NH-UNH: Gov. Sunununu (R) +11
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  NH-UNH: Gov. Sunununu (R) +11
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Gov. Sunununu (R) +11  (Read 1711 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 19, 2018, 01:12:50 PM »

50% Chris Sunununu (R)
39% Kelly Molly (D)
  4% Jilletta Jarvis (L)

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2018_fall_govrace101918.pdf
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Politician
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2018, 01:13:20 PM »

but muh tightening
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2018, 01:14:47 PM »

Shockingly close polls for the NH house/Senate too. Looks like a dead heat. I wish they wouldíve polled NH-1
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2018, 01:25:30 PM »


This IS a tightening though, since he was up 16 in the last UNH poll. I think Sununu wins, but it will be within single digits.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2018, 01:38:44 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2018, 01:42:55 PM by MT Treasurer »

Uh, this is a very bad pollster, but Iím not surprised to see Atlas buying these results. Also lol@Sununu winning NH males by 30 points.
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Politician
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2018, 02:04:38 PM »

Uh, this is a very bad pollster, but Iím not surprised to see Atlas buying these results. Also lol@Sununu winning NH males by 30 points.
You're right, they showed Van Ostern up by 11. If anything they're underestimating Sununu.
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Xing (reluctantly no longer on strike)
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2018, 02:29:26 PM »


This IS a tightening though, since he was up 16 in the last UNH poll. I think Sununu wins, but it will be within single digits.

This. I think IceSpear was right when he said that this would end up like 2014, but with the parties reversed.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2018, 02:31:04 PM »

Uh, this is a very bad pollster, but Iím not surprised to see Atlas buying these results. Also lol@Sununu winning NH males by 30 points.

This race is over.
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2018, 03:43:50 PM »


This IS a tightening though, since he was up 16 in the last UNH poll. I think Sununu wins, but it will be within single digits.

This. I think IceSpear was right when he said that this would end up like 2014, but with the parties reversed.

Yeah, but I don't see any reason why Sununu would lose.
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Badger
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« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2018, 02:04:09 AM »


This IS a tightening though, since he was up 16 in the last UNH poll. I think Sununu wins, but it will be within single digits.

This. I think IceSpear was right when he said that this would end up like 2014, but with the parties reversed.

Yeah, but I don't see any reason why Sununu would lose.

Off hand, I've always had trouble understanding the Dynamics were he wouldn't be a top-tier Target. New Hampshire is damn near Ground Zero for anti Trump Rebellion, and sununu has not governed as a moderate like, say, Phil Scott. I get why Hogan and Baker are Miles Ahead in the polls, but never understood why sununu was having such a relatively easy Cruise towards reelection
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Very Legal & Very Cool
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« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2018, 02:05:55 AM »


This IS a tightening though, since he was up 16 in the last UNH poll. I think Sununu wins, but it will be within single digits.

This. I think IceSpear was right when he said that this would end up like 2014, but with the parties reversed.

Yeah, but I don't see any reason why Sununu would lose.

Off hand, I've always had trouble understanding the Dynamics were he wouldn't be a top-tier Target. New Hampshire is damn near Ground Zero for anti Trump Rebellion, and sununu has not governed as a moderate like, say, Phil Scott. I get why Hogan and Baker are Miles Ahead in the polls, but never understood why sununu was having such a relatively easy Cruise towards reelection

NH is way more right wing than the rest of New England. Look at Scott Brown and Kelly Ayotte performance and how even the more conservative John Lynch had some close races and Trump's performance.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2018, 05:56:10 AM »


This IS a tightening though, since he was up 16 in the last UNH poll. I think Sununu wins, but it will be within single digits.

Don't confuse Politician with facts. Clearly there's no difference between Sununu's ~25 point lead in April and his ~10 point lead now!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2018, 05:57:35 AM »

Uh, this is a very bad pollster, but Iím not surprised to see Atlas buying these results. Also lol@Sununu winning NH males by 30 points.
You're right, they showed Van Ostern up by 11. If anything they're underestimating Sununu.

And ARG, which had Sununu +5, had Sununu +4 in 2016 and actually overestimated him. Smiley
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2018, 10:39:28 AM »

So much for MUH TITANIUM D NH
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2018, 02:07:12 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2018, 02:22:14 PM by The Saint »

L O L O L O L O L
O L O L O L O L O
L O L O L O L O L
O L O L O L O L O
L O L O L O L O L
O L O L O L O L O
L O L O L O L O L
O L O L O L O L O
L O L O L O L O L
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2018, 02:12:23 PM »

Hassan and Shaheen have been the only ones to defeat a Sununu or Scott Brown or win Senate or Gov mansion
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2018, 03:02:30 PM »

Hassan and Shaheen have been the only ones to defeat a Sununu or Scott Brown or win Senate or Gov mansion

Elizabeth Warren.
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Anxious Pessimist Doomer
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« Reply #17 on: October 21, 2018, 09:51:21 PM »

Does UNH ever come out with a reasonable poll??
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GM Team Member NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2018, 09:57:45 PM »

Hassan and Shaheen have been the only ones to defeat a Sununu or Scott Brown or win Senate or Gov mansion

Elizabeth Warren.

Yeah, but Warren represents a completely different state.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2018, 07:20:28 PM »

Sunununu?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2018, 07:27:02 PM »

Does UNH ever come out with a reasonable poll??

As you can see, no.
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2018, 07:13:17 AM »


I go to UNH and Iíll be the first to tell you our schools polling is crap
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: October 23, 2018, 07:24:19 AM »

VT is winnable due to if Scott doesn't get 50%, there's a special legislative session who picks Gov. NH, Sununu is gonna win
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mgop
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« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2018, 07:29:01 AM »


sununununu
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