New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)

[Florida Man for Crime]

Who is Henry Hewes and why did he win 14 write in votes in the farthest north town?

Klobuchar, not Hewes.

[atheist4thecause]

Biden just said he hopes SC voters love him as much as he loves them in his NH speech. Hope is a freudian slip, because he's losing hope and SC is his last chance. He's going to take another hit from NV as well.

[junior chįmp]

Sad!

https://twitter.com/ddayen/status/1227414428968112128?s=19

[Oryxslayer]

According to DDHQ, Bernie leads by 2.7% or 4.7K votes. Most places still out are  either in Rockingham/Hillsborough suburbs or the rural areas between Carroll and Sullivan counties. 

[SN2903]

Biden has a chance.

Yeah at finishing 4th consistently.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Oh god Pete might win this

Literally how?

He’s cutting it really close

But nowhere near enough to win, especially with Durham completely out

I dunno, going by the DDHQ map there's a ton of townships left in Rockingham that are surrounded by places that have gone Pete/Klob or Klob/Pete so it conceivably could be enough. Remember that there are way more people in the southeast corner of New Hampshire than in the middle.

Bernie will probably still win, but its absolutely possible for Pete to pull the rabbit out of the hat here. Here's hoping for the hilarious "MAYOR CHEAT" outrage from the Bernie Bros.

Regardless, though, even if this means Bernie is probably the most likely nominee it also isn't a great indication that he'll avoid a brokered convention or that he'll do well against Trump. As has already been noted, he's basically been winning these primaries by blowing everyone out with the urban vote and colleges, but that won't be enough in a general.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

WaPo has Bernie up 4.2% with 53% reporting.

[Sestak]

Curious - which numbers was Wasserman looking at to make his projection?

[n1240]

According to DDHQ, Bernie leads by 2.7% or 4.7K votes. Most places still out are  either in Rockingham/Hillsborough suburbs or the rural areas between Carroll and Sullivan counties. 

It's closer to 4.2K vote lead since they have Manchester results incorrect.

https://twitter.com/joekellynh/status/1227417461760413698

[Gracile]

Durham is probably the most consequential Sanders-friendly area still not in yet.

[Tender Branson]

Hmm ...

Pete is doing really well in those midsized cities (10.000 to 50.000 people).

But not sure how much of those have reported vs. the big cities Manchester etc.

It could still converge at 25% each for Pete and Bernie ... or not.

[swf541]

DDHQ is way too error prone this evening to use for projecting imo

[Hollywood]

Bloomberg and Trump have got to be loving this. A muddled primary.

To be fair, Democrats laughed their way through the GOP primary in 2016, too. Be careful what you laugh for.

Yeah I'm so worried. Your party can't even run a caucus and the frontrunner is a 80 year old socialist.

Some of you are acting just like overconfident Democrats in 2016 who were delighted to be facing Trump.

I'm not worried at all. Democrats are a joke right now.

I was just laughing at the prospect of a Buttigieg candidacy.  Right now Fox News is attacking Bloomberg instead of Buttipete, because they don't see him as threat.  

If the Dems pick Buttipete, they can forget about Texas, Arizona, Florida, and Georgia.  

Arizona is viable for a Pete win, the others yeah no, but they wouldn't go to any other candidate either.

If you say so.

[Horsemask]

Biden just said he hopes SC voters love him as much as he loves them in his NH speech. Hope is a freudian slip, because he's losing hope and SC is his last chance. He's going to take another hit from NV as well.

He's in SC tonight

[BP🌹]

Let me get this straight... Democrats only care about beating blumpf, and don't care for Bernie because they think that he's unelectable... and their answer to that is Pete Buttigieg?

[Green Line]

Pete should just speak now and declare victory.  It might not pan out, but the media will cover the speech and thats all that matters.

[NOVA Green]

Is everyone focused on DDHQ's updates rather than CNN's right now?

I know CNN is slow, but DDHQ is too quick to update and not quick enough in fixing errors. Instant gratification, I guess

We like instant gratification on election night on Atlas...

Plus CNNs website doesn't seem to work well for me in Chrome.   

[Tender Branson]

Is everyone focused on DDHQ's updates rather than CNN's right now?

I know CNN is slow, but DDHQ is too quick to update and not quick enough in fixing errors. Instant gratification, I guess

We like instant gratification on election night on Atlas...

Plus CNNs website doesn't seem to work well for me in Chrome.   

CNNs colours for Pete (lite green) vs. Amy (green) is freaking me out ...

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Is everyone focused on DDHQ's updates rather than CNN's right now?

I know CNN is slow, but DDHQ is too quick to update and not quick enough in fixing errors. Instant gratification, I guess

We like instant gratification on election night on Atlas...

Plus CNNs website doesn't seem to work well for me in Chrome.   

Fair enough

[The Free North]

2.5% in it with 62% per DDHQ

[libertpaulian]

This Pete-Amy dynamic reminds me of 2012 when Ron Paul was leading in Iowa, and then the last weekend before the Iowa caucus, the press was reporting about a late Santorum "surge," which caused Santorum to surpass Paul and tie with Romney in Iowa.

[BP🌹]

Let me get this straight... Democrats only care about beating blumpf, and don't care for Bernie because they think that he's unelectable... and their answer to that is Pete Buttigieg?

You better believe it. Sorry, your socialist will be denied a nomination for the second time. Cry more.

Trump would clobber Mayor Cheat.

[swf541]

Let me get this straight... Democrats only care about beating blumpf, and don't care for Bernie because they think that he's unelectable... and their answer to that is Pete Buttigieg?

You better believe it. Sorry, your socialist will be denied a nomination for the second time. Cry more.

Trump would clobber Mayor Cheat.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Let me get this straight... Democrats only care about beating blumpf, and don't care for Bernie because they think that he's unelectable... and their answer to that is Pete Buttigieg?

You better believe it. Sorry, your socialist will be denied a nomination for the second time. Cry more.

Trump would clobber Mayor Cheat.

K

[Tender Branson]

This election is like watching an Austrian or East German one with ÖVP/SPÖ/FPÖ or CDU/Left/AfD ...