This IS a tightening though, since he was up 16 in the last UNH poll. I think Sununu wins, but it will be within single digits.
This. I think IceSpear was right when he said that this would end up like 2014, but with the parties reversed.
Yeah, but I don't see any reason why Sununu would lose.
Off hand, I've always had trouble understanding the Dynamics were he wouldn't be a top-tier Target. New Hampshire is damn near Ground Zero for anti Trump Rebellion, and sununu has not governed as a moderate like, say, Phil Scott. I get why Hogan and Baker are Miles Ahead in the polls, but never understood why sununu was having such a relatively easy Cruise towards reelection
NH is way more right wing than the rest of New England. Look at Scott Brown and Kelly Ayotte performance and how even the more conservative John Lynch had some close races and Trump's performance.