WDTV WV Sen Poll Morrisey Trails Manchin By 8 (46-38)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 07:38:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  WDTV WV Sen Poll Morrisey Trails Manchin By 8 (46-38)
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WDTV WV Sen Poll Morrisey Trails Manchin By 8 (46-38)  (Read 2003 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 01, 2018, 04:17:25 PM »

OMG DADDY MANCHIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

https://www.wdtv.com/content/news/Poll-finds-Manchin-in-lead-for-Senate-race-state-gives-Pres-Trump-62-approval-rating--494830301.html

Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 04:18:23 PM »

What a surprise. Wow, Im shocked. Really, I am. The guy who has been leading by high singles this whole time....is still leading. Wow.

Nothing about this is surprising Bagel, perhaps to you, not to anyone else.
Logged
TarHeelDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,448
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2018, 04:20:43 PM »

Bagel's explanation when Manchin wins by double digits is going to be so fascinating.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2018, 04:21:13 PM »

Republicans lead on the GCB 46-37. That likely points to a small lead for Democrats in WV-03.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2018, 04:21:32 PM »

Terrible, terrible state. I think Jenkins would have made this competitive, but yeah, now it’s Manchin's race to lose. Lean D.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2018, 04:26:01 PM »

Where's the "Trump Bump" now?
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2018, 04:32:06 PM »


To be fair, this poll was only after six rallies in the state, and before the seventh one that took place two days ago.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2018, 04:36:07 PM »

That's still quite a bit of undecideds which probably aren't inclined to support Manchin if they don't already, and Trump is going to be leaning into the state hard over the next month. He's not out of the woods yet.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2018, 04:38:07 PM »

Bagel, can you stop with these images? I think it's like the third time I've seen it, and it's not even relevant or funny.

That's still quite a bit of undecideds which probably aren't inclined to support Manchin if they don't already, and Trump is going to be leaning into the state hard over the next month. He's not out of the woods yet.

No, but to deny he clearly has the upper hand for now is a bit ridiculous.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2018, 04:40:15 PM »


Smiley

Bagel, can you stop with these images? I think it's like the third time I've seen it, and it's not even relevant or funny.

That's still quite a bit of undecideds which probably aren't inclined to support Manchin if they don't already, and Trump is going to be leaning into the state hard over the next month. He's not out of the woods yet.

No, but to deny he clearly has the upper hand for now is a bit ridiculous.

Well yeah, but I don't think anyone has ever denied that.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,759
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2018, 04:41:12 PM »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2018, 04:41:38 PM »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.

I still think he does
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2018, 04:42:58 PM »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.

Thinking Manchin will lose in November ≠ Thinking Manchin would lose if the election were held today
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2018, 04:49:39 PM »

This should be surprising to no one. Even if Manchin underperforms the polls (which he might), he's probably got this.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,759
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2018, 04:52:26 PM »

Manchin wins by 5
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2018, 06:27:48 PM »

The other day he was saying Manchin was gonna lose.

Thinking Manchin will lose in November ≠ Thinking Manchin would lose if the election were held today

Yeah I think Manchin would win today by 4-5 but not on election day.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,547
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2018, 07:09:45 PM »

I'm happy to see that you're feeling better, Bagel.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2018, 08:38:51 PM »

Trump won WV by 42 pts but this poll’s sample has Trump only winning by 34.

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/September+Survey.pdf
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2018, 08:40:02 PM »


That wouldn't be surprising actually. Even in WV you'd probably expect Hillary Clinton voters to turn out at a greater rate than Donald Trump voters in this environment.
Logged
crazy jimmie
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,513


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2018, 08:44:19 PM »

This contest will close a bit but there is not much path for Manchin to lose at this point lol..

The only concern is that Manchin seems stuck at 46%. OTOH, Morrisey is constantly in the upper 30s/lower 40s.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.046 seconds with 14 queries.