Bold Predictions: September Edition (user search)
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  Bold Predictions: September Edition (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bold Predictions: September Edition  (Read 3622 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« on: September 22, 2018, 02:07:03 PM »

Paul Davis wins.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2018, 02:46:44 PM »

The midterm has presidential turnout.
It is a complete repudiation of 2016.
Donald Trump is left so badly injured from the election that he begins to have episodes of severe paranoia and begins firing people fast.  This only makes him seem more unstable.  By mid-2019, a large majority of the country wants him gone - before 2021.

Does this imply a senate flip?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2018, 06:56:57 PM »

-NJ-05 is the only district in NJ to flip. This is because Menendez's campaign tanks in the last couple weeks, and he only wins by a single percentage point
-At least one Democrat announces their presidential campaign on Election Day.
-CT-05 is the only district Republicans win in New England
-Ojeda runs ahead of Manchin
-A Cruz sex tape drops in October, causing him to lose by more than Heller
-Republicans are massacred in NC. The 2nd, 7th, 9th, and 13th districts flip, and it takes a while to call the 11th for Mark Meadows. The lower house of the legislature flips, and Republicans hold the upper house by razor thin margins.
-Comstock, Brat, and Taylor all lose, but Brat falls the hardest.
-Donnelly performs best of the 5 Democrats in states Trump won by more than 10 points
-Gretchen Whitmer wins more total votes than JB Pritzker
-Nunes loses, but Duncan Hunter and Chris Collins survive.
-3 Kansas districts flip
-Democrats win GA-GOV, GA-LG, GA-AG, GA-SOS without runoffs

Dang that’s bold!

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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2018, 08:48:30 PM »

My updated house guess as of today:

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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2018, 07:53:02 PM »

Anotha one, Manchin will lose.
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