TX-SEN Civiqs: O'Rourke +1

[Ebsy]

Civiqs national numbers has had Democrats essentially stuck at +6 in the GCB for months so I am not sure I would describe their methodology as overly favorable towards Democrats.

[Politician]

O'Rourke +1: "Junk poll, Texas polls always overestimate Dems, this pollster is biased, Texas is too inelastic for O'Rourke to win"

Hawley +1: "McCaskill is Dead on arrival, Democratd have no chance in Missouri ever, Lean/Likely R"

[Dr. Arch]

*Spits Coffee*

[96FJV]

I don't care if this is a "junk poll". I want nothing more than Teddy to lose.

[IceSpear]

Is there any actual data for this poll, or will it remain confined to a single screenshot on a Daily Kos tweet?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't care if this is a "junk poll". I want nothing more than Teddy to lose.

It's not a junk poll, it a Democratic wave. Democratic incubents can lose, but control of Congress, is at stake. And Ted Cruz will lose.

[Canis]

BETO!

He prob wont win but if he hits 48% that will be amazing

[ElectionsGuy]

O'Rourke +1: "Junk poll, Texas polls always overestimate Dems, this pollster is biased, Texas is too inelastic for O'Rourke to win"

Hawley +1: "McCaskill is Dead on arrival, Democratd have no chance in Missouri ever, Lean/Likely R"

This is an imaginary fallacy. Cruz has had a consistent and stubborn lead of 4-8% in all the Texas polls except this one but in Missouri all the polls are within 4 points on either side.

[Greatblueheron]

This poll is obviously junk. If Democrats were smart they’d focus on defending their FL, WV, ND, IN, MO, and MT seats, and flipping the NV and AZ seats, instead of wasting resources on a long shot campaign in Texas.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Dems have a real shot at taking TX

[TarHeelDem]

NUT

In all seriousness I knew this was coming sometime soon. Curious when the race will reach Tilt status. Probably not too long now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Only if Andrew White was on top of the ticket for governor, there will be plenty of Democratic voters would be energized to vote for Beto, Dems are stuck with Valdez. But, Beto can still win.

[Badger]

Is there any actual data for this poll, or will it remain confined to a single screenshot on a Daily Kos tweet?

[Rookie Yinzer]

This poll is obviously junk. If Democrats were smart they’d focus on defending their FL, WV, ND, IN, MO, and MT seats, and flipping the NV and AZ seats, instead of wasting resources on a long shot campaign in Texas.

But who said the national party planned to use resources here? He's raising enough money to not even need them tbh.

[MT Treasurer]

When it comes to this race many people are definitely going to have egg on their faces on Nov. 6, I just don’t know which side.

[Sir Mohamed]

I WANT TO BELIEVE.

Winning a senate race in TX is still a long shot despite Cruz' weakness, but I would like to see more polls as we move closer to election day. If you ask me, Beto has about a 20% chance to win at this moment. He needs high turnout, especially among young people, ramp up margins in the cities and gain ground in the suburbs, where Hillary lost by less than 10 points.

Too bad they didn't poll the gov. race for a comparison.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Is there any actual data for this poll, or will it remain confined to a single screenshot on a Daily Kos tweet?

I've done quite a bit of looking for something to back this up, but without success.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Even Cruz himself knows he's in trouble.

SHHHHH we want Lyin' Ted to think he can't possibly lose and keep phoning it in.

[IceSpear]

Is there any actual data for this poll, or will it remain confined to a single screenshot on a Daily Kos tweet?

I've done quite a bit of looking for something to back this up, but without success.

Yeah, it's telling how many people here will (rightfully) pick apart Gravis, yet then cream their pants over a poll that has literally has no data to speak of just because it shows a result they like.

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, it's telling how many people here will (rightfully) pick apart Gravis when they don’t like the results, yet then cream their pants over a poll that has literally has no data to speak of just because it shows a result they like.

Ftfy, but agreed on the rest of your comment.

[Skye]

Is there any actual data for this poll, or will it remain confined to a single screenshot on a Daily Kos tweet?

I've done quite a bit of looking for something to back this up, but without success.

Yeah, it's telling how many people here will (rightfully) pick apart Gravis, yet then cream their pants over a poll that has literally has no data to speak of just because it shows a result they like.

What are you talking about, people here like to conveniently ignore Gravis is trash when they show a result they like.

EDIT: Damn, IndyRep beat me to it.

[Arkansas Yankee]

I Perry would have primaried Cruz.

Cruz’s primary campaign in Iowa was just horrid.  His use of religion was beyond the pale.

My wife and I would only vote for him to keep the Senate.  I guess less partisan Republican and GOP leaning Independents could take him down. 

I guess exchanging Scott for Cruz, if we keep the Senate could be survivable.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I Perry would have primaried Cruz.

Cruz’s primary campaign in Iowa was just horrid.  His use of religion was beyond the pale.

My wife and I would only vote for him to keep the Senate.  I guess less partisan Republican and GOP leaning Independents could take him down. 

I guess exchanging Scott for Cruz, if we keep the Senate could be survivable.

I would take that deal.

[Arkansas Yankee]

I Perry would have primaried Cruz.

Cruz’s primary campaign in Iowa was just horrid.  His use of religion was beyond the pale.

My wife and I would only vote for him to keep the Senate.  I guess less partisan Republican and GOP leaning Independents could take him down. 

I guess exchanging Scott for Cruz, if we keep the Senate could be survivable.

I would take that deal.

Being from Texas, I guess you would.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I Perry would have primaried Cruz.

Cruz’s primary campaign in Iowa was just horrid.  His use of religion was beyond the pale.

My wife and I would only vote for him to keep the Senate.  I guess less partisan Republican and GOP leaning Independents could take him down. 

I guess exchanging Scott for Cruz, if we keep the Senate could be survivable.

I would take that deal.

Being from Texas, I guess you would.

Lol yeah.