NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:

[Strong Candidate]

I think Miller seems to be heading for a double-digit lead. Not at all a comfortable margin for a district that Trump won by 49 points, but forcing Republicans to invest here in the first place is great. Less money to go to around for other districts like VA-02 and VA-07, where they might be caught flat-footed.

But, I was told that Ojeda would win by double-digits and the race was Lean D because Ojeda was so #populist and a June poll showed him leading. Anyway, here's why Bevin is an underdog in 2019.

[Rhenna]

I want OH-01, MI-08, MI-11, WI-01, and MN-01 if they're doing the midwest right now.

[IceSpear]

I think Miller seems to be heading for a double-digit lead. Not at all a comfortable margin for a district that Trump won by 49 points, but forcing Republicans to invest here in the first place is great. Less money to go to around for other districts like VA-02 and VA-07, where they might be caught flat-footed.

But, I was told that Ojeda would win by double-digits and the race was Lean D because Ojeda was so #populist and a June poll showed him leading. Anyway, here's why Bevin is an underdog in 2019.

LOL

Told you guys not rely on the #populist rural districts. They'll stab you in the back every time the second some black guys in the NFL kneel. Focus on the burbstompings like VA-10, PA-17, and newcomer MN-03.

Racist WV Hicks will not vote for Ojeda even though he seems like a "good fit", as he is a member of the anti-white hate group (Democratic Party.)

[Skye]

Funny how, so far, Ojeda is losing his district by the widest margin of the regions.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Their WV-03 poll shows about a tie in party registration even though Democrats lead heavily in the area in that statistic.

Edit: I was confused. I was looking at the Party field and did not notice that there was a separate field for Party Registration.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

I think Miller seems to be heading for a double-digit lead. Not at all a comfortable margin for a district that Trump won by 49 points, but forcing Republicans to invest here in the first place is great. Less money to go to around for other districts like VA-02 and VA-07, where they might be caught flat-footed.

But, I was told that Ojeda would win by double-digits and the race was Lean D because Ojeda was so #populist and a June poll showed him leading. Anyway, here's why Bevin is an underdog in 2019.

LOL

Told you guys not rely on the #populist rural districts. They'll stab you in the back every time the second some black guys in the NFL kneel. Focus on the burbstompings like VA-10, PA-17, and newcomer MN-03.

Racist WV Hicks will not vote for Ojeda even though he seems like a "good fit", as he is a member of the anti-white hate group (Democratic Party.)

...and the rightward economic shift of the party continues. It won't surprise me if Dems become the party of the 1% soon.

[Xing]

I think Miller seems to be heading for a double-digit lead. Not at all a comfortable margin for a district that Trump won by 49 points, but forcing Republicans to invest here in the first place is great. Less money to go to around for other districts like VA-02 and VA-07, where they might be caught flat-footed.

But, I was told that Ojeda would win by double-digits and the race was Lean D because Ojeda was so #populist and a June poll showed him leading. Anyway, here's why Bevin is an underdog in 2019.

LOL

Told you guys not rely on the #populist rural districts. They'll stab you in the back every time the second some black guys in the NFL kneel. Focus on the burbstompings like VA-10, PA-17, and newcomer MN-03.

Racist WV Hicks will not vote for Ojeda even though he seems like a "good fit", as he is a member of the anti-white hate group (Democratic Party.)

But WV is a Democratic state at heart, and would totally have gone for Hillary in 2016 if only elitists living in their ivory towers like you had been nicer to WWC Populists in WV.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This can't bode well for Manchin.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Nice to see Dems reaping what they sow for disrespecting the rurals. Hope this is a good wake-up call for them to drop the unneeded cultural battles that the 1% likes and go back to their roots.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This can't bode well for Manchin.

Jesus Christ, he’s polling 9 points ahead of his opponent in a state that gives Trump a 61% approval rating. He won this district by 49 points and if Ojeda loses it will not be by more than 8. Chill out.

[IceSpear]

I think Miller seems to be heading for a double-digit lead. Not at all a comfortable margin for a district that Trump won by 49 points, but forcing Republicans to invest here in the first place is great. Less money to go to around for other districts like VA-02 and VA-07, where they might be caught flat-footed.

But, I was told that Ojeda would win by double-digits and the race was Lean D because Ojeda was so #populist and a June poll showed him leading. Anyway, here's why Bevin is an underdog in 2019.

LOL

Told you guys not rely on the #populist rural districts. They'll stab you in the back every time the second some black guys in the NFL kneel. Focus on the burbstompings like VA-10, PA-17, and newcomer MN-03.

Racist WV Hicks will not vote for Ojeda even though he seems like a "good fit", as he is a member of the anti-white hate group (Democratic Party.)

...and the rightward economic shift of the party continues. It won't surprise me if Dems become the party of the 1% soon.

If that did happen, blame the rural #populists for voting based on black people kneeling or where transgender people take a piss rather than on any substantive economic policy.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

This can't bode well for Manchin.

Jesus Christ, he’s polling 9 points ahead of his opponent in a state that gives Trump a 61% approval rating. He won this district by 49 points and if Ojeda loses it will not be by more than 8. Chill out.

[henster]

Ojeda should've just ran for Governor, even if he wins the House seat the seat will probably be gone after 2020.

[Xing]

From a pragmatic perspective, why shouldn't liberals and progressives prefer to have Phillips in the House as opposed to Ojeda? Ojeda would probably vote with Trump 50-60% of the time.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This can't bode well for Manchin.

Jesus Christ, he’s polling 9 points ahead of his opponent in a state that gives Trump a 61% approval rating. He won this district by 49 points and if Ojeda loses it will not be by more than 8. Chill out.

I want to believe I want to believe... but some smart people here are saying that Manchin won't do hardly any better than Ojeda in WV 3rd.

[IceSpear]

Nice to see Dems reaping what they sow for disrespecting the rurals. Hope this is a good wake-up call for them to drop the unneeded cultural battles that the 1% likes and go back to their roots.

Except it's the GOP that brings up the unneeded cultural battles to keep the racist and bigoted hick rubes in their column. Works like a charm.

[BBD]

According to certain sources, Ojeda's television ads will be hitting the airwaves starting tomorrow. Buckle your seat belts!

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

From a pragmatic perspective, why shouldn't liberals and progressives prefer to have Phillips in the House as opposed to Ojeda? Ojeda would probably vote with Trump 50-60% of the time.

Obviously. Ojeda doesnt support m4a. Ojeda talks the talk but doesn’t walk the walk. The left needs to investigate every candidate to make sure they really mean what they say.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

According to certain sources, Ojeda's television ads will be hitting the airwaves starting tomorrow. Buckle your seat belts!

Good idea, live look at Ojeda campaign

[Jeppe]

Gender gap in polls so far,

CA-49: 19 (10/-9)
KY-03: 10 (8/-10)
IL-06: 20 (9/-11)
IL-12: 1 (-1, 0)
MN-03: 31 (25/-6)
MN-08: 21 (12/-9)
WV-03: 40 (13/-27)

West Virginia's gender gap is crazy, while IL-12's gender gap is also crazy, but in a different manner (Democrat doing better with men than women).

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It's time to cut WV loose, and wish our candidates luck. Love ya Manchin, but for the good of the party and country, let's redirect all the party efforts and resources planned for Manchin to help put McCaskill and maybe another one or two over the top.

[tmthforu94]

TM has said for a while that Carol Miller will win comfortably, possibly by double-digits. Trump is going to do a lot of campaigning and he's going to focus on states he is popular, he'll be making multiple trips to West Virginia and will help drag her across the finish line.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Polite request: can we limit this thread to discussing these live polls and take the candidate merit discussions to one of the other 5,329 threads that they're already in?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It's time to cut WV loose, and wish our candidates luck. Love ya Manchin, but for the good of the party and country, let's redirect all the party efforts and resources planned for Manchin to help put McCaskill and maybe another one or two over the top.

Stop.

[ON Progressive]

It's time to cut WV loose, and wish our candidates luck. Love ya Manchin, but for the good of the party and country, let's redirect all the party efforts and resources planned for Manchin to help put McCaskill and maybe another one or two over the top.

And...onto ignore you go.