IA State Fair kernel poll
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Author Topic: IA State Fair kernel poll  (Read 10587 times)
GeneralMacArthur
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« on: August 09, 2019, 11:26:12 AM »
Maybe the closest thing we'll get to a straw poll this year.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2019, 11:40:06 AM »
LOL Sanders.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2019, 11:45:11 AM »
Looks like Biden has the 75+ hillbilly vote on lockdown.
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Gracile
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« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2019, 11:47:36 AM »
Buttigieg at 12% = second wave of momentum???
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2019, 11:51:04 AM »
Quote from: gracile on August 09, 2019, 11:47:36 AM
Buttigieg at 12% = second wave of momentum???

You know it's not a scientific poll right?

It shouldn't have really even been posted in this part of the forum.

Old white people tend to like Buttigieg more than most so I'm not surprised he did relatively well.
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Gracile
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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2019, 11:52:55 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on August 09, 2019, 11:51:04 AM
Quote from: gracile on August 09, 2019, 11:47:36 AM
Buttigieg at 12% = second wave of momentum???

You know it's not a scientific poll right?

It shouldn't have really even been posted in this part of the forum.

Old white people tend to like Buttigieg more than most so I'm not surprised he did relatively well.

I was being facetious.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: August 09, 2019, 11:54:11 AM »
Quote from: gracile on August 09, 2019, 11:52:55 AM
Quote from: Eraserhead on August 09, 2019, 11:51:04 AM
Quote from: gracile on August 09, 2019, 11:47:36 AM
Buttigieg at 12% = second wave of momentum???

You know it's not a scientific poll right?

It shouldn't have really even been posted in this part of the forum.

Old white people tend to like Buttigieg more than most so I'm not surprised he did relatively well.

I was being facetious.

Ah... good to know.
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Pyro
PyroTheFox
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« Reply #7 on: August 09, 2019, 11:54:22 AM »
Nate Silver oft refers to the Cast Your Kernel poll as the gold standard.
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RI
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« Reply #8 on: August 09, 2019, 11:55:58 AM »
Results from 2015, for the interested: https://sos.iowa.gov/statefair.html
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Zaybay
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« Reply #9 on: August 09, 2019, 12:32:23 PM »
Welp, pack it up guys, the kernels have spoken.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2019, 12:36:01 PM »
The fair has only started.

There will be thousands more votes ...
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #11 on: August 09, 2019, 12:36:02 PM »

That was shockingly close on the Dem side. Still a garbage methodology.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #12 on: August 09, 2019, 12:55:59 PM »
Next years results of the Iowa fair straw poll will be more important.

Trump beat Hillary by 11 points in August 2016 and by 10 in the election.

http://www.iowastatedaily.com/news/politics_and_administration/state/trump-grassley-win-iowa-state-fair-straw-poll/article_745d7640-687c-11e6-b5d1-47067467e47f.html
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #13 on: August 09, 2019, 01:19:08 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on August 09, 2019, 12:36:01 PM
The fair has only started.

There will be thousands more votes ...

It's fair to say that the fairest candidate is gonna win this fair. And this year that distinction goes to Gillibrand.
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gottsu
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« Reply #14 on: August 09, 2019, 04:42:10 PM »

He was in 2016, he's not exactly needed in 2020. I think same is with Biden, but he's the frontrunner, and (I think) large part of his backers back him for two things - for return to normalcy before Trump and just simply by default, like they did with HRC.

Pete, Kamala or even Warren are fresh faces in American politics and they haven't run for president, so some parts of the electorate are backing them, and not Biden or Sanders who are much, much known politicians and they once started for president - the "freshness factor" is out with these two older men, and I think that this factor plays a big role in Democratic primary.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #15 on: August 10, 2019, 09:52:43 AM »
Update:
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Zaybay
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« Reply #16 on: August 10, 2019, 09:59:31 AM »
The Kernels have spoken....again.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #17 on: August 10, 2019, 10:01:31 AM »
Good numbers for Pete.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #18 on: August 10, 2019, 10:22:15 AM »
Hopefully Saint Bernard does as well as in this poll and then drops out, ending his cult.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #19 on: August 10, 2019, 10:23:24 AM »
How this works:

(btw, can kids "vote" there as well ?)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #20 on: August 10, 2019, 10:28:17 AM »
After 2 days, the fair has already more votes than during 2 weeks in 2015 ...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #21 on: August 10, 2019, 10:53:15 AM »
Lol @ those Buttigieg numbers
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #22 on: August 10, 2019, 11:00:44 AM »
Smiley
Looks like everyone is having fun with it.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #23 on: August 10, 2019, 01:46:53 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on August 10, 2019, 10:28:17 AM
After 2 days, the fair has already more votes than during 2 weeks in 2015 ...

Doesn't surprise me.
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cvparty
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« Reply #24 on: August 10, 2019, 01:51:00 PM »
proof that bernard is OVER
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