2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 03:29:20 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 ... 80
Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 167778 times)
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1175 on: May 29, 2019, 10:14:42 AM »

Gianforte is likely in for MT-GOV:

https://twitter.com/MadelainePisani/status/1133714977116872704

This means that MT-AL would be an open seat in 2020.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,825


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1176 on: May 29, 2019, 02:28:23 PM »

Would Cocaine Mitch retire if the GOP loses the Senate in 2020?

Well, the thing is he would likely not know. He is up for reelection in 2020, and I kinda doubt he just suddenly retires and creates a special election.

Sorry, I should have added that would he resign in 2021, rather than be forced back into the minority.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,795


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1177 on: May 29, 2019, 02:57:15 PM »

Would Cocaine Mitch retire if the GOP loses the Senate in 2020?

Well, the thing is he would likely not know. He is up for reelection in 2020, and I kinda doubt he just suddenly retires and creates a special election.

Sorry, I should have added that would he resign in 2021, rather than be forced back into the minority.

I think it depends, like everything. If the political environment for the republicans becomes like 2008 and it becomes clear you don't want to be an elected Republican in Washington, Mitch probably stays on - there was nothing he could do to preserve the majority in this situation. If the dems somehow flip the senate in in a political environment roughly analogous to today then Mitch will have to bear some of the blame and that could prompt a leadership transfer. but who knows what will happen.
Logged
Strong Candidate
123NY
Rookie
**
Posts: 226


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1178 on: May 30, 2019, 09:55:43 PM »

State Senator Gustavo Rivera, one of New York's states leading progressive voices, is running for NY-15. This is definitely setting up to be one of the most interesting primaries in the country:
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,368


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1179 on: May 30, 2019, 11:19:25 PM »

Ok some ok news for D's

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1134277888243580928

Still probably one of the easiest GOP Pick ups but the moronic GOP consulting class believes that GA 6th is much more winnable and will spend more money there than here.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1180 on: May 31, 2019, 12:52:32 AM »

Peterson will go down fighting, it will be close, but I think he’s going to meet the end in 2020.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1181 on: May 31, 2019, 01:11:04 AM »

What does the GOP bench look like here? Not that they need an A-lister to take on Peterson, but given the district’s conservative lean you’d think the GOP could find someone better than the some guy Peterson faced in 2016 and 2018.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1182 on: May 31, 2019, 02:39:05 AM »

What does the GOP bench look like here? Not that they need an A-lister to take on Peterson, but given the district’s conservative lean you’d think the GOP could find someone better than the some guy Peterson faced in 2016 and 2018.

Most conservatives probably prefer wait and see what this district will be like after next redistricting..
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,368


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1183 on: May 31, 2019, 09:57:24 AM »

What does the GOP bench look like here? Not that they need an A-lister to take on Peterson, but given the district’s conservative lean you’d think the GOP could find someone better than the some guy Peterson faced in 2016 and 2018.

Every state house seat besides the two near Clay/Norman.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1184 on: May 31, 2019, 10:16:07 AM »

What does the GOP bench look like here? Not that they need an A-lister to take on Peterson, but given the district’s conservative lean you’d think the GOP could find someone better than the some guy Peterson faced in 2016 and 2018.
State Senator Torrey Westrom, who lost to Peterson in 2014 (when the district wasn't as red as it currently is) would be a decent recruit.
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1185 on: June 01, 2019, 09:53:05 AM »

Joey Salads, YouTube Star Famous for Racist Pranks, Launches Congressional Bid
Logged
DaWN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,370
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1186 on: June 01, 2019, 09:56:29 AM »


You can't even parody real life anymore.

Then again, I'd like to hope Rose would wipe the floor with him, so maybe his winning the primary would have a silver lining?
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1187 on: June 01, 2019, 10:34:30 AM »


LMAO the state of the GOP
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1188 on: June 01, 2019, 11:36:50 AM »


0% chance he'll make it through the primary or general election.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1189 on: June 01, 2019, 05:43:17 PM »


You can't even parody real life anymore.

Then again, I'd like to hope Rose would wipe the floor with him, so maybe his winning the primary would have a silver lining?

The question of whether Max Rose wins re-election in 2020 is going to be entirely decided by who Republicans pick in the primary it seems. All the candidates on the Republican side would be either guaranteed winners or guaranteed losers. Nothing in between.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1190 on: June 01, 2019, 10:23:26 PM »


You can't even parody real life anymore.

Then again, I'd like to hope Rose would wipe the floor with him, so maybe his winning the primary would have a silver lining?

The question of whether Max Rose wins re-election in 2020 is going to be entirely decided by who Republicans pick in the primary it seems. All the candidates on the Republican side would be either guaranteed winners or guaranteed losers. Nothing in between.

Right. And this walking testosterone pill wants to lower the minimum wage. Rose could win more than 60% of the vote in the unlikely events this Joey Salads wins the GOP nod.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,343
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1191 on: June 01, 2019, 11:20:17 PM »


You can't even parody real life anymore.

Then again, I'd like to hope Rose would wipe the floor with him, so maybe his winning the primary would have a silver lining?

The question of whether Max Rose wins re-election in 2020 is going to be entirely decided by who Republicans pick in the primary it seems. All the candidates on the Republican side would be either guaranteed winners or guaranteed losers. Nothing in between.

Rose would beat anyone currently running
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,631
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1192 on: June 02, 2019, 04:28:26 AM »

Yeah Rose seems really under-rated for some reason. I don't care what climate it was, beating an uncontroversial incumbent by 6 points is a pretty impressive result.
Logged
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,247
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1193 on: June 02, 2019, 04:46:52 AM »

Yeah Rose seems really under-rated for some reason. I don't care what climate it was, beating an uncontroversial incumbent by 6 points is a pretty impressive result.

Uncontroversial is a vast understatement. Donovan was the DA for Staten Island. People like that win with ease in many districts in this country. A high-profile conviction can easily be your ticket to Congress. Max Rose was an impressive candidate that campaigned heavily on local issues in a district where that really works. I remember Colbert covering him at least once or twice. If he has strong constituent services and outreach, I think he stands a very good chance at winning reelection. On the other hand, I don't want to predict because Staten Island can be volatile and unpredictable at the federal level.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1194 on: June 02, 2019, 09:45:40 PM »
« Edited: June 02, 2019, 10:16:45 PM by Lou Barletta's Teeth »


You can't even parody real life anymore.

Then again, I'd like to hope Rose would wipe the floor with him, so maybe his winning the primary would have a silver lining?

The question of whether Max Rose wins re-election in 2020 is going to be entirely decided by who Republicans pick in the primary it seems. All the candidates on the Republican side would be either guaranteed winners or guaranteed losers. Nothing in between.

Rose would beat anyone currently running

I have my concerns with Malliotakis, but I agree he's underrated. Staten Island could easily be a part of the great suburban shift to the Democrats.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,997
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1195 on: June 03, 2019, 12:24:01 AM »

Nancy Mace doesn't really strike me as an insurgent. She seems calmer than Arrington, friendlier to gay rights, and she was that legislator that was getting hate from her own party for criticizing the abortion bills banning exceptions for rape and incest.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1196 on: June 03, 2019, 03:36:42 AM »

Nancy Mace doesn't really strike me as an insurgent. She seems calmer than Arrington, friendlier to gay rights, and she was that legislator that was getting hate from her own party for criticizing the abortion bills banning exceptions for rape and incest.

Good if so. May be - she is an "economic firebrand"....
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,343
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1197 on: June 03, 2019, 06:16:47 AM »


You can't even parody real life anymore.

Then again, I'd like to hope Rose would wipe the floor with him, so maybe his winning the primary would have a silver lining?

The question of whether Max Rose wins re-election in 2020 is going to be entirely decided by who Republicans pick in the primary it seems. All the candidates on the Republican side would be either guaranteed winners or guaranteed losers. Nothing in between.

Rose would beat anyone currently running

I have my concerns with Malliotakis, but I agree he's underrated. Staten Island could easily be a part of the great suburban shift to the Democrats.

Malliotakis could definitely win, but I don’t think she will, especially since Trump’s gonna do significantly worse here than in 2016 and may well lose the district.  Plus, I think the Republicans may be reluctant to dump too much money here given that it’ll likely get much less Republican after redistricting.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1198 on: June 04, 2019, 08:19:06 AM »




Full article: Vulnerable Republicans move to the middle in 2019
Logged
Sestak
jk2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,281
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1199 on: June 04, 2019, 07:06:59 PM »

Sanders has officially endorsed Newman against Lipinski.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 ... 80  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.084 seconds with 10 queries.