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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  WDTV WV Sen Poll Morrisey Trails Manchin By 8 (46-38)
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Author Topic: WDTV WV Sen Poll Morrisey Trails Manchin By 8 (46-38)  (Read 1342 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« on: October 01, 2018, 04:17:25 pm »

OMG DADDY MANCHIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

https://www.wdtv.com/content/news/Poll-finds-Manchin-in-lead-for-Senate-race-state-gives-Pres-Trump-62-approval-rating--494830301.html

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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 04:18:23 pm »

What a surprise. Wow, Im shocked. Really, I am. The guy who has been leading by high singles this whole time....is still leading. Wow.

Nothing about this is surprising Bagel, perhaps to you, not to anyone else.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2018, 04:20:43 pm »

Bagel's explanation when Manchin wins by double digits is going to be so fascinating.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2018, 04:21:13 pm »

Republicans lead on the GCB 46-37. That likely points to a small lead for Democrats in WV-03.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2018, 04:21:32 pm »

Terrible, terrible state. I think Jenkins would have made this competitive, but yeah, now itís Manchin's race to lose. Lean D.
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President Biden
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2018, 04:26:01 pm »

Where's the "Trump Bump" now?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2018, 04:32:06 pm »


To be fair, this poll was only after six rallies in the state, and before the seventh one that took place two days ago.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2018, 04:36:07 pm »

That's still quite a bit of undecideds which probably aren't inclined to support Manchin if they don't already, and Trump is going to be leaning into the state hard over the next month. He's not out of the woods yet.
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2018, 04:38:07 pm »

Bagel, can you stop with these images? I think it's like the third time I've seen it, and it's not even relevant or funny.

That's still quite a bit of undecideds which probably aren't inclined to support Manchin if they don't already, and Trump is going to be leaning into the state hard over the next month. He's not out of the woods yet.

No, but to deny he clearly has the upper hand for now is a bit ridiculous.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2018, 04:40:15 pm »


Smiley

Bagel, can you stop with these images? I think it's like the third time I've seen it, and it's not even relevant or funny.

That's still quite a bit of undecideds which probably aren't inclined to support Manchin if they don't already, and Trump is going to be leaning into the state hard over the next month. He's not out of the woods yet.

No, but to deny he clearly has the upper hand for now is a bit ridiculous.

Well yeah, but I don't think anyone has ever denied that.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2018, 04:41:12 pm »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2018, 04:41:38 pm »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.

I still think he does
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2018, 04:42:58 pm »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.

Thinking Manchin will lose in November ≠ Thinking Manchin would lose if the election were held today
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2018, 04:49:39 pm »

This should be surprising to no one. Even if Manchin underperforms the polls (which he might), he's probably got this.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2018, 04:52:26 pm »

Manchin wins by 5
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2018, 06:27:48 pm »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.

Thinking Manchin will lose in November ≠ Thinking Manchin would lose if the election were held today

Yeah I think Manchin would win today by 4-5 but not on election day.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2018, 07:09:45 pm »

I'm happy to see that you're feeling better, Bagel.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2018, 08:38:51 pm »

Trump won WV by 42 pts but this pollís sample has Trump only winning by 34.

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/September+Survey.pdf
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2018, 08:40:02 pm »


That wouldn't be surprising actually. Even in WV you'd probably expect Hillary Clinton voters to turn out at a greater rate than Donald Trump voters in this environment.
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jimmie
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« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2018, 08:44:19 pm »

This contest will close a bit but there is not much path for Manchin to lose at this point lol..

The only concern is that Manchin seems stuck at 46%. OTOH, Morrisey is constantly in the upper 30s/lower 40s.
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