NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[RI]

Serious question:

When is the other 90% released ?

We are talking about 150.000 or so votes ...

No one knows

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Hmm.

What is this mess ?

NYT says just 4% reported, yet Pete’s website says with 26% in, he gets 2nd place with 21% of the delegates ...

I'm going to sleep, but I'm really done with that Pete guy.
Pete is lying

Whoooaaaaooo

[Mr. Morden]

Hmm.

What is this mess ?

NYT says just 4% reported, yet Pete’s website says with 26% in, he gets 2nd place with 21% of the delegates ...

Edison Research and the AP put poll watchers in selected precincts around the state, and so they came up with their own counts from those precincts.  Edison, for example, says they have data from ~11% of precincts, regarding both the initial and final preference popular vote.  That's what CNN lists here under first round and final round:

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/nevada

But for county delegates, they're waiting on the state party to report official results, and the state party is only up to 4% of the vote so far.

Meanwhile, separate from all of that, the Buttigieg campaign says they had poll watchers in over 20% of precincts around the state, and so they've released their own #s from those precincts.  Of course, one would expect that there's a selection effect there, where precincts being monitored by the Buttigieg campaign would tend to have Buttigieg doing better than average.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Serious question:

When is the other 90% released ?

We are talking about 150.000 or so votes ...

They must be tallied by the Vogon bureaucracy, which involves "signed in triplicate, sent in, sent back, queried, lost, found, subjected to public inquiry, lost again, and finally buried in soft peat and recycled as firelighters."

(From The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy)

[Grassroots]

The anti Pete rhetoric is going overboard. Sanders is not the presumptive nominee, being smug about nonexistent advantages is going to backfire like it did Clinton’s camp four years ago in the GE.

[KaiserDave]

Just scrap caucuses already

If not for democracy

For election nerds like us

[Brittain33]

Hmm.

What is this mess ?

NYT says just 4% reported, yet Pete’s website says with 26% in, he gets 2nd place with 21% of the delegates ...

Those are the precincts Pete's reporting. Not necessarily representative, in fact I'd expect him to choose a favorable set.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Bernie is just as much a narcissistic cult leader as Trump is and he's going to win the nomination the sane way Trump did: a militant base and a fractured field of opponents.

Bernie won moderates & conservatives... And 1 vs 1 against any of the other candidates, he wins in recent polls - especially against candidates like Bloomberg & Buttigieg who he beats head to head by 20+ points.

The only people in the Democratic party who are "fractured" are party elites, not so much the actual voters.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Just scrap caucuses already

If not for democracy

For election nerds like us

What kind of election nerd doesn't want to see multiple different kinds of elections?

[Storr]

Just scrap caucuses already

If not for democracy

For election nerds like us

endorsed.

I'd also mention a national primary, but that would give we election nerds less results to pour over from February to May.

[KaiserDave]

Just scrap caucuses already

If not for democracy

For election nerds like us

What kind of election nerd doesn't want to see multiple different kinds of elections?

What self respecting election nerd doesn't want a proper election night?

[musicblind]

Interestingly enough Warren is the only major candidate yet to speak. Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm...

I really feel she should wait and see what the final results are before making that decision.

She was great in the last debate. That might still matter. Even if she wanted to do it before Super Tuesday, she has plenty of time to evaluate and decide, imho.

She needs to drop out

[Mr. Morden]

I expect that in 2024 and beyond, Iowa at least (and maybe Nevada) will keep "caucuses", but they'll be the same format of caucuses that the GOP uses, where there's just one round of voting and no reallocation.  I can't imagine any state will keep the multi-round voting format after the fiasco we've seen this year.

[W]

Just scrap caucuses already

If not for democracy

For election nerds like us

Second this. Ranked choice too!

[Mr. Morden]

The state party just dumped a new round of results:

https://nevadacaucusresults.com

[Gass3268]

Nevada Democratic Party now has 237 precincts!

[RI]

237 precincts:

   Round 1   
Sanders   4659   31.5%
Biden   2993   20.3%
Buttigieg   2407   16.3%
Warren   1760   11.9%
Steyer   1373   9.3%
Klobuchar   1379   9.3%
Bennet   19   0.1%
Uncom   55   0.4%
Gabbard   47   0.3%
Yang   84   0.6%
Patrick   3   0.0%
Delaney   1   0.0%

   Round 2   
Sanders   5326   37.0%
Biden   3447   24.0%
Buttigieg   2607   18.1%
Warren   1386   9.6%
Steyer   532   3.7%
Klobuchar   1006   7.0%
Bennet   4   0.0%
Uncom   54   0.4%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Yang   11   0.1%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Delaney   3   0.0%

   Delegates   
Sanders   907   44.1%
Biden   514   25.0%
Buttigieg   307   14.9%
Warren   172   8.4%
Steyer   76   3.7%
Klobuchar   73   3.6%
Bennet   4   0.2%
Uncom   2   0.1%
Gabbard   1   0.0%
Yang   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%

[musicblind]

Just scrap caucuses already

If not for democracy

For election nerds like us

From your lips to God's ears!

[2016]

State Party Officials in Nevada expecting not to count all Night according to CNN Dianne Gallagher.

[W]

237 precincts:

   Round 1   
Sanders   4659   31.5%
Biden   2993   20.3%
Buttigieg   2407   16.3%
Warren   1760   11.9%
Steyer   1373   9.3%
Klobuchar   1379   9.3%
Bennet   19   0.1%
Uncom   55   0.4%
Gabbard   47   0.3%
Yang   84   0.6%
Patrick   3   0.0%
Delaney   1   0.0%

   Round 2   
Sanders   5326   37.0%
Biden   3447   24.0%
Buttigieg   2607   18.1%
Warren   1386   9.6%
Steyer   532   3.7%
Klobuchar   1006   7.0%
Bennet   4   0.0%
Uncom   54   0.4%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Yang   11   0.1%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Delaney   3   0.0%

Did-

DID DELANEY GAIN VOTES ON 2ND ALIGNMENT???

[Tender Branson]

Going back to sleep, this count is ABSURD !

6 hours after the caucus and only 10% reported ... what a farce !

[Gass3268]

That last dump was pretty good for Biden.

[musicblind]

Just scrap caucuses already

If not for democracy

For election nerds like us

Second this. Ranked choice too!

Yes. This.

[here2view]

Biden now at 25% of county delegates, Buttigieg 3rd with 14.9%

[Bidenworth2020]

Not gonna hold, but Biden doing really well right now. The only problem is Bernie is doing even better.