🇵🇹 Portugal's politics and elections 2.0

[Mike88]

14 minutes...

[Mello]

Leaked exit poll results have been showing PS overperforming and PSD underperforming re: last week polls all day.

[Mike88]

Leaked exit poll results have been showing PS overperforming and PSD underperforming re: last week polls all day.

Yep, From what I've seen PSD at around 31-32%, PS at around 39%. We'll see.

Also, when the first results are released, at 8pm, the PS final result is normally 1% bellow the first numbers, while the PSD droops around 5-6%.

[Logical]

If true then we have a rerun of the 2021 Canadian election haha.

[Walmart_shopper]

Leaked exit poll results have been showing PS overperforming and PSD underperforming re: last week polls all day.

Like I said watch Costa snag his majority like a boss.

[Walmart_shopper]

If true then we have a rerun of the 2021 Canadian election haha.

To be fair the Conservatives did do quite well as a percentage, they just got rolled by the grits in too many marginal ridings. This appears to be the PS with a strong rally and finish.

[Mike88]

Here we go...

[Mike88]

TV projections:

PS wins. Absolute majority is in reach, but unlikely.

[buritobr]

TV projections:

PS wins. Absolute majority is in reach, but unlikely.

Where can I find?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

How bad does the PSD performance have to be for Rio to lose the leadership?

[Oryxslayer]

If true then we have a rerun of the 2021 Canadian election haha.

Well not really. It looks like PS gained by cannibalizing BE and CDU compared to polls. Would be very funny if the "unworkable right coalition" has the majority but PS has a commanding lead.

[Mike88]

RTP exit poll:

37-42% PS
30-35% PSD
    5-8% CHEGA
    4-7% IL
    3-6% BE
    3-5% CDU
    1-3% CDS
    1-3% PAN
    1-3% Livre

SIC exit poll:

37.4-41.4% PS
26.9-30.9% PSD
    5.0-8.0% CHEGA
    4.7-7.7% IL
    3.0-6.0% BE
    3.0-6.0% CDU
    0.4-3.1% PAN
    0.6-2.6% CDS
    0.4-2.4% Livre

[Niemeyerite]

How bad does the PSD performance have to be for Rio to lose the leadership?

I think if it's not very very close, he has to go.

[S019]

TV projections:

PS wins. Absolute majority is in reach, but unlikely.

Where can I find?

I'm watching on CNN Portugal, which offers a live, non geo-blocked stream

[jaichind]

RTP exit poll has PS at 37-42 and PSD at 30-35.  Clear PS win.

[Antonio the Sixth]

If true then we have a rerun of the 2021 Canadian election haha.

Well not really. It looks like PS gained by cannibalizing BE and CDU compared to polls. Would be very funny if the "unworkable right coalition" has the majority but PS has a commanding lead.

The funniest would be if Rio then pulled off a reverse 2015 and beat Costa with his own move (also the scariest scenario of course).

[jaichind]

It seems the RTP exit poll does not cover the VBM.

[Mike88]

CMTV exit poll:

37-43% PS
27-33% PSD
    4-8% CHEGA
    4-8% IL
    3-7% CDU
    2-6% BE
    0-4% PAN
    0-4% CDS
    0-4% Livre

[Niemeyerite]

Praying for a PS majority. Costa deserves it.

[jaichind]

Both CHEGA and IL seem to have grown quite a bit relative to 2019.

[Mike88]

Looking at the results so far, a PS majority may not be that impossible. With the results so far, I'm saying the PS could end up at around 41% and the PSD at 28%.

[jaichind]

I really like the results site which compares current results to 2019 results IN THE voting areas that has been counted.  Just awesome

[Walmart_shopper]

I really like the results site which compares current results to 2019 results IN THE voting areas that has been counted.  Just awesome

Can you link it?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I really like the results site which compares current results to 2019 results IN THE voting areas that has been counted.  Just awesome

Can you link it?

Me as well!

[jaichind]

I really like the results site which compares current results to 2019 results IN THE voting areas that has been counted.  Just awesome

Can you link it?

It was posted earlier

https://www.legislativas2022.mai.gov.pt/resultados/globais

You have to click on "compare to 2019"