The BlueSwan Basement of Absurd & Ignorant Posts VIII

[Politician]

Ask Senators Heller and Pryor how a first-term rep can't win:

Just a quick update on the CO field situation:

-No other Major Democrats have indicated that they may run in the CO-Senate race.

-Neguse is now the only House Democrat to not file for reelection in the first quarter, indicating a possible interest in running for the senate.
https://decisiondeskhq.com/interactive-see-which-house-incumbents-have-or-havent-already-filed-for-re-election-in-2020/

-Mike Johnston, the Progressive in the race currently, has raised the most amount of money in the race so far, at a whopping $1.8 million in quarter 1.
https://www.coloradopolitics.com/news/democrat-mike-johnston-raises-record-m-in-st-quarter-for/article_04c0df06-550b-11e9-be7c-933649f916d6.html

Neguse has ZERO chance of winning statewide office considering he just got to the US House of Representatives.... he needs to serve at least 4 terms in the House first before considering seeking higher office.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Their conclusion is probably right (that he’s not a Christian) but their reasoning is wrong. I highly doubt that a highly successful gay liberal with a Harvard degree is actually a believer, but we’ll probably never really know

[RINO Tom]

Their conclusion is probably right (that he’s not a Christian) but their reasoning is wrong. I highly doubt that a highly successful gay liberal with a Harvard degree is actually a believer, but we’ll probably never really know

One of the truest Christians I know (i.e., actually living up to the teachings of Christ) is an extremely liberal gay man who just became a doctor, lol.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Ilhan Omar is braver than the troops

[S019]

Illhan Omar is, and will continue to be, one of the best modern politicians to ever come out of Minnesota. Her only fault was being born with the wrong skin, having the wrong gender, having the wrong religion, and speaking out against the Chaos theory adopted by our government.

Not recognizing that Omar is an anti-Semite

[S019]

Unironically believing this

Democrats will NEVER nominate a white male again. Tlaib/Omar 2024!

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Many Americans assume, naturally, that our closest Middle Eastern ally is the most moderate in the region. Sadly, such sensible foreign policy is far beyond the capabilities and ethics of those who have spent the last forty years making our foreign policy decisions and alliances.

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

Alt-right baby boomer

Say what you will about Fuzzy, but to call him alt-right is absolutely insane.

[Politician]

Ice Spear (very reasonable and logical, would be easy to mistake for a r

eal person)

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Maybe some people's understanding of "humility" means that they acknowledge "their place" in society. Its a sad and confusing state of affairs. Just because someone actively hates themselves doesn't mean that they should be subjected to violence. In fact, they are probably the ones who should be protected from it the most.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

in short, she'd fit nicely into the Republican Party of the 1940s and '50s.

This old chestnut? Even if you're somebody who believes Eisenhower was a socialist because he built roads, his administration was decidedly not the mainstream Republican opinion. I honestly think it's fair to see that the GOP in the latter Truman era was about as right wing as have ever been.

Which I'm clearly not, as you can see in my post above. And yes, the GOP had a staunch conservative wing exemplified by Robert Taft and others who at times gained the upper hand on the national political stage. And while my comparison to the Eisenhower-era Republican Party might have been a bit hyperbolic, the majority of Ocasio-Cortez's opinions would be within the normal spectrum of beliefs in the Republican Party at that time

[KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸]

Hey, I think I need help. How do I post every post I've ever written here without surpassing the character limit?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Oh please JB! He's a horrible candidate, the end! WWC voters are not going to vote for someone articulate and nerdy as him. They are not the sharpest tools in the shed and therefore, they want someone who speaks to them in a way a six year old would be able to understand. In addition, there is a homophobic section of the black community that would NEVER vote for a gay man, let alone one with the word butt in his last name.
You combine those two factors and he's a goner.

[James Monroe]

Considering both networks are Corporate-owned propaganda outlets devoted to Neoliberalism (Tax cuts, Austerity, “Free Trade”, Deregulation, Automation, etc), Zionist Neoconservativism ( More Wars for Israel and a new Cold War against Russia to defend the sacred “Liberal Democracy”), and “Woke” Identity politics (Force the whole world to embrace “LGBTQIA+ rights”, the “metoo” movement, and accuse every White person of “White Privilege”), I’m sure both will support either Creepy Joe, Kopmala A.K.A “Brown Hillary”, Kooky Klobuchar, Billionaire Beto, or Butt Boy, LOL. They definitely will hate Sanders, Gabbard, Gravel, or any other halfway decent candidates that don’t bow at the alter of Neoliberalism, Zionist Neoconservatism, and “Woke” Identity politics.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Mate, we're not allowed to have concerns about Beto, remember?

you've made this exact same post seven times and not once has it ever landed or been poignant at all.

Then you've not been paying much attention. My point is people are allowed to s**t on Sanders voters endlessly on this forum, but as soon as someone criticises Harris or O'Rourke (there are others, but they're the two main ones), they're immediately tarred and feathered.

as shown by the tarring and feathering of Kal in this thread?

Would it be better if I said that every time a criticism of him is brought up, the response always boils down to one of two things:

1) "Get back in line you stupid leftist. Do yout want Trump to win?!"

2) "Doesn't matter. He's perfect in every way."

who has said this

Go on the O'Rourke campaign thread and remove all the fluffy language. That's what the responses to criticism boils down to.

so no one has said this

Satisfied?

If this actually happens the board will be flooded with negative threads about O'Rourke.

It’ll just be vetting.

So all of a sudden, we're not allowed to criticise someone who had a 47% rating from the Chamber of Commerce? That's higher than a Democrat should be.

I don't care what you post about his record. If it's there, it's there. But don't cry foul when someone dare criticize God King Bernard Sanders.

[Politician]

The polls underestimated Trump and Republicans in 2016 and 2018. They thought Trump would lose Wisconsin by double digits, and he ended up narrowly winning it. Also, in Wisconsin, the Democrats could not defend the open Supreme Court seat. Sure, they only lost by 0.5%, but a loss is still a loss.

Also, the Democratic primary is very divided, while Trump gets time to raise as much money as he wants. Although, if Biden wants the nomination, it's probably his, which is not good for Democrats, because he would not be able to energize progressive voters.

Finally, and most importantly, people didn't think Trump would win in 2016. They will stay home this time too, because they won't think he could POSSIBLY win again.

I believe Trump will win. In fact, I'd bet my life on it.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

A coalition of black, brown, and (some) white working/middle class people (in Bernie's case) sounds much more convincing to me than a bunch of white meritocrats (in Pete's case).  In fact, I struggle to understand what could be so broadly appealing about a gentrifier like Pete.  Certainly, he can't expect the demographics he's left behind as mayor, namely poor people and minorities, to turn out for him in droves in the general.

I'm gonna give you the benefit of the doubt and assume that you said this because you heard "meritocrat" used as an insult on some podcast and have no idea what it means as opposed to actually being batsh!t insane enough to think meritocracy is an inherently bad thing

Even if you think Sanders would have a hard time he’d do better than Buttigieg. Pete is showing himself to be the candidate for wealthy virtue signaling white liberals who fetishize Bush 43’s presidency because of Trump’s tone.

You know, I've noticed some folks on Atlas have increasingly tried to delegitimize some liberals they by attacking them for being white.  Not gonna lie, that's pretty racist.  Plus, something tells me you guys would react a bit differently if Tim Ryan or Joe Biden said a candidate expressing support for slavery reparations had shown themselves to be the candidate of "virtue signaling to black liberals."

I mean...Mayor Pete isn't wrong about that.  Sanders would lose in a landslide to Trump and probably set the party back a decade or two in the process.

What states do you see Trump winning against Sanders that he couldn't win against Clinton?

New Hampshire, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine, Colorado, and Virginia could all easily flip to Trump and Trump would also win every state he won in 2016 if Sanders got the Democratic nomination.    

This post is so absurd on so many levels.

[Coastal Elitist]

Not surprising. Any authoritarian organization or institution (especially those dominated by males) that insists on obedience, isn't subject to independent oversight and permits ample access to children is going to be filled with perverts.

Acting like this problem is just confined to certain organizations as described above is absurd.

Shut it down. I don't know why this dinosaur is still running amok on young boys' lives. 

[heatcharger]

I mean Silver is unabashedly pro-establishment and pro-Biden, so not really a surprise.

OP, it's time for a title name change.

[Politician]

Georgia, unless Sanders somehow wins the Democratic nomination.

This is a 277 EV Biden victory and probably his path of least resistance, unless I’m underestimating him in MI:

[Sestak]

I mean Silver is unabashedly pro-establishment and pro-Biden, so not really a surprise.

OP, it's time for a title name change.

I'm the OP, so...good luck?

[S019]

Bevin loses by 3 points.

Lol ! What a stupid question

What do you mean a stupid question.

I think Ky. Democrats can take Barr's seat.

McConnell has to go.

Democrats should be investing in KY, MS, GA, TX, ME, IA, MI, NH.

There is no reason why Democrats should skip KY

Chandler, Edelen, Abramson, Gray would be good candidates.

I say Chandler beats McConnell 51-49

Barrasso becomes the next Senate GOP Leader, Blunt retires in 2022, Thune eyes a '24 presidential bid

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) will be running for another term, after winning in 1984, 1990, 1996, 2002, 2008 and 2014.

McConnell is one of the most divisive American politicians in history. A master tactician and mind-gamer, he has ruthlessly played American politics in a masterful game of pushing a conservative agenda through.

I think McConnell can lose in November 2020----to Ben Chandler or Adam Edelen.

Which counties do Kentucky Democrats need to win?

LOL.

This is a bronz thread

Baby Beshear can beat Bevin this November. Chandler can beat McConnell. Explain why he can't.

[Sorenroy]

I see moral equivalency. If turn on TV and see white neo-nazis I shake my head, if I change the channel and see black panthers, I shake my head.

I understand President Trump's viewpoint, and there is moral equivalency.

[PragmaticPopulist]

A Baltimore white ethnic moderate Democrat in the mold of an O'Malley-Biden? Too white, too centrist for the Mosby-AOC-DeRay ascendant left base.

[Politician]

I propose we rename this thread.

Tilt R.  I'd go into it expecting Trump +2ish if the economy stays this strong. 

Where exactly do you see these votes coming from? Trump would have to win Florida and Georgia between 5 and 7 minimum and Texas by 11 minimum and win MI, OH, WI, and possibly PA by upper single digits at minimum.

Well when I think of it not that impossible but very unlikely.

Primarily from big improvement in the North and with Northern retirees.  Think only losing NY by like 12 without an opponent who is also "from" NY this time and winning Florida by 5 or so.  He probably doesn't improve that much in PA, but I could see him winning WI and MI (which are pretty big) by 5 or so and getting an Indiana style margin out of Ohio.  Also throw perhaps another 1-4% in the swath of Upper South/Appalachian states that were already blowouts for him last time.  Then add in most of the 2016 McMullin votes.  And I do think there could be a modest improvement in CA or at least that it doesn't get any worse for him there.

The trouble is that TX is likely going to get tighter.  GA and maybe NC too, but he could counter that with a significantly expanded margin in FL.

In short, if he pulls it off, he's going to do it by threading the needle in the Northeast and improving significantly more than nationwide in the big and medium-size Midwest states.  If he does substantially better in NY with the full favorite son effect, he doesn't need the entire Midwest to vote like OH.