If Warren wins IA and Sanders wins NH, who wins NV?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 26, 2024, 01:57:29 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  If Warren wins IA and Sanders wins NH, who wins NV?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who?
#1
Warren
 
#2
Sanders
 
#3
Biden
 
#4
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 69

Author Topic: If Warren wins IA and Sanders wins NH, who wins NV?  (Read 868 times)
Biden Stans Are Cringelords
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,731
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 14, 2019, 01:48:18 AM »

If Warren wins IA and Bernie wins NH, who wins NV?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,751
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 14, 2019, 02:41:02 AM »

Sanders is stronger than Warren, he should win NV
Logged
beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,160
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2019, 02:43:16 AM »

Voted Warren, but it's a tough one.
Logged
Epaminondas
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,783


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 14, 2019, 04:01:40 AM »

Sanders is going to win NH in any scenario, so this would only bode well for Warren.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,244


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 14, 2019, 04:26:13 AM »

Probably Biden, though it depends on expectations. If Warren wins Iowa by a clear margin and New Hampshire is really close with Warren in clear second place, or Biden led in the polls for both states but came third in both, or some other scenario that would affect the media narrative and who has momentum, that would impact the outcome going forward. Momentum usually doesn't matter but in the beginning of primaries it does.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,744
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 14, 2019, 05:20:26 AM »

Sanders is going to win NH in any scenario, so this would only bode well for Warren.

Based on what? I certainly hope Sanders does but Biden and Warren are strong in NH too.
Logged
Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,862
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 14, 2019, 11:10:59 AM »

Warren is my favorite for NV, even if she doesn’t win Iowa. She’ll need to do well there and in NH though.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,202
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 14, 2019, 11:42:16 AM »

Is Warren wins Iowa and has Reid's network in her corner then she is the clear favorite.
Logged
YE
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,994


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 14, 2019, 11:47:19 AM »

Is Warren wins Iowa and has Reid's network in her corner then she is the clear favorite.

Warren for this reason.
Logged
SN2903
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 14, 2019, 11:59:03 AM »

Will be very close between Sanders and Warren
Logged
H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 14, 2019, 12:21:05 PM »

Is Warren wins Iowa and has Reid's network in her corner then she is the clear favorite.

Warren for this reason.

I know he’s spoken highly of her, but does she really have his network “in her corner”?
Logged
Donerail
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,329
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 14, 2019, 12:32:53 PM »

whoever the Culinary wants to win
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,075


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 14, 2019, 12:50:35 PM »

Is Warren wins Iowa and has Reid's network in her corner then she is the clear favorite.

Warren for this reason.

I know he’s spoken highly of her, but does she really have his network “in her corner”?

Reid has implied that his campaign infrastructure would assist Warren in the primary, though he stopped short of officially endorsing her.
Logged
YE
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,994


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 14, 2019, 01:43:28 PM »

Is Warren wins Iowa and has Reid's network in her corner then she is the clear favorite.

Warren for this reason.

I know he’s spoken highly of her, but does she really have his network “in her corner”?

It appears so, at least more so than any other candidate.
Logged
Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,862
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 14, 2019, 02:43:58 PM »

Warren apparently has a huge campaign operation in Nevada. Reid is still officially playing coy, but he was impressed by Warren’s infrastructure.
Logged
jacobmeteorite
jafcontact
Rookie
**
Posts: 131
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 14, 2019, 03:03:33 PM »

I think Warren wins Iowa, with Biden in 2nd and Bernie in 3rd
Bernie then wins New Hampshire, with Warren in 2nd, and Biden in 3rd
Warren then wins in Nevada, with Biden in 2nd, and Bernie in 3rd
Biden then wins South Carolina, with Bernie in 2nd, Harris in 3rd, and Warren in 4th

And then from there, I think each candidate does well in different states, but I don't see Kamala winning any of them, only Bernie, Warren and Biden.

I think it goes all the way to the convention, and ultimately I hope Warren wins.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 14, 2019, 04:09:45 PM »

I guess everyone here is assuming Biden collapses after losing both IA and NH? Because a continual and prolonged split between Warren and Sanders, which would almost certainly be the case if they both notched an early state, would help him quite a bit.
Logged
coloradocowboi
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,659
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 14, 2019, 04:55:03 PM »

Harry Reid will endorse Warren if she wins Iowa. I'm actually not sure Sanders can win there either if she wins Iowa. There will be defection, and NH voters are notoriously open to change--see Clinton in 08 or Sanders in 16 for that matter.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 14, 2019, 05:02:40 PM »

Here's my hot take on this: if Biden wins neither IA nor NH, he drops out. Part of his support base switches to Sanders, but a lot goes to Harris, who will stick in until SC regardless. I think Harris might be able to edge out a win in this scenario if (and it's a big if) she stays in the top tier of candidates through the start of the primaries.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,034
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 14, 2019, 05:31:16 PM »

 in the end it's probably going to be determined by whoever The Culinary unions endorse. And I would expect them to probably endorse Warren but anything is possible if you held a gun to my head I would probably say Elizabeth Warren would probably win Nevada in that case
Logged
538Electoral
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,691


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 14, 2019, 05:36:18 PM »

Close but Biden pulls it off.
Logged
DK_Mo82
Rookie
**
Posts: 223
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 14, 2019, 08:05:51 PM »

Nevada caucus is a machine dominated caucus more than Iowa. If Bernie won it he would be on route to the nomination. Harry Reid liked Warren when they were in the Senate together so if she won iowa already, she would get endorsed by Nevada machine Reid.
Logged
Anzeigenhauptmeister
Hades
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,375
Israel


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 14, 2019, 09:40:46 PM »

An even more interesting question is if something like in 2008 could happen again, when Obama won more delegates in Nevada despite having lost the caucus because of the overrepresentation of the rural areas.
Biden is to win Clark County, and the other counties are likely to be distributed between Bernie and Liz.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 14, 2019, 10:48:48 PM »

Biden could obviously still win NV and SC because those states (unlike IA/NH) actually reflect the demographic composition of the Democratic electorate.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 13 queries.