Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)

[Gass3268]

Robinson's starting their drop.

Robeson is also very segregated by precinct.

[Gracile]

More than half of Union is in, and it is helping Bishop at the current margins.

[Sestak]

Bishop looks somewhat likely to overperform in Union.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Closer than I thought, but nonetheless Congressman Bish will probably still be a thing.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Close but likely that Bishop has got this

[RI]

Murphy will probably match Trump's margin at this rate.

[swf541]

Union over half in, still no precincts from mecklengberg

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Surely only 1% of Mecklenburg being in is good for McCready?

[Oryxslayer]

Mecklenburg finally shows signs of life.

[Nyvin]

Close but likely that Bishop has got this

There's no way to know without seeing what the Mecklenburg ED numbers are

[ajc0918]

Surely only 1% of Mecklenburg being in is good for McCready?

E-Day vote will likely be closer than early vote. McCready needs to win E-Day whereas he lost it slightly in 2018.

[swf541]

Surely only 1% of Mecklenburg being in is good for McCready?

Yes it very much is

[Thunder98]

Only 2% of Mecklenburg is in so far. We'll see....

https://www.cnn.com/election/2019/results/north-carolina/house-9-special-election

[Oryxslayer]

Bishop is likely to pull ahead if Union finishes before Mecklenburg releases more than 1 precinct. its going to come down to Mecklenburg.

https://twitter.com/BenJ_Rosenblatt/status/1171586569301626881

[morgieb]

Still think McCready has to be favoured. Too much is out of Mecklenberg for it to be Bishop-favouring.

[Dr. MB]

"Following release of video showing HB 2 protesters shouting "shame" at former Governor McCrory during protests in Washington D.C., Bishop stated that he supported legislation that would criminalize such political behavior."

why does anyone support this cuck

[OBD]

It's interesting how the margins in Meck and Union are roughly the same despite much more of the Union vote being in.

[Xing]

Not seeing how McCready can win this unless he wins the ED vote in Mecklenburg by at least a few points.

[Nyvin]

There's still a lot left in Robeson too

[Xing]

"Following release of video showing HB 2 protesters shouting "shame" at former Governor McCrory during protests in Washington D.C., Bishop stated that he supported legislation that would criminalize such political behavior."

why does anyone support this cuck

Easy, he has an (R) next to his name.

[Bidenworth2020]

There's still a lot left in Robeson too

I'd bet Bishop wins the eday vote there narrowly due to the trump rally though.

[Oryxslayer]

There's still a lot left in Robeson too

I'd bet Bishop wins the eday vote there narrowly due to the trump rally though.

It clear some red precincts in this segregated county just dropped, since McReady lost 5% with 5 precincts.

[Bidenworth2020]

There's still a lot left in Robeson too

I'd bet Bishop wins the eday vote there narrowly due to the trump rally though.

It clear some red precincts in this segregated county just dropped, since McReady lost 5% with 5 precincts.

It's just a hunch, not necessarily based on what is in.

[Oryxslayer]

Bishop is likely to pull ahead if Union finishes before Mecklenburg releases more than 1 precinct. its going to come down to Mecklenburg.

https://twitter.com/BenJ_Rosenblatt/status/1171586569301626881

Bumping this because it looks like its about to happen.

[Nyvin]

McCready needs to win Mecklenburg ED vote by at least a couple points,  otherwise Bishop will win with what's left in Union.