KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[Astatine]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/13/booker-mcgrath-mcconnell-kentucky-senate-316201

Politico has an excellent profile of the Democratic Primary here. Apparently Charles Booker has momentum, endorsements from Bernie Sanders, AOC, and the two largest newspapers in Kentucky.

McGrath has $19 million on hand as of the beginning of this month, which is more than Mitch McConnell's 2014 opponent Alison Lundergan Grimes spent during her entire race at all.

I think McGrath would be the stronger candidate to face McConnell in terms of winning the race, but wouldn't it be awesome to replace Mitch with an actual progressive?

Has there ever been a candidate with a huge bank like that lose a primary?  I know people have spent huge amounts and lost, but this is in the bank.  How would that money be disbursed if she lost (and i doubt she will)?

I don't know whether there ever has been someone, but suppose that Kelly Loeffler has a good chance of clinching that position after Georgia's jungle primary in November.

[QAnonKelly]

This is comically bad

[Donerail]

I really don't think anyone outside of atlas knows who Booker is. He does not have nearly the fundraising or the name ID to mount that big of an upset

It's not what it used to be, but some people do still read the Herald-Leader and the Courier-Journal...

[Lognog]

I really don't think anyone outside of atlas knows who Booker is. He does not have nearly the fundraising or the name ID to mount that big of an upset

It's not what it used to be, but some people do still read the Herald-Leader and the Courier-Journal...

I guess but $19 million is a lot to counter for some local newspapers

[YE]

https://twitter.com/populismupdates/status/1271894682839085056?s=21

[S019]

Booker is trailing in his own internal, this primary is basically over


https://bookerforkentucky.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Booker-Internal-2020-06-13.pdf

[Landslide Lyndon]

Is this guy affiliated with Booker's campaign or is he just talking out of his ass?

https://twitter.com/kartpath/status/1271909153599037444

[Roblox]

McGrath will probably take this because nothing good happens but I'm rooting for Booker.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Is this guy affiliated with Booker's campaign or is he just talking out of his ass?

https://twitter.com/kartpath/status/1271909153599037444

He appears to be affiliated with MVMT, one of the poll's sponsors.

[Donerail]

Conservative white woman notable for her (campaign for) U.S. House attempts to run for statewide office in a Southern state, polling frontrunner with notable support from out of state, only to be upset in the last few days by a young black left-wing elected official? That upstart candidate only close in his own internals, but with a dominating sense of momentum in the final days before the primary? Not going to draw out the analogy too far, but we have heard this song somewhere else a couple years ago.

[S019]

Conservative white woman notable for her (campaign for) U.S. House attempts to run for statewide office in a Southern state, polling frontrunner with notable support from out of state, only to be upset in the last few days by a young black left-wing elected official? That upstart candidate only close in his own internals, but with a dominating sense of momentum in the final days before the primary? Not going to draw out the analogy too far, but we have heard this song somewhere else a couple years ago.

This isn't a Graham scenario, and it isn't that applicable here. Also had Graham won the primary, she'd be Governor right now. Also that primary arguably had 3 possible frontrunners (Graham, Levine, Gillum), which made the result very unpredictable.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Conservative white woman notable for her (campaign for) U.S. House attempts to run for statewide office in a Southern state, polling frontrunner with notable support from out of state, only to be upset in the last few days by a young black left-wing elected official? That upstart candidate only close in his own internals, but with a dominating sense of momentum in the final days before the primary? Not going to draw out the analogy too far, but we have heard this song somewhere else a couple years ago.

This isn't a Graham scenario, and it isn't that applicable here. Also had Graham won the primary, she'd be Governor right now. Also that primary arguably had 3 possible frontrunners (Graham, Levine, Gillum), which made the result very unpredictable.

Also Graham had actually won the seat she ran for and was forced out only because of redistricting.

[anthonyjg]

Is this guy affiliated with Booker's campaign or is he just talking out of his ass?

https://twitter.com/kartpath/status/1271909153599037444

The reasoning could very well be true, but it’s insinuation is likely off.

Shame on the Broihier numbers, I really liked him.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Is someone scared?

https://twitter.com/AmyMcGrathKY/status/1271465886780661760?s=20

Coming from someone who supported her 2018 run, and was supporting her 2020 run, what the hell is wrong with her? I have had enough. Also why the heck am I seeing your ads in Texas? Switching my futile support to Mike Broihier.

[Morning in Atlas]

Conservative white woman notable for her (campaign for) U.S. House attempts to run for statewide office in a Southern state, polling frontrunner with notable support from out of state, only to be upset in the last few days by a young black left-wing elected official? That upstart candidate only close in his own internals, but with a dominating sense of momentum in the final days before the primary? Not going to draw out the analogy too far, but we have heard this song somewhere else a couple years ago.

The difference here is that Gwen Graham is a competent candidate who happened to lose to another competent candidate.

[Donerail]

This isn't a Graham scenario, and it isn't that applicable here. Also had Graham won the primary, she'd be Governor right now. Also that primary arguably had 3 possible frontrunners (Graham, Levine, Gillum), which made the result very unpredictable.

This is, perhaps, one of the worst posts I've seen on this website — certainly in this thread. Let's take it sentence by sentence.

This isn't a Graham scenario, and it isn't that applicable here.

This sentence is meaningless. Nobody knows what a "Graham scenario" is, and making the broad claim that "it's not applicable here" without any reasoning to back it up means you're just making a hollow claim with no support. You have to explain your logic and why your claim is true if you want people to take it seriously.

Also had Graham won the primary, she'd be Governor right now.

This sentence is irrelevant. We're discussing the dynamics of a Democratic primary, not whether or not the candidates in question would win their general election. This non sequitur does nothing to advance your point and is wholly off-topic.

Also that primary arguably had 3 possible frontrunners (Graham, Levine, Gillum), which made the result very unpredictable.

And this sentence is wrong. Absolutely, factually wrong: Gillum led in one poll, sponsored and released by his campaign and conducted by (highly-respected) Change Research. The vast majority of polling had Graham in front or tied. "Arguably" is doing a lot of work in this sentence, but not enough to make it a valid claim.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Ugh! That sucks.

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1272228230108516354

[Donerail]

https://twitter.com/AlisonForKY/status/1272858065323294720

[😥]

https://twitter.com/AlisonForKY/status/1272858065323294720

I'm very surprised to hear it

[Pheurton Skeurto]

https://twitter.com/AlisonForKY/status/1272858065323294720

Oh f--k yes

[new_patomic]

It's genuinely sort of amazing how little local support McGrath has.

There's not a single state representative of senator endorsing her listed on wikipedia.

[KaiserDave]

If she loses it will be hilarious

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hopefully, we have Charles Booker and Harrison

[Blair]

why are we arguining about Gwen Graham? We had at least 10 pages on the old Florida 2018 thread with democrats insulting each other over that!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

You love to see it!

https://twitter.com/RuralChrisLee/status/1273049880446095363