Rate St. Louis County, MN

[Politician]

Home of Duluth, St. Louis County is a Democratic stronghold, although it has trended Republican in recent years.

Year   Republican   Democratic   Third parties
2016   39.7% 44,630   51.4% 57,771   8.9% 10,021
2012   33.9% 39,131   63.5% 73,378   2.7% 3,085
2008   32.6% 38,742   65.1% 77,351   2.3% 2,721
2004   33.6% 40,112   65.2% 77,958   1.3% 1,495
2000   33.0% 35,420   59.8% 64,237   7.3% 7,807
1996   25.5% 25,553   60.6% 60,736   13.9% 13,907
1992   22.6% 24,579   56.8% 61,813   20.6% 22,423
1988   30.8% 31,799   68.1% 70,344   1.1% 1,094
1984   30.3% 34,162   68.8% 77,683   0.9% 1,013
1980   29.1% 33,407   60.5% 69,403   10.3% 11,864
1976   31.0% 35,331   65.8% 75,040   3.3% 3,704
1972   39.8% 41,435   58.7% 61,103   1.6% 1,642
1968   25.5% 25,981   71.0% 72,267   3.5% 3,549
1964   24.0% 25,246   75.6% 79,529   0.4% 408
1960   36.2% 39,620   63.3% 69,270   0.6% 632
1956   38.8% 39,902   60.5% 62,190   0.6% 631
1952   37.7% 38,900   61.0% 63,032   1.3% 1,354
1948   29.3% 28,490   64.3% 62,553   6.4% 6,249
1944   29.9% 27,493   68.9% 63,369   1.2% 1,080
1940   31.4% 32,243   66.9% 68,620   1.7% 1,760
1936   23.9% 22,332   74.2% 69,365   1.9% 1,813
1932   41.7% 34,883   48.0% 40,181   10.4% 8,665
1928   61.1% 44,331   35.0% 25,401   3.8% 2,785
1924   57.3% 37,033   4.0% 2,577   38.7% 25,013
1920   57.0% 27,987   30.1% 14,767   13.0% 6,361
1916   41.5% 10,834   46.2% 12,056   12.4% 3,234
1912   18.6% 3,881   24.5% 5,124   56.9% 11,873
1908   66.1% 12,076   24.4% 4,464   9.5% 1,734
1904   77.7% 10,375   14.8% 1,972   7.5% 998
1900   63.7% 8,851   33.6% 4,667   2.7% 372
1896   56.4% 9,810   42.6% 7,412   1.1% 184
1892   49.7% 5,157   34.5% 3,586   15.8% 1,640

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Lol, safe D.

Also, it doesn't trend R. Trump just had a higher share of the vote in 2016, while third parties had a good year in 2016 as well. It will likely get back to D support of 60%. Klobuchar won 66,2% of the vote in 2018. And Tina Smith also had over 60% of the vote.

[😥]

Safe D

[Esteemed Jimmy]

Safe D

[JA]

Safe D

[Progressive Pessimist]

Safe D

[Mike Thick]

Tossup/Tilt R

[TDAS04]

Safe D

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Titanium D if Harris the nominee.

[ElectionsGuy]

Likely D. Duluth is almost certain to keep it in Dem hands.

[Frenchrepublican]

Safe D ! Unless democrats crater to very low numbers (probably less than 25%) with the white working class it’s difficult to imagine any republican winning this county

[mgop]

Lol, safe D.

Also, it doesn't trend R. Trump just had a higher share of the vote in 2016, while third parties had a good year in 2016 as well. It will likely get back to D support of 60%. Klobuchar won 66,2% of the vote in 2018. And Tina Smith also had over 60% of the vote.

form 2012. to 2016. dropped from D+30 to D+10 and you're saying that's not trending R? lol indeed.

[lfromnj]

Lol, safe D.

Also, it doesn't trend R. Trump just had a higher share of the vote in 2016, while third parties had a good year in 2016 as well. It will likely get back to D support of 60%. Klobuchar won 66,2% of the vote in 2018. And Tina Smith also had over 60% of the vote.

form 2012. to 2016. dropped from D+30 to D+10 and you're saying that's not trending R? lol indeed.

[The3rdParty]

Lol, safe D.

Also, it doesn't trend R. Trump just had a higher share of the vote in 2016, while third parties had a good year in 2016 as well. It will likely get back to D support of 60%. Klobuchar won 66,2% of the vote in 2018. And Tina Smith also had over 60% of the vote.

form 2012. to 2016. dropped from D+30 to D+10 and you're saying that's not trending R? lol indeed.

There is something called 3rd parties and something called Duluth. R's have a ceiling. It will probabaly be like D win by 15 in 2020

[ON Progressive]

Obviously Safe D.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Lean D. 2016 was the last time it voted more Democratic than the nation for a while.

[Politician]

Lean D. 2016 was the last time it voted more Democratic than the nation for a while.

muh 2016 trends are set in stone!!!

[Ban my account ffs!]

2016 was not that big a change.  Trump got 39.7%... Nixon got 39.8% in 1972!  There was a 6 point improvement for Trump over Romney.  And a 6 point improvement for 3rd parties over 2012.

If you look at 2018, the county was still more Democratic than the state average for Klobuchar and waaaay more Democratic than the state average for Smith.  Smith winning 61/35 over the GOP's best chance at a senator does not show a strong R trend there.

The truth is:  They liked Trump's populist message of protectionism and bringing back mining jobs and disliked Hillary Clinton.  But they've seen how Trump has been and all indications are that while there has been a GOP trend on the Iron Range, there has been an equally strong DFL trend near Duluth... which is much younger and while not growing much, is not shrinking and aging like the Range.

The median age in Virginia, MN... the most prominent Range town, was 45 years old in 2010.  The median ages of the other major Range towns ranges from 40 to 46... well above the average.  These towns all have a big bulge of population now in their 60s to early 70s.  Duluth, on the other hand, has a median age of 33.6 as of 2010.  It's a college town.  And its prominence in St. Louis County is only growing.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Trump only did as well as Nixon did is not a counterargument. Nixon won nationwide by a ton, Trump got 46% of the popular vote.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Lean D. 2016 was the last time it voted more Democratic than the nation for a while.

Two years after it voted for Keith Ellison by almost 20 points. Right.

("Muh D+8 electorate!" type excuses don't refute this, Keith Ellison won it by way over 8 points and would've still won by double digits in a neutral electorate.)

[Big Abraham]

Literally no Republican has won this county in any statewide election since 1992. There is no stronger Democratic stronghold in Minnesota outside the Twin Cities

[Don Vito Corleone]

Safe D

[Cokeland Saxton]

Safe D, because Duluth

[Zaybay]

Next Atlas is going to ask if Middlesex County, MA is going to flip R


Safe D, this should be obvious to almost anyone

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Lol, safe D.

Also, it doesn't trend R. Trump just had a higher share of the vote in 2016, while third parties had a good year in 2016 as well. It will likely get back to D support of 60%. Klobuchar won 66,2% of the vote in 2018. And Tina Smith also had over 60% of the vote.

form 2012. to 2016. dropped from D+30 to D+10 and you're saying that's not trending R? lol indeed.