Election 2018 Open Thread v2 - Mia, Mimi, Gil, and T.J.

[Brittain33]

Why isn’t the media talking about the totally real #WalkAway movement and how it decimated the Democrats this year?

Their silence is deafening.

[Antonio the Sixth]

https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/1063149504982065157

Ughhh

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/1063149504982065157

Ughhh

What? It makes sense. Demcorats represent Cities and their adjacent Suburbs. These places are bound to be richer/more advanced than the GOP controlled districts in AL.

I mean, the top 5 DEM districts are:
Manhattan, NYC
Manhattan, NYC
Brooklyn, NYC
San Francisco, CA
Boston, MA

Makes perfect sense to me

[Pericles]

It seems weird that Democrats went from 64% of US output to 61%, if I'm reading that right. Especially since they did a lot better overall than Clinton, so you'd expect if anything the percentage to increase. Perhaps this indicates Democrats improved on Clinton in rural areas, if so that could be a bad sign for Trump as even a small shift against him could mean he doesn't win 270 electoral votes again.

[Nyvin]

It seems weird that Democrats went from 64% of US output to 61%, if I'm reading that right. Especially since they did a lot better overall than Clinton, so you'd expect if anything the percentage to increase. Perhaps this indicates Democrats improved on Clinton in rural areas, if so that could be a bad sign for Trump as even a small shift against him could mean he doesn't win 270 electoral votes again.

If I remember reading that article right,  it's the "counties" Clinton won that represented 64% of the economy,  while this year the "House Districts" Democrats won represent 61%. 

[Thatkat04]

It seems weird that Democrats went from 64% of US output to 61%, if I'm reading that right. Especially since they did a lot better overall than Clinton, so you'd expect if anything the percentage to increase. Perhaps this indicates Democrats improved on Clinton in rural areas, if so that could be a bad sign for Trump as even a small shift against him could mean he doesn't win 270 electoral votes again.

Counties =/= Congressional Districts.

[gf20202]

Think Pima came in AZ, Hobbs now up 11,433 in the SOS race. Not that it matters, but Sinema closer to being up 2%, up by 1.96%

Edit: It was Pima. There are between 3 and 4k more votes to count there, to further up that lead. Feels like Hobbs has it unless something crazy happen in the Maricopa drop tonight.

[Kodak]

It seems weird that Democrats went from 64% of US output to 61%, if I'm reading that right. Especially since they did a lot better overall than Clinton, so you'd expect if anything the percentage to increase. Perhaps this indicates Democrats improved on Clinton in rural areas, if so that could be a bad sign for Trump as even a small shift against him could mean he doesn't win 270 electoral votes again.

It mostly comes down to how the districts are drawn. Comparing the maps, there are a few metro areas that Hillary won but voted Republican in the house this year- places like Cincinnati, Salt Lake City and the St. Louis suburbs. Even in more rural districts that the Democrats won, county and precint data makes it clear that they won smaller cities and suburbs to win, while small towns and rural areas stuck with Republicans.

The Democrats did improve on 2016 in rural areas, but they improved almost everywhere.

[Strong Candidate]

Is NY-22 gonna be called in this century or...

They're counting absentee ballots now:

Cortland: https://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2018/11/anthony_brindisi_widens_lead_over_claudia_tenney_as_absentee_vote_count_begins.html

Madison: https://www.syracuse.com/politics/index.ssf/2018/11/anthony_brindisi_defeats_claudia_tenney_in_madison_county_absentee_ballot_count.html

So far, they're good numbers for Brindisi, but I wouldn't call it quite yet.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1063189297874972675

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Maricopa dropped. Sinema lead at +46,783 (+2.04), Hobbs lead at 13,171 (+0.6)

[Nyvin]

Maricopa dropped. Sinema lead at +46,783 (+2.04), Hobbs lead at 13,171 (+0.6)

How much is left?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Maricopa dropped. Sinema lead at +46,783 (+2.04), Hobbs lead at 13,171 (+0.6)

How much is left?

~90K statewide

[Gass3268]

Maricopa dropped. Sinema lead at +46,783 (+2.04), Hobbs lead at 13,171 (+0.6)

How much is left?

~85K

[ag]

It seems gods want to make Young Kim suffer. With the new San Bernardino results her lead drops to 48 votes! I mean, this is like cutting a cat's tale into increasingly thin salami slices.

[Gass3268]

It seems gods want to make Young Kim suffer. With the new San Bernardino results her lead drops to 48 votes! I mean, this is like cutting a cat's tale into increasingly thin salami slices.

I think everyone is just excited to dunk on Charlie Kirk and Laura Ingraham.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It seems gods want to make Young Kim suffer. With the new San Bernardino results her lead drops to 48 votes! I mean, this is like cutting a cat's tale into increasingly thin salami slices.

I think everyone is just excited to dunk on Charlie Kirk and Laura Ingraham.

[Nyvin]

Is Los Angeles county going to update tonight?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Is Los Angeles county going to update tonight?

Some were saying tonight, others were saying tomorrow. Guess we'll wait and see!

[Antonio the Sixth]

OC should be updating right about now, though.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

OC should be updating right about now, though.

My body is ready.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Bye, Young!

[ON Progressive]

Bye, Young!

Someone should show this to Charlie Kirk.

[Florida Man for Crime]

BOOM CISNEROS

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hope she enjoyed orientation!