ScottRasmussen Daily Tracking poll thread

[Eraserhead]

That's an even more boring update!

[Sorenroy]

Could one of the board mods take over the titling of the thread? It's nice to have the updates in the body, but can we either just have it be "HarrisX/ScottRasmussen.com National Tracking Poll Masterthread" or get the daily updates included in the title?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Could one of the board mods take over the titling of the thread? It's nice to have the updates in the body, but can we either just have it be "HarrisX/ScottRasmussen.com National Tracking Poll Masterthread" or get the daily updates included in the title?

Yes I asked before too but the title is awkward lol

[Joe Republic]

On Monday, they also some numbers on 2-person head-to-head matchups, from interviews made from Aug. 16-18:

https://scottrasmussen.com/crosstabs-aug-16-18-two-day-totals/

Biden 44%
Sanders 38%

Biden 42%
Harris 38%

Warren 41%
Biden 39%

Sanders 42%
Harris 35%

Sanders 43%
Warren 37%

Harris 38%
Warren 33%

So yes, Warren loses to both Harris and Sanders, but Warren beats Biden, and Biden beats both Harris and Sanders.  Try to make sense out of that.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://scottrasmussen.com/three-day-democratic-primary-updates/

8/23:
Biden - 28% (NC)
Sanders - 18% (+1)
Warren - 12% (+2)
Harris - 7% (NC)
Buttigieg - 3% (-1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 2% (NC)
Yang - 2% (NC)
Castro - 1% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)
Gillibrand - 1% (NC)
Delaney - 1% (+1)
Williamson - 1% (NC)
Bullock - 1% (NC)
de Blasio - 1% (+1)
Steyer - 1% (NC)
Ryan - 1% (NC)
Gabbard and Bennett both fall to 0%, Messam and Sestak remain at 0%.

[Canis]

Good for Sanders and Warren awful for buttigieg

[Mr. Morden]

Here’s their weekly aggregate, covering Aug. 16-23:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQSHcoPBuiYJPo9W_dHGVfBwV2XTs29fwcPR6bUJahrJDxJJPmg2j-5OdfhArvF0tOVVXbg0KofI109/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0

Biden 28%
Sanders 17%
Warren 10%
Harris 8%
O’Rourke 4%
Buttigieg 3%
Booker 2%
Yang 2%
Castro 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Gabbard 1%
Inslee 1%
Williamson 1%
Ryan 1%
Bullock 1%
de Blasio 1%
Steyer 1%
Delaney, Messam, Moulton, Bennet, Sestak 0%

Which again, has such a large sample size that crosstabs are more meaningful:

age 18-34:
Sanders 31%
Biden 14%
Warren 9%

age 65+:
Biden 43%
Warren 11%
Sanders 7%

white:
Biden 29%
Sanders 13%
Warren 12%
Harris 7%

black:
Biden 33%
Sanders 14%
Harris 12%
Warren 7%

Hispanic:
Sanders 31%
Biden 19%
O’Rourke 8%
Warren 8%

Midwest:
Biden 28%
Sanders 20%
Warren 12%

Northeast:
Biden 31%
Sanders 18%
Warren 11%

South:
Biden 30%
Sanders 13%
Warren 8%

West:
Biden 22%
Sanders 20%
Warren 13%

urban:
Biden 24%
Sanders 16%
Harris 10%
Warren 9%

suburban:
Biden 30%
Sanders 19%
Warren 11%
Harris 7%

rural:
Biden 29%
Sanders 16%
Warren 11%
Harris 5%

The crosstabs are about the same as last week, except Biden dropped from 41 to 33 among blacks and Sanders gained from 24 to 31 among Hispanics.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

8/26 (DEM):
Biden - 31% (+3)
Sanders - 16% (-2)
Warren - 10% (-2)
Harris - 5% (-2)
Buttigieg - 4% (+1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (+1)
Yang - 3% (+1)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Gillibrand - 1% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)
Delaney - 1% (+1)
Messam - 1% (+1)
Ryan - 1% (NC)
Bennett - 1% (+1)
Bullock - 1% (NC)
de Blasio - 1% (NC)
Steyer - 1% (NC)
Moulton, Williamson, and Sestak at 0%

GOP:
Trump - 76%
Walsh - 5%
Weld - 3%

[Eraserhead]

8/26 (DEM):
Biden - 31% (+3)
Sanders - 16% (-2)
Warren - 10% (-2)
Harris - 5% (-2)
Buttigieg - 4% (+1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (+1)
Yang - 3% (+1)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Gillibrand - 1% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)
Delaney - 1% (+1)
Messam - 1% (+1)
Ryan - 1% (NC)
Bennett - 1% (+1)
Bullock - 1% (NC)
de Blasio - 1% (NC)
Steyer - 1% (NC)
Moulton, Williamson, and Sestak at 0%

GOP:
Trump - 76%
Walsh - 5%
Weld - 3%

Junk poll!

(Seriously... yikes for Harris though.)

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

8/26 (DEM):
Biden - 31% (+3)
Sanders - 16% (-2)
Warren - 10% (-2)
Harris - 5% (-2)
Buttigieg - 4% (+1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (+1)
Yang - 3% (+1)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Gillibrand - 1% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)
Delaney - 1% (+1)
Messam - 1% (+1)
Ryan - 1% (NC)
Bennett - 1% (+1)
Bullock - 1% (NC)
de Blasio - 1% (NC)
Steyer - 1% (NC)
Moulton, Williamson, and Sestak at 0%

GOP:
Trump - 76%
Walsh - 5%
Weld - 3%

Junk poll!

(Seriously... yikes for Harris though.)

Scotty's junkin' the numbers again.  He needs the attention because he can't even finagle a positive DJT approval rating for Trump to tweet about anymore.   

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1166065899658534912?s=20

[Terry the Fat Shark]

8/26 (DEM):
Biden - 31% (+3)
Sanders - 16% (-2)
Warren - 10% (-2)
Harris - 5% (-2)
Buttigieg - 4% (+1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (+1)
Yang - 3% (+1)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Gillibrand - 1% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)
Delaney - 1% (+1)
Messam - 1% (+1)
Ryan - 1% (NC)
Bennett - 1% (+1)
Bullock - 1% (NC)
de Blasio - 1% (NC)
Steyer - 1% (NC)
Moulton, Williamson, and Sestak at 0%

GOP:
Trump - 76%
Walsh - 5%
Weld - 3%

Junk poll!

(Seriously... yikes for Harris though.)

Scotty's junkin' the numbers again.  He needs the attention because he can't even finagle a positive DJT approval rating for Trump to tweet about anymore.   

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1166065899658534912?s=20

Just a note, he left Rasmussen Reports a few years ago, though they still use the name. 2 different pollsters

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

8/26 (DEM):
Biden - 31% (+3)
Sanders - 16% (-2)
Warren - 10% (-2)
Harris - 5% (-2)
Buttigieg - 4% (+1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (+1)
Yang - 3% (+1)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Gillibrand - 1% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)
Delaney - 1% (+1)
Messam - 1% (+1)
Ryan - 1% (NC)
Bennett - 1% (+1)
Bullock - 1% (NC)
de Blasio - 1% (NC)
Steyer - 1% (NC)
Moulton, Williamson, and Sestak at 0%

GOP:
Trump - 76%
Walsh - 5%
Weld - 3%

Junk poll!

(Seriously... yikes for Harris though.)

Scotty's junkin' the numbers again.  He needs the attention because he can't even finagle a positive DJT approval rating for Trump to tweet about anymore.   

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1166065899658534912?s=20

Just a note, he left Rasmussen Reports a few years ago, though they still use the name. 2 different pollsters

Or did he? 

[eric82oslo]

8/26 (DEM):
Biden - 31% (+3)
Sanders - 16% (-2)
Warren - 10% (-2)
Harris - 5% (-2)
Buttigieg - 4% (+1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (+1)
Yang - 3% (+1)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Gillibrand - 1% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)
Delaney - 1% (+1)
Messam - 1% (+1)
Ryan - 1% (NC)
Bennett - 1% (+1)
Bullock - 1% (NC)
de Blasio - 1% (NC)
Steyer - 1% (NC)
Moulton, Williamson, and Sestak at 0%

GOP:
Trump - 76%
Walsh - 5%
Weld - 3%

This is already the fourth national poll of August to put Yang at 3%!
And LOL at Trump only managing 76% this early in his own primary.

[Mr. Morden]

GOP crosstabs:

https://scottrasmussen.com/crosstabs-aug-23-26-19-4/

age 18-34:
Trump 58%
Walsh 12%
Weld 10%

age 65+:
Trump 83%
Walsh 2%
Weld 2%

Midwest:
Trump 76%
Walsh 6%
Weld 2%

Northeast:
Trump 69%
Weld 7%
Walsh 6%

South:
Trump 78%
Walsh 4%
Weld 3%

West:
Trump 77%
Walsh 5%
Weld 3%

Oh, and while the sample sizes here are very small (only 38 blacks in the GOP sample, for example), for fun, we also have:

black:
Trump 48%
Walsh 18%
Weld 9%

Hispanic:
Trump 65%
Weld 8%
Walsh 4%

[Eraserhead]

There are seriously crosstabs for black Republicans? lol!

I guess they found all 38.

[Mr. Morden]

The other fun crosstab is:

GOP primary voters who approve of the job Trump is doing as president:

Trump 87%
Walsh 3%
Weld 3%

GOP primary voters who disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president:

Walsh 20%
Trump 17%
Weld 11%

[Terry the Fat Shark]

8/27:
Biden - 32% (+1)
Sanders - 15% (-1)
Warren - 10% (NC)
Harris - 5% (NC)
Buttigieg - 4% (NC)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (NC)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Yang - 2% (NC)
I have a headache so I don't want to type out the rest who are 1% or below, Morden can do that if he wants

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Just noticed Steyer is also at 2%.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

8/28:
Biden - 33% (+1)
Sanders - 14% (-1)
Warren - 11% (+1)
Harris - 6% (+1)
Buttigieg - 4% (NC)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (NC)
Yang - 2% (NC)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)

[Terry the Fat Shark]

8/29:
Biden - 32% (-1)
Sanders - 14% (NC)
Warren - 11% (NC)
Harris - 7% (+1)
Buttigieg - 3% (-1)
O'Rourke - 3% (NC)
Booker - 3% (NC)
Castro - 2% (NC)
Yang - 2% (NC)
Klobuchar - 1% (NC)

[Mr. Morden]

If you click on the ScottRasmussen homepage, there's a link with a headline that says today's top #s are:

https://scottrasmussen.com

Biden 31%
Sanders 14%
Warren 11%
Harris 7%

But then if you click on the link, it takes you to yesterday's numbers.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

If you click on the ScottRasmussen homepage, there's a link with a headline that says today's top #s are:

https://scottrasmussen.com

Biden 31%
Sanders 14%
Warren 11%
Harris 7%

But then if you click on the link, it takes you to yesterday's numbers.

Yeah they aren't very good at this website thing lol, I always wait for the 3 day numbers to update but that is down rn

[Mr. Morden]

Well, the full week Aug. 23-30 numbers are out:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTP7hxNFW2jSZBPsPUap7osztMLtQXqg3zPCCIL63BBPho-PbPfyM_VvWb9t-qrKQB3Fdtztgc0b8T-/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0

Biden 31%
Sanders 15%
Warren 11%
Harris 6%
Buttigieg 3%
O’Rourke 3%
Booker 3%
Castro 2%
Yang 2%
Klobuchar 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Delaney 1%
Gabbard 1%
Williamson 1%
Ryan 1%
Bennet 1%
Bullock 1%
de Blasio 1%
Sestak 1%
Steyer 1%
Messam 0%

[Mr. Morden]

The full Aug. 27-30 #s are finally out:

https://scottrasmussen.com/daily-democratic-primary-updates/

Biden 31%
Sanders 14%
Warren 11%
Harris 7%
O’Rourke 4%
Buttigieg 3%
Booker 3%
Yang 2%
Castro 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Delaney 1%
Gabbard 1%
Williamson 1%
Ryan 1%
Bennet 1%
Bullock 1%
de Blasio 1%
Sestak 1%
Steyer 1%
Gillibrand, Messam 0%

[SInNYC]

The crosstabs are interesting (8/23-8/30). Among the top 3:

No surprises on age, education.

There isn't much regional difference (at the 4-region granularity).

Bernie is the classic D urban-rural coalition, Biden is suburbs. Warren cant get urban, but see race...
...Biden is White/Black, Bernie is Black/Hispanic, Warren is White/Asian

Warren draws mainly from those who strongly disapprove Trump, while Biden/Bernie also get others.

Bernie does better with inds than Ds, Biden does better with Ds, Warren about the same

Warren gets mainly definite D voters. Those in the movable middle go for Biden and to a lesser extent Bernie. Bernie does well (relative to him) among likely Ds.