The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 3

[aaroncd107]

https://twitter.com/jimmyvielkind/status/1071239982449340427?s=21

Kirsten deciding soon

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://twitter.com/jimmyvielkind/status/1071239982449340427?s=21

Kirsten deciding soon

'

She'll poll greatly for a few weeks until January/February when the Sanders' and Biden's of the world come into play, and she'll probably simmer back down to <5%.

[Joey1996]

Beto met with Al Sharpton recently.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/steinhauserNH1/status/1072276665953341447

[Mr. Morden]

Warren is pretty far along:

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/12/10/elizabeth-warren-2020-elections-democrats-1054205

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Hickenlooper gets really specific about his probability of running:

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/420528-hickenlooper-past-50-50-on-running-for-president-in-2020

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Swalwell returning to Iowa:

https://twitter.com/mikememoli/status/1072225223288737792

[Mr. Morden]

Gabbard looking for top aides for a potential national campaign:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/tulsi-gabbard-is-reaching-out-to-staffers-for-possible-2020-run

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Michael Bloomberg was on The View yesterday, and was asked about 2020.  At about the 2:50 mark here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FyEDacBzbLk

he says “at the beginning of the year, we’ll take a look at it”.

[RogueBeaver]

NYMag on Biden.

[DeSantis4Prez]

270towin released a "List of Prospective 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates"

https://www.270towin.com/news/2018/12/05/a-list-of-prospective-2020-democratic-presidential-candidates_725.html#.XBBS4fZFzIU

[Cold War Liberal]

Politico on Gillum.

I love Gillum and Abrams as much as (probably more than) I love Beto but to the people asking why the latter gets more attention than the former two, I would think the answer is obvious: Beto has federal experience, while Abrams only has state experience and Gillum doesn't even have that. Beto should run; Abrams should run for Senate; Gillum should wait and see what 2022's like in the Senate and Governorship in FL. Or maybe US House?

If Gillum were governor-elect, maybe (though he shouldn't've abandoned the state after two years). Ex-mayor Gillum? No.

[lfromnj]

Politico on Gillum.

I love Gillum and Abrams as much as (probably more than) I love Beto but to the people asking why the latter gets more attention than the former two, I would think the answer is obvious: Beto has federal experience, while Abrams only has state experience and Gillum doesn't even have that. Beto should run; Abrams should run for Senate; Gillum should wait and see what 2022's like in the Senate and Governorship in FL. Or maybe US House?

If Gillum were governor-elect, maybe (though he shouldn't've abandoned the state after two years). Ex-mayor Gillum? No.

Isn't it more the fact that Gillum massively undperformed while Abrams slightly underperformed and beto overperformed

[henster]

Politico on Gillum.

I love Gillum and Abrams as much as (probably more than) I love Beto but to the people asking why the latter gets more attention than the former two, I would think the answer is obvious: Beto has federal experience, while Abrams only has state experience and Gillum doesn't even have that. Beto should run; Abrams should run for Senate; Gillum should wait and see what 2022's like in the Senate and Governorship in FL. Or maybe US House?

If Gillum were governor-elect, maybe (though he shouldn't've abandoned the state after two years). Ex-mayor Gillum? No.

I mean how about Paulette Jordan she outperformed Hillary by 10 points! Or Fred Hubbell he almost won too, James Smith had a respectable performance against McMaster... The bar is really being lowered, I know Trump but there's a difference between running having never run for anything before and running after losing a huge race.

[OneJ]

Politico on Gillum.

I love Gillum and Abrams as much as (probably more than) I love Beto but to the people asking why the latter gets more attention than the former two, I would think the answer is obvious: Beto has federal experience, while Abrams only has state experience and Gillum doesn't even have that. Beto should run; Abrams should run for Senate; Gillum should wait and see what 2022's like in the Senate and Governorship in FL. Or maybe US House?

If Gillum were governor-elect, maybe (though he shouldn't've abandoned the state after two years). Ex-mayor Gillum? No.

Isn't it more the fact that Gillum massively undperformed while Abrams slightly underperformed and beto overperformed

Why do you say Abrams underperformed? The RCP average was Kemp +3 and the final result was Kemp +1.4. However, Gillum definitely underperformed without even looking at the polling on that race.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Isn't it more the fact that Gillum massively undperformed while Abrams slightly underperformed and beto overperformed

Abrams lost by 1 when she was the underdog the entire race and many people thought her candidacy would show us what the absolute floor was for a GA Dem in a D-friendly year. She did not underperform.

Anyway she needs to run for statewide office in GA. She's needed here. Beto has no chance of winning statewide in TX if he couldn't close the deal against Cruz in a blue wave. Not his fault. The fundamentals were just against him. His performance in the suburbs would make him formidable in MI, WI, PA, NC, AZ, and GA maybe even make Trump spend money in TX.

Gillum is an absolute embarrassment. His performance was pitiful and he should retire from politics.

[Mr. Morden]

NYMag on Biden.

Some relevant bits:

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And it sounds like some in his orbit are worried that his timeline will slip:

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Meanwhile, this AP story says Biden is preparing to meet with his family to discuss the prospect of running:

https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/joe-biden-meeting-with-family-as-he-ponders-presidential-run-ap-1.4214033

Also:

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[Mr. Morden]

The WaPo says Warren 2020 isn’t a done deal:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-her-dna-test-still-reverberates-sen-elizabeth-warrens-political-operation-shows-fissures/2018/12/07/8fb44aac-fa35-11e8-8c9a-860ce2a8148f_story.html

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One potential fissure within Team Warren:

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[Spiffy]

https://twitter.com/juliancastro/status/1072878783273807874?s=2]

[tosk]

https://twitter.com/juliancastro/status/1072878783273807874?s=2]

here we go

[DaWN]

Don't do it Julian, for everyone's sake

[Beet]

The WaPo says Warren 2020 isn’t a done deal:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-her-dna-test-still-reverberates-sen-elizabeth-warrens-political-operation-shows-fissures/2018/12/07/8fb44aac-fa35-11e8-8c9a-860ce2a8148f_story.html

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One potential fissure within Team Warren:

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I really hope Warren runs. She has the right message, record, and achievements, and if she focuses on sticks to it for the next 12 months, I think she'd gain traction.

[History505]

The WaPo says Warren 2020 isn’t a done deal:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/as-her-dna-test-still-reverberates-sen-elizabeth-warrens-political-operation-shows-fissures/2018/12/07/8fb44aac-fa35-11e8-8c9a-860ce2a8148f_story.html

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One potential fissure within Team Warren:

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I really hope Warren runs. She has the right message, record, and achievements, and if she focuses on sticks to it for the next 12 months, I think she'd gain traction.

She wouldn't be a strong nominee. DNA test she released backfired on her.

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1072891149252247552

hurk

[Joey1996]

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1072891149252247552

hurk

Wonder if this puts pressure on some of the other longshot candidates to announce?

[WV222]

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1072891149252247552

hurk

Let the 2020 campaign begin!

[aaroncd107]

Huff Post on Sherrod
https://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/us_5c102beae4b00e17a533ce89/amp?__twitter_impression=true

[Comrade Funk]

https://twitter.com/feliciasonmez/status/1073011353659559936