IA State Fair kernel poll

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

I need my Butti

Just think, if Jimmy Carter came out of retirement and ran again with Pete as his running mate, they would be Peanut/Butti.
(I'll get my coat...)

And if Biden is to win, I hope he's gonna choose Maria Cantwell as his running mate so that they both would run as a "Biden/Cantwell" ticket.

Of all women, why Cantwell? She’s boring. I mean, I know you want a VP who doesn’t outshine you, but might as well pick someone like Cortez Masto who’s young and exciting enough to potentially succeed you.

I was referring to the pun made by GeorgiaModerate.
"Biden/Cantwell" sounds like "Biden can't [do] well".

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren is getting new found love in IA

[Tintrlvr]

I need my Butti

Just think, if Jimmy Carter came out of retirement and ran again with Pete as his running mate, they would be Peanut/Butti.
(I'll get my coat...)

And if Biden is to win, I hope he's gonna choose Maria Cantwell as his running mate so that they both would run as a "Biden/Cantwell" ticket.

Of all women, why Cantwell? She’s boring. I mean, I know you want a VP who doesn’t outshine you, but might as well pick someone like Cortez Masto who’s young and exciting enough to potentially succeed you.

I was referring to the pun made by GeorgiaModerate.
"Biden/Cantwell" sounds like "Biden can't [do] well".

At that point obviously any nominee should pick Rhode Island's junior Senator as their running mate.

[Tender Branson]

Thursday 9pm update:

Biden 23%
Buttigieg 18%
Warren 15%
Harris 11%
Sanders 8%
Booker 4%
Gabbard 4%
Steyer 3%
Klobuchar 3%
Yang 2%
O'Rourke 2%

[Tender Branson]

Do you think there's a "reverse Gayley-Effect" going on with Buttigieg ?

People not telling pollsters their real intention, but voting for Pete in the actual elections that matter ?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sanders supporters are coalescing around Warren and she has plenty of time to close gap with Biden.

Warren will he the nominee.

[eric82oslo]

Sanders supporters are coalescing around Warren and she has plenty of time to close gap with Biden.

Warren will he the nominee.

Warren or Yang, to be more precise.

[Tender Branson]

Behind the two old people (the left one is a former IA Governor) you can see that almost 47.000 votes have now been cast, but there's no movement any longer:

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Here is the trendline:

https://twitter.com/RidgeKnapp/status/1161726773178044416
Biden has dropped from 35% when the Iowa Fair started to 23% now.

not seeing those wild fluctuations for Pete's numbers that were posted earlier in this thread.  Were those a mistake?

[Alben Barkley]

LOL Sanders.

I think it’s time for Grandpa to start seriously thinking about moving into a home.

[Eraserhead]

LOL Sanders.

I think it’s time for Grandpa to start seriously thinking about moving into a home.

Grandpa? Don't you support Biden?

[eric82oslo]

LOL Sanders.

I think it’s time for Grandpa to start seriously thinking about moving into a home.

You're talking about Biden right? Geees.

[Tender Branson]

Update (Republicans +4 vs. Democrats now):



Trump's numbers are pretty solid, considering he's at 51% of all votes cast.

He only got 40% of the vote in the Des Moines area in 2016 against Hillary.

[Tender Branson]

In the Iowa SOS straw poll, the results are slightly different:

Total votes cast: 3.479 (Ds: 1.785, or 51.3% - Rs: 1.694, or 48.7%)

Among Ds:

18.5% Biden
16.8% Warren
13.8% Buttigieg
  9.4% Sanders
  8.2% Harris
  6.5% Booker
  4.7% Gabbard
  3.7% Klobuchar
  2.9% Steyer
  2.5% O'Rourke
  2.3% Yang

Among Rs:

96.1% Trump
  3.9% Weld

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

You guys are aware this "poll" is such a joke it even allows children and non-Iowa residents to vote?

[GeorgiaModerate]

You guys are aware this "poll" is such a joke it even allows children and non-Iowa residents to vote?

Yes.  We read the whole thread, where it's been discussed multiple times.

[Tender Branson]

You guys are aware this "poll" is such a joke it even allows children and non-Iowa residents to vote?

I have not seen a clear source so far that kids are allowed to vote in the 2 straw polls ...

Out-of-state adults of course can, but how many people outside of IA are visiting the state fair ?

Probably a negligible number.

[Tender Branson]

Saturday morning update:

https://mobile.twitter.com/IACaucusInfo/status/1162744502873989120

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

You guys are aware this "poll" is such a joke it even allows children and non-Iowa residents to vote?

I have not seen a clear source so far that kids are allowed to vote in the 2 straw polls ...

https://twitter.com/BenPu_nbc/status/1160256044305735683?s=19

[Tender Branson]

You guys are aware this "poll" is such a joke it even allows children and non-Iowa residents to vote?

I have not seen a clear source so far that kids are allowed to vote in the 2 straw polls ...

https://twitter.com/BenPu_nbc/status/1160256044305735683?s=19

That’s not a „clear source“.

It’s not clear if it was „his“ vote, or just the kernel of his mum that he cast for her.

[GeorgiaModerate]

You guys are aware this "poll" is such a joke it even allows children and non-Iowa residents to vote?

I have not seen a clear source so far that kids are allowed to vote in the 2 straw polls ...

https://twitter.com/BenPu_nbc/status/1160256044305735683?s=19

That’s not a „clear source“.

It’s not clear if it was „his“ vote, or just the kernel of his mum that he cast for her.

It's not definitive, but the DMR article about Gillibrand's son says nothing about it being her kernel, and the wording (at least to me) implies that it was his own:

Before the presidential hopeful spoke at The Des Moines Register Political Soapbox on Saturday, she stopped by WHO-TV's Cast Your Kernel contest, a casual way fairgoers show support for the candidate of their choice by placing a kernel of corn in a jar labeled with the candidate's name.

Henry, age 11, wavered over to Warren's jar and teasingly contemplated casting a vote for the U.S. senator from Massachusetts.

Gillibrand gently moved Henry's hand up toward her own jar, where he eventually dropped his kernel and said, "She's pretty good. I'll vote for her."

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Out-of-state adults of course can, but how many people outside of IA are visiting the state fair?

Probably a negligible number.

Hm, I think I have to disagree with you. I think about a third of those kernels were thrown in by non-Hawkeyes.

[Tender Branson]

You guys are aware this "poll" is such a joke it even allows children and non-Iowa residents to vote?

I have not seen a clear source so far that kids are allowed to vote in the 2 straw polls ...

https://twitter.com/BenPu_nbc/status/1160256044305735683?s=19

That’s not a „clear source“.

It’s not clear if it was „his“ vote, or just the kernel of his mum that he cast for her.

It's not definitive, but the DMR article about Gillibrand's son says nothing about it being her kernel, and the wording (at least to me) implies that it was his own:

Before the presidential hopeful spoke at The Des Moines Register Political Soapbox on Saturday, she stopped by WHO-TV's Cast Your Kernel contest, a casual way fairgoers show support for the candidate of their choice by placing a kernel of corn in a jar labeled with the candidate's name.

Henry, age 11, wavered over to Warren's jar and teasingly contemplated casting a vote for the U.S. senator from Massachusetts.

Gillibrand gently moved Henry's hand up toward her own jar, where he eventually dropped his kernel and said, "She's pretty good. I'll vote for her."

That's only media-talk, no official rules or something ...

Out-of-state adults of course can, but how many people outside of IA are visiting the state fair?

Probably a negligible number.

Hm, I think I have to disagree with you. I think about a third of those kernels were thrown in by non-Hawkeyes.

Source ?

[ProudModerate2]

LOL Sanders.

I think it’s time for Grandpa to start seriously thinking about moving into a home.

You're talking about Biden right? Geees. What a total f**k of a human being you are.

Dude,
What is wrong with you today? You have issues.

[Tender Branson]

Massive Biden surge on Saturday morning between 9am and noon:

Biden went from 23% to 26% in just 3 hours and received about 90% of the additional 3.000 votes that were cast in that time.

Did he bus his supporters to the kernel poll ?