KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in
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  KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in
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Author Topic: KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in  (Read 58419 times)
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« on: July 09, 2019, 06:44:17 AM »


Safe R > Safe R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2019, 06:45:44 AM »

Hopefully, she wins
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2019, 06:50:25 AM »

Dems can't do much better than her here, so it's good they got a nice recruit. But this race is Safe R, and will only go Democratic in the 1% scenario Trump sits on his ass while the economy goes off a cliff in September and McConnell is caught napping. Hell, that might not even be enough: if Bevin ends up winning than we know that Kentucky is too far gone for even a 2008 scenario to produce a democratic victory.
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TML
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« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2019, 06:50:27 AM »


Her mistake in 2018 was not going after her opponent aggressively enough. If she does that again, she would be annihilated.
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PragmaticPopulist
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« Reply #4 on: July 09, 2019, 06:54:06 AM »

Her odds of winning are low, but then again, back when Democrats had a lock on southern senate seats, they had little chance of losing.
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Gracile
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« Reply #5 on: July 09, 2019, 06:54:29 AM »

Titanium R. If she couldn’t win the second most Democratic district in KY, then she has no shot winning statewide.
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DaWN
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« Reply #6 on: July 09, 2019, 06:55:10 AM »

You know, I actually think she might have a chance.



Of doing better than Jim Gray did in 2016. Actually winning? pffffttttt
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2019, 06:59:27 AM »

Could she perform better than ALG? Maybe. The race is still Safe R.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #8 on: July 09, 2019, 07:03:45 AM »



I mean, he ain't wrong.
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« Reply #9 on: July 09, 2019, 07:07:05 AM »

Safe R, nothing to see here.

If Bevin loses though, Democrats will think "we can beat McConnell!" and pour millions into this race.

The real question is whether McGrath wins Elliot County. I think she does.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2019, 07:11:57 AM »

Safe R, nothing to see here.

If Bevin loses though, Democrats will think "we can beat McConnell!" and pour millions into this race.

The real question is whether McGrath wins Elliot County. I think she does.

Ugh, in that case I don't know what to hope for in KY-GOV 2019. But this race is still Safe R, even if McGrath is probably one of the strongest candidates the Democrats could have asked for.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: July 09, 2019, 07:22:18 AM »

McConnell is only up 8 points in a Likely R state, against Jim Gray, that's not a landslide.
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Continential
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« Reply #12 on: July 09, 2019, 07:30:28 AM »

The real question is if KentuckyWildman will volunteer for McGrath.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #13 on: July 09, 2019, 07:43:28 AM »

Likely R. McConnell is too powerful, but he won't be in power forever.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: July 09, 2019, 07:52:32 AM »

Likely R. McConnell is too powerful, but he won't be in power forever.

Well yeah, eventually he'll die.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #15 on: July 09, 2019, 07:55:31 AM »

Dems can't do much better than her here, so it's good they got a nice recruit. But this race is Safe R, and will only go Democratic in the 1% scenario Trump sits on his ass while the economy goes off a cliff in September and McConnell is caught napping. Hell, that might not even be enough: if Bevin ends up winning than we know that Kentucky is too far gone for even a 2008 scenario to produce a democratic victory.

The economy went of on q cliff in 2008 and cocaine mitch still won by 5 points.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #16 on: July 09, 2019, 08:00:38 AM »



I mean, he ain't wrong.

I’m surprised that he is not moving the race to toss-up like he did for TN and NJ last year
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #17 on: July 09, 2019, 08:02:25 AM »

Likely R. McConnell is too powerful, but he won't be in power forever.

Well yeah, eventually he'll die.

But even when he will be dead, his ghost will continue to rule the Senate
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #18 on: July 09, 2019, 08:03:16 AM »

Safe R, nothing to see here.

If Bevin loses though, Democrats will think "we can beat McConnell!" and pour millions into this race.

The real question is whether McGrath wins Elliot County. I think she does.

Ugh, in that case I don't know what to hope for in KY-GOV 2019. But this race is still Safe R, even if McGrath is probably one of the strongest candidates the Democrats could have asked for.

Adkin would have been better from a D perspective
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andjey
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« Reply #19 on: July 09, 2019, 08:07:27 AM »

Safe R
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #20 on: July 09, 2019, 08:12:58 AM »

You know, I actually think she might have a chance.



Of doing better than Jim Gray did in 2016. Actually winning? pffffttttt

The Miami Dolphins also have a chance of winning the super bowl
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DaWN
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« Reply #21 on: July 09, 2019, 08:16:28 AM »

You know, I actually think she might have a chance.



Of doing better than Jim Gray did in 2016. Actually winning? pffffttttt

The Miami Dolphins also have a chance of winning the super bowl

I have no idea what that means
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: July 09, 2019, 08:17:57 AM »

To blue avatars, waves dont happen in a yr prior to an election. Trump is in the Mitt Romney range, and can lose by a landslide. This seat is wave insurance, CO, AZ, AL and ME are tier 1
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #23 on: July 09, 2019, 09:10:53 AM »

Teresa Tomlinson and Cal Cunningham could use the money instead of her but Resistance Twitter is about to blow their load all over this race.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #24 on: July 09, 2019, 09:32:47 AM »

Mcconnell can lose if Kentucky voters learn to read by election day and become aware of his corrupt record. The voters of Kentucky voted for Trump by overwhelming margins in their desire to drain the swamp. Once they are made aware of McConnell's corrupt record...he is done.
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