TX-SEN 2020 Megathread: Early Voting

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

No surprise.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1098676390780719104

Yeah, I thought he was better than this, but he's just an @$$hole

https://twitter.com/JohnCornyn/status/1099704915956559872

[Technocracy Timmy]

Cornyn quoting Mussolini?

At least he’s being upfront about his Party now.

[TheSaint250]

https://twitter.com/egavactip/status/1099796378589499392

[scutosaurus]

Cornyn quoting Mussolini?

At least he’s being upfront about his Party now.

The party of Cagle!

[TheSaint250]

https://twitter.com/JohnCornyn/status/1099808300642824193

[junior chįmp]

Beto GTFIH

[Technocracy Timmy]

https://twitter.com/JohnCornyn/status/1099808300642824193

What a piss poor handling of social media lol

[The Mikado]

Cornyn preparing Squadrists to roam around the countryside breaking DSA heads open, suppressing Socialism just like his hero.

[TheSaint250]

https://twitter.com/JohnCornyn/status/1099808300642824193

What a piss poor handling of social media lol

Yeah, for real. Either someone needs to be fired or he needs to stop using Twitter.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/egavactip/status/1099796378589499392

There are a million quotes out there just like this one not made by pure evil men. It's not a coincidence he chose a bad apple.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Do you guys think Cornyn would be more beatable in 2020 than Cruz was in 2018?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Do you guys think Cornyn would be more beatable in 2020 than Cruz was in 2018?

No, Cornyn will outrun Trump almost everywhere in the state and win by 8-9 points.

[Zaybay]

Do you guys think Cornyn would be more beatable in 2020 than Cruz was in 2018?

I would say it depends. Cornyn and Cruz are rather polar opposites when it comes to strength and weaknesses.

Cruz was a senator everyone knew, and had an opinion about. While this meant the Ds could get a lot of Cruz detractors on their side, it also meant that Cruz had a rather high floor, especially since his approval had him at a net positive.

Cornyn is the exact opposite. Hes basically Bill Nelson, people kinda know him, but also dont. He has a high number of unknowns, and his approval bounces between being extremely popular, and extremely unpopular.

For 2020, you have different factors at play. 2020 may or may not be D favoring, which is a possible shift in favor of the Rs. But TX itself will have 2 more years to move Left, a shift in favor of the Ds. You will also have minority turnout back to Presidential levels, a point for the Ds, but you might not have the stellar candidate Beto turned out to be, which is a point for the Rs.

Basically, its too early to tell. The playing field has shifted since 2018, and its hard to tell who now holds the advantage.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Do you guys think Cornyn would be more beatable in 2020 than Cruz was in 2018?

No, Cornyn will outrun Trump almost everywhere in the state and win by 8-9 points.

People were saying essentially the same thing about Cruz two weeks before the election, and the consensus on Atlas was that Beto would flop and lose by a similar margin to Hillary.

Do you guys think Cornyn would be more beatable in 2020 than Cruz was in 2018?

Too early to say: if there's a recession or a military quagmire in Venezuela, yes. If the economy is relatively good, no.

[ON Progressive]

Unbeatable Titan John Cornyn at 43% approval in Q-Pac: https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2601

[Zaybay]

Wow, Cornyn's got some serious Nelson Syndrome. ~40% of voters dont even know who he is.

[ElectionsGuy]

Either him or his team aren't the smartest.

Anyone remember this ad? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vcB7uCqdFk

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Unbeatable Titan John Cornyn at 43% approval in Q-Pac: https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2601

Sounds like a pretty good thread title.

[MT Treasurer]

Do you guys think Cornyn would be more beatable in 2020 than Cruz was in 2018?

No, Cornyn will outrun Trump almost everywhere in the state and win by 8-9 points.

Ah yeah, the voters who will vote/have voted for a Democrat for president in 2016, a Democrat for state legislature in 2018, a Democrat for House in 2018, a Democrat for Senate in 2018, and a Democrat for president in 2020 are certainly going to support John Cornyn for Senate because he’s more "likeable" and less "extremist" than Cruz, right?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once again, we can see ticket splitting just like we did in 2018, in which GOPers like Ernst and Collins can win and McSally and Cornyn can lose. Joaquin or Beto can beat Cornyn.

[IceSpear]

Do you guys think Cornyn would be more beatable in 2020 than Cruz was in 2018?

No, Cornyn will outrun Trump almost everywhere in the state and win by 8-9 points.

Ah yeah, the voters who will vote/have voted for a Democrat for president in 2016, a Democrat for state legislature in 2018, a Democrat for House in 2018, a Democrat for Senate in 2018, and a Democrat for president in 2020 are certainly going to support John Cornyn for Senate because he’s more "likeable" and less "extremist" than Cruz, right?

Cornyn will win Hays County. I hear thousands of Lupe Valdez voters are itching to vote for him.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Wow, Cornyn's got some serious Nelson Syndrome. ~40% of voters dont even know who he is.

Low energy guy!

[S019]

Cornyn is not safe, but to say that he is DOA or another Nelson is ridiculous, if Trump does not lose Texas, neither will Cornyn. If Trump loses Texas, Cornyn is in big trouble. So right now about 80-90% chance that he is reelected. TX has not turned purple yet, it is still light red, if 2020 is another 2006/2008 then this seat probably flips.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cornyn is not safe, but to say that he is DOA or another Nelson is ridiculous, if Trump does not lose Texas, neither will Cornyn. If Trump loses Texas, Cornyn is in big trouble. So right now about 80-90% chance that he is reelected. TX has not turned purple yet, it is still light red, if 2020 is another 2006/2008 then this seat probably flips.

2018 proved this theory false; however, Dems won Congressional races, at the same time: FL, AZ and TX went Red for Gov.

Latinos in FL, AZ, and TX split their votes for Congress; as GOP Govs like Abbott and Ducey won easily. Like the Sessions seat was lost.

FL will be the easiest state for Dems to win for Prez; however, AZ will be easiest, next to CO, for Senate; as a result, with unpopular McSally, who looks like Sarah Comstock.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Beto opts not to run for Senate, will likely announce Presidential bid in the coming weeks.