Pete Buttigieg 2020 campaign megathread

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/1221584561555025922?s=19

Another glitch emerges in Buttigieg's programming.

You know full well that it’s a common figure of speech.

Not when discussing the NBA

It's pretty commonly used when discussing the behavior of an athlete, regardless of their sport.   

But why not say "on the court and off the court"? I mean, I follow basketball about as much as I follow astrology, but even I know who Kobe Bryant was and what sport he played.

I don't think this is major, but it is an unforced error.

Buttigieg knows who Kobe Bryant is and what sport he played.  For whatever reason, the common expression happens to be “on and off the field.”  I’ve only even heard someone say “on and off the court” like twice, if that.

[Ronnie]

I think the betting markets are significantly undervaluing Pete in Iowa.  He’s not far behind at all in the polls, and has a serious turnout operation backed by a lot of cash.  Unlike some of the other candidates, Pete really has put all his eggs in one basket and is desperate for an outright win.  

[The Free North]

Pete pretty much has to win Iowa or its over for him right?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

I think the betting markets are significantly undervaluing Pete in Iowa.  He’s not far behind at all in the polls, and has a serious turnout operation backed by a lot of cash.  Unlike some of the other candidates, Pete really has put all his eggs in one basket and is desperate for an outright win.  

The problem is, the voters he’s fighting Klobuchar and Biden for old people who won’t necessarily want to leave the warmth and comfort of their homes on a freezing cold Iowa night to spend hours at a Caucus site for candidates their not enthusiastic about.

Whereas Bernie and Warren are turning out younger voters who are actually enthusiastic about their campaigns and policies.

[Pericles]

It seems like Buttigieg is losing momentum at the wrong time. Warren may have some slight momentum after the Des Moines Register endorsement (which would be pretty bad for Buttigieg because they're fighting for many of the same voters), Sanders definitely has momentum (which doesn't take many voters from Buttigieg but makes the overall outcome worse for him), Biden seems stable as usual (which makes it harder for Buttigieg to compensate for losses) and Klobuchar also has some serious momentum at Buttigieg's expense. Buttigieg seems a bit underrated on electability, but if anyone gets a late swing to them due to electability it'll be Biden.

[cvparty]

Pete pretty much has to win Iowa or its over for him right?

i think it’s already over

[Grassroots]

Pete pretty much has to win Iowa or its over for him right?

i think it’s already over

Lol no

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Pete pretty much has to win Iowa or its over for him right?

i think it’s already over

Lol no

Yeah!


https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1222276895695347712

ZERO among Blacks. He'll need a miracle. Ain't happen.

[Florida Man for Crime]

'Twas the weekend before Caucus, when all through the Buttigieg megathread
Not a single poster was posting, not even Tender Bredesen;
The megathread was pinned at the top of the forum with care,
In hopes that some supporters soon would be there;

But alas, nobody posted, for quite a long time;
Sign of a dead campaign, peaking far too soon;
A moribund candidacy, months past its prime;
After the last campaign rally, a deflated balloon.

[Tender Branson]

'Twas the weekend before Caucus, when all through the Buttigieg megathread
Not a single poster was posting, not even Tender Bredesen;
The megathread was pinned at the top of the forum with care,
In hopes that some supporters soon would be there;

But alas, nobody posted, for quite a long time;
Sign of a dead campaign, peaking far too soon;
A moribund candidacy, months past its prime;
After the last campaign rally, a deflated balloon.

His supporters don’t post here.

They are middle aged and old people, who have other things to do than post in a Buttigieg thread.

[Florida Man for Crime]

His supporters don’t post here.

They are middle aged and old people, who have other things to do than post in a Buttigieg thread.

Biden/Klobuchar supporters are likewise older, but threads about them are much more active.

Tells you something. Hmmm.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Still no more Buttigieg posts

C'mon, someone please post something.

[Dr. Arch]

Still no more Buttigieg posts

C'mon, someone please post something.

Meh

[GeneralMacArthur]

Honestly, it just feels like the story of this campaign is over.

He's a good politician, but couldn't make a convincing case that his lack of experience was an asset, nor could he peel black voters away from Biden or young voters away from Sanders.  He got a lot of money and spent it on the early states, but he's not going to win them, and he'll probably drop out around Super Tuesday.

Unless he can surprise in Iowa, I'm already more interested in his future plans than in his current campaign.

[libertpaulian]

Beto Syndrome, unfortunately.

[Mr. Smith]

I've got work to do today, sorry.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

He’s already claiming victory. Will this give him a boost or backfire on him if he ends up losing? Is the process too tainted for anyone to get any momentum out of this?

[Progressive Pessimist]

He’s already claiming victory. Will this give him a boost or backfire on him if he ends up losing? Is the process too tainted for anyone to get any momentum out of this?

It's still likely that he comes in second though at least. That still defies expectations when considering the "Sanders surge."

As for the momentum Iowa offered this year, I always felt that it the state's caucus is overrated as a bellwether and in importance, but much more so this year just with how busy this week is in political news. Even if we did get the results last night, the winner's victory lap would have been short-lived as Trump's State of the Union speech and acquittal took over the news in the next two days.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I'm surprised Tender hasn't come in here already to give his victory speech

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Some random Indiana mayor is going to defeat 3 popular senators and a former VP in Iowa.

[Roblox]

Kinda've wild how Pete probably "won" the caucus but there are barely any new posts in this thread.

[Dr. Arch]

Kinda've wild how Pete probably "won" the caucus but there are barely any new posts in this thread.

We don't know that yet.

[Pericles]

My guess rn is that he comes second in New Hampshire with a small bounce, perhaps if the caucuses hadn't been such a mess he could have gotten a bigger bounce and could end up winning New Hampshire (most likely not even then). I'm not sure where his candidacy goes from there. Some new polls in the coming days will be very interesting to see if he's picking up more support.

[cvparty]

My guess rn is that he comes second in New Hampshire with a small bounce, perhaps if the caucuses hadn't been such a mess he could have gotten a bigger bounce and could end up winning New Hampshire (most likely not even then). I'm not sure where his candidacy goes from there. Some new polls in the coming days will be very interesting to see if he's picking up more support.

agreed, i think a victory in NH isn't out of the question though since its demographics are friendly to him and he seems to have a strong appeal to independents. we don't really know what the effect of iowa will be yet

[Beet]

https://twitter.com/Lis_Smith/status/1224848988286980099