36 (-3)

Corona:
50
43

Likely Voters:
48 (+5)
48 (-3)

H2H, Biden +4

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1245374265635061762

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 29-31, 1500 adults including 1194 RV

Adults:

Approve 47 (+1)
Disapprove 46 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 34 (-4)


RV:

Approve 47 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 29 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-3)

2020 (RV only):
Generic D 45 (-2), Trump 42 (+1)
Biden 46 (nc), Trump 42 (nc)
Sanders 45 (-1), Trump 44 (nc)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (+1), R 39 (+1)

You forgot Corona!

34. Trump Coronavirus Job Handling

Alla Adults
50 (+1)
42 (-2)

Registered Voters
50 (+2)
46 (nc)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Michigan: PPP, March 31-April 1, 1019 voters

Approve 45
Disapprove 49

On Trump's handling of the coronavirus outbreak: 46/49

Election matchup: Biden 48, Trump 45

Gov. Whitmer's approval is 54/34 overall, 62/28 on the virus.

Expected worse FWIW. -4 approval and Biden +3 in Michigan after Trump's not so bright remarks by PPP (partisan per 538).

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

538 tracks now corona approval, and people worries about their family being inflected and worsening economy (because of corona).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/coronavirus-polls/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/public_approval_of_president_trumps_handling_of_the_coronavirus-7088.html

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

You'll probably get a monthly Gold Standard A-rated polls in coming days/week from CNN, IBD/TIPP and NBC/WSJ! Curious, what they'll show.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

MAR 29-APR 1, 2020
A/B
IBD/TIPP
1,226   A

https://www.investors.com/politics/americans-back-president-trump-on-coronavirus-crisis/

Job Approval:
45 (+4 since FEB 20-29)
45 (-9)


Corona:
43
41


H2H
Biden 47 (-2)
Trump 41 (-5) 

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

APR 3-6, 2020
A/B
CNN/SSRS
https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/04/08/rel4a.-.coronavirus.pdf

1,002   A

Job Approval
44 (+1 since MAR 4-7)
51 (-2)

Corona
45 (+4)
52 (+4)


875   RV

Job Approval
44 (-1)
53 (+1)

Corona
44 (+2)
54 (+6)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

APR 3-6, 2020
A/B
CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies
804 A

https://scribd.com/document/455565763/FI12869aCNBCAAESQ1Topline

Job Approval:
46 (+ since DEC 10-13)
43 (-6)


So, two Gold Standard polls today. CNN shows -7 (-9 RV). CNBC +3.



Corona:
CDC 75/17
Fed 57/16
Trump 50/45
Congress (R) 47/39
Congress (D) 45/42


H2H (RV)
Biden 44%
Trump 39%

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/PollsterPatrick/status/1247911846985625601
👀

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Considering every other poll has had Trump's approval at least down 5 or 10 points, I'd love to see the sample on this one. There's no way it was +3.

Though Hart Strategies is one of the firms behind NBC/WSJ polls and those polls usually seem to inflate Trump's #s a bit for whatever reason

Here it is, Sir Unskewer.

https://scribd.com/document/455565763/FI12869aCNBCAAESQ1Topline

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

APR 3-7, 2020
A+
Monmouth University

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_us_040820.pdf/

Gold Standard pollster.

857 A

Job Approval
44 (-2 since MAR 18-22)
49 (+1)

Corona
46 (-4)
49 (+4)




743 RV

Job Approval
46 (-2)
49 (+1)

Corona
47 (-4)
48 (+3)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

APR 2-6, 2020
B+
Quinnipiac University
2,077 RV

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3658

A lot of Gold Standard polls today!

Job Approval
45 (+4 since MAR 5-8)
51 (-3)


Corona
46 (+3)
51 (+2)


Economy Job Approval
51 (-3)
44 (+2)


H2H:
Biden 49 (-3)
Trump 41 (nc)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

APR 4-7, 2020
A-
Fox News
1,107   RV   

https://www.scribd.com/document/455760294/Fox-News-Poll-April-4-7-2020


Job Approval   
49 (+1 since MAR 21-24)
49 (-2)

Corona:
51 (nc)
48 (+2)

H2H:
Biden 42 (-7)
Trump 42 (+2)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

I was wondering is pbrowler2a not doing the approval rating maps, due to the improvement of Trump poll numbers or what?

It's not like him to stay away from maps this long

He's doing them again with help of MSN "poll"!

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Oct. 11-13, 1500 RV including 1333 LV

RV:

Approve 42 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (+1)

Strongly approve 26 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 49 (nc)

Biden 46 (nc), Trump 37 (-1)

GCB: D 43, R 37 (not asked last week)


LV:

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 57 (+2)

Strongly approve 27 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 50 (nc)

Biden 52 (+1), Trump 42 (nc)

GCB: D 49, R 41