Will Susan Collins run for reelection?

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Now that Collins has officially dispensed with any veil of being a so called ' Moderate ' in the Republican party, do you think she will run for reelection, and if so, how would her reelection chances be? Could she even make it out of a primary?

I personally see this race as Lean D, especially with increased polarization throughout the nation.

Another question, if Collins retires, does this race become easily Likely D?

[pbrower2a]

She will be "Blanched" for being out of line in a liberal state. Her reputation as a moderate is gone.
She will win the primary but probably go down something like 57-43.

Likely D either way.

[Lourdes]

It'll be a reverse Missouri/Indiana/North Dakota.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

It'll be a reverse Missouri/Indiana/North Dakota.

Except for the fact that Susan Collins has been there for over 20 years, to be fair.

[bandg]

In the NYT poll taken AFTER the Kavanaugh vote, her approval rating was 64-30 in CD2. Think she is in pretty good shape if she runs.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-me02-3.html

[IceSpear]

She will be "Blanched" for being out of line in a liberal state. Her reputation as a moderate is gone.
She will win the primary but probably go down something like 57-43.

Likely D either way.

A "liberal state" that only voted 1 point to the left of the country in 2016.

[windjammer]

It cannot be a reverse Missouri. Maine is almost a swing state.

She will be fine.

[Xing]

She'll probably be favored, but not guaranteed to win. With polarization on the rise, and the fact that Democrats have been souring on her since before her Kavanaugh vote, I think that she'll definitely be in for a tougher time than before, even if that's not saying much.

[tmthforu94]

I think she probably runs again, Likely R if so. If she doesn't run, I would rate it Lean D.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

She will be "Blanched" for being out of line in a liberal state. Her reputation as a moderate is gone.
She will win the primary but probably go down something like 57-43.

Likely D either way.

A "liberal state" that only voted 1 point to the left of the country in 2016.

To be fair, Maine did just elect a Democratic governor by the same margin as Oregon.

Admittedly, it was a weak ass Republican candidate unlike Knute in Or.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Literally a 2-2-2-2-2 split, Atlas is in a TOSSUP over this race, lol.

[The Free North]

She will be "Blanched" for being out of line in a liberal state. Her reputation as a moderate is gone.
She will win the primary but probably go down something like 57-43.

Likely D either way.

Worst take of 2018 goes to......

[Vern]

It cannot be a reverse Missouri. Maine is almost a swing state.

She will be fine.

[Former Kentuckian]

The primary will probably be her only challenge. She's awful, but she's made herself an institution.

[UncleSam]

Likely R if she makes it through the primary and doesn’t retire. Lean D otherwise but on the strong side of Lean D.

[Landslide Lyndon]

If a Democrat runs a forceful partisan campaign against her, she will probably lose.
Lincoln Chaffee had approval ratings in the 60s in 2006, yet he lost comfortably. And this is 2018 where partisanship has hardened considerably.

[pppolitics]

No

[lfromnj]

If a Democrat runs a forceful partisan campaign against her, she will probably lose.
Lincoln Chaffee had approval ratings in the 60s in 2006, yet he lost comfortably. And this is 2018 where partisanship has hardened considerably.

Yeah but Maine is a swing state 2020 albiet probably Lean D. Collins still has some moderate hero image left among indies if not dems.

[Horsemask]

The primary will probably be her only challenge. She's awful, but she's made herself an institution.

Probably this, unfortunately.

[Landslide Lyndon]

If a Democrat runs a forceful partisan campaign against her, she will probably lose.
Lincoln Chaffee had approval ratings in the 60s in 2006, yet he lost comfortably. And this is 2018 where partisanship has hardened considerably.

Yeah but Maine is a swing state 2020 albiet probably Lean D. Collins still has some moderate hero image left among indies if not dems.

The problem is that for years now Democrats are so timid against her, because they think she is a Moderate Unbeatable Titan, that they create a self-fulfilling prophecy. If they run a Rosen-type cadidate (a mainstream Democrat who isn't afraid to lob partisan attacks against her opponent) I think Collins will be caught flat-footed, especially since she never had a tough race in her career. 

[Skye]

If a Democrat runs a forceful partisan campaign against her, she will probably lose.
Lincoln Chaffee had approval ratings in the 60s in 2006, yet he lost comfortably. And this is 2018 where partisanship has hardened considerably.

TBF, it was Rhode Island.

She'll probably be favored, but not guaranteed to win. With polarization on the rise, and the fact that Democrats have been souring on her since before her Kavanaugh vote, I think that she'll definitely be in for a tougher time than before, even if that's not saying much.

My take too.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

CO and ME are likely D and AL is likely R

[Ljube]

Likely R

[Strong Candidate]

The way some people talk about Maine, you'd swear it was slightly to the left of California.

[LabourJersey]

I don't think she'll run, but if she does it'll start as a toss-up. I think she'd be more likely to lose than to win, though.