Constituencies of a parliamentary US
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Author Topic: Constituencies of a parliamentary US  (Read 7576 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #125 on: December 18, 2021, 08:52:29 PM »


Jonesboro 75-23 Trump R+27
Conway 72-25 Trump R+26
Ouachita-Fort Smith 71-27 Trump R+24
Ozark 57-40 Trump R+12
Delta-Pine Bluff 56-41 Trump R+8
Little Rock 52-46 Biden D+1

A non-negligible number of districts on the map being outside of deviation forced an extensive redraw which changed all but one constituency - Little Rock. Delta-Pine Bluff gained a few counties, selected as though to maintain its status as a minority influence district. Fort Smith is placed with the Ouachitas in a new Oachita-Fort Smith constituency. Benton and Washington counties are paired together in a new, significantly smaller district than either of them had before. Jonesboro and Conway are separated and anchor their own districts now.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #126 on: December 18, 2021, 09:11:17 PM »
« Edited: December 21, 2021, 08:46:32 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »


Pontcharian 65-33 Biden D+14
Metairie 56-42 Trump R+9
Tangipohoa 72-26 Trump R+26
Acadiana-Houma 66-33 Trump R+18
Baton Rouge 55-44 Biden D+3
Monroe-Marksville 66-33 Trump R+18
Shreveport 56-42 Trump R+9
Acadiana-Lafayette 63-36 Trump R+16
Acadiana-Lake Charles 75-23 Trump R+27

All constituencies are kept the same except for Shreveport and Monroe-Marksville; the latter loses Lincoln County, the former gains it.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #127 on: December 18, 2021, 09:15:00 PM »

And now MIMAL is done.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #128 on: December 18, 2021, 09:42:51 PM »


Fargo 51-46 Trump R+6
Grand Forks 62-35 Trump R+16
Bismarck 73-24 Trump R+28
Minot 76-21 Trump R+31

Grand Forks was underpopulated, which forced changes in the other two rural constituencies. Stursman, LaMouree, and Dickey counties were added, and to compensate, Bismarck gained McLean, Mercer, and Oliver counties. This reflects population gains by the western part of the state in the wake of the shale boom.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #129 on: December 18, 2021, 10:02:14 PM »


2016 president data, as that is the most recent presidential election data DRA has for South Dakota.

Sioux Falls 54-39 Trump
Mitchell 64-30 Trump
Aberdeen 62-32 Trump
Rapid City 66-27 Trump

Aberdeen and Rapid City are unchanged. Sioux Falls is overpopulated and has to lose Lincoln County. In turn, it gains Moody and Brookings counties. Since Brookings County gave its name to the constituency of Brookings, the district is renamed Mitchell, after a centrally located city bigger than all others in the constituency that don't already have a constituency named for it.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #130 on: December 18, 2021, 10:26:17 PM »


Omaha 58-40 Biden D+5
Lincoln-Offutt 50-48 Trump R+5
Kearney 73-25 Trump R+27
Platte 73-26 Trump R+27

Both Omaha and Lincoln-Offutt were overpopulated. Lincoln-Offutt once more was brought within range by replacing Cass County with Saunders County. Cass County was absorbed by Kearney, and the excess population of Omaha was placed in Platte.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #131 on: December 18, 2021, 10:35:23 PM »


Overland Park 55-43 Biden D+4
Lawrence 53-45 Biden EVEN
Emporia 69-29 Trump R+23
Topeka 58-40 Trump R+12
Wichita 55-43 Trump R+10
Liberal-Dodge City 75-23 Trump R+29

All districts are kept the same.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #132 on: December 18, 2021, 10:35:41 PM »

The Midwest is now completed. An update on the partisanship of all the districts will be provided after the South is done - which is only 2 states away.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #133 on: December 21, 2021, 03:10:12 PM »


Tulsa South-Stillwater 71-27 Trump R+25
Tulsa North 51-46 Trump R+7
Ozark-Wagoner 74-24 Trump R+27
Little Dixie 77-22 Trump R+29
Oklahoma City 59-38 Biden D+6
Choctaw 64-34 Trump R+19
Norman 77-21 Trump R+31
Canadian 75-23 Trump R+29

Ozark-Wagoner and Little Dixie remain the same. Population shifts result in a different arrangement for the Oklahoma City metro. Canadian County is no longer part of Canadian constituency, the name is preserved, as it is now after the river instead of the county. The name Choctaw is kept to honor the Choctaw Indian tribe.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #134 on: December 21, 2021, 07:28:00 PM »
« Edited: December 30, 2021, 05:11:36 AM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »


Southeast TX:
Harris East 56-43 Biden D+6
Harris North Central 58-41 Biden D+6
Harris Central 73-26 Biden D+25
Harris South East 54-44 Trump R+7
Harris South 80-19 Biden D+30
Harris North West 60-39 Trump R+15
Harris South West 54-44 Biden D+3
Harris West Central 52-46 Biden D+1
Harris South Central 58-41 Biden D+6
Conroe 67-31 Trump R+22
Galveston 65-33 Trump R+18
Beaumont 67-32 Trump R+18
Brazoria 62-37 Trump R+15
Missouri City 65-34 Biden D+13
Waller 76-23 Trump R+29
Rosenberg 61-37 Trump R+15

Central Texas:
Bryan-College Station 63-35 Trump R+18
Fort Hood 57-41 Trump R+12
Round Rock 52-45 Biden R+1
Austin North 71-27 Biden D+20
Austin South 69-28 Biden D+18
Austin East-Seguin 55-43 Biden D+2
New Braunfels 60-38 Trump R+16

Northeast Texas:
Nacogdoches 75-24 Trump R+28
Texarkana 77-22 Trump R+30
Tyler 73-26 Trump R+26
Waxahachie 70-29 Trump R+25
Collin North 57-42 Trump R+13
Collin South 52-46 Biden R+2
Dallas North East 50-48 Trump R+5
Dallas West 64-34 Biden D+13
Dallas South 81-18 Biden D+31
Dallas Central 69-29 Biden D+18
Dallas North 57-42 Biden D+4
Denton East 51-48 Biden R+3
Denton West 58-40 Trump R+14
Tarrant Central 65-34 Biden D+14
Tarrant West 56-42 Trump R+11
Tarrant South East 56-43 Biden D+2
Tarrant North East 58-40 Trump R+14
Waco 71-27 Trump R+25
Sherman 81-18 Trump R+34

West Texas:
Amarillo 79-20 Trump R+32
Lubbock 70-29 Trump R+24
Permian Basin 75-24 Trump R+27
Hill Country-Abilene 77-21 Trump R+31

South Texas+Toda De La Frontera:
Hill Country-Victoria 73-26 Trump R+26
Corpus Christie 53-46 Trump R+4
Brownsville 55-44 Biden D+9
McAllen 57-42 Biden D+12
Edinburg 56-44 Biden D+10
San Antonio East-Mission 58-40 Biden D+6
San Antonio South 61-38 Biden D+10
San Antonio West 58-41 Biden D+6
Bexar West 57-42 Biden D+5
Laredo 56-43 Biden D+13
El Paso East-Big Bend 59-40 Biden D+11
El Paso West 66-33 Biden D+17

All regions in Texas gained at least one seat. The state went from fifty-one to fifty-eight. None of the constituencies from last time are unchanged; population growth was such so that I chose to work from a blank slate. Mostly. Denton was barely in range for 2 by itself. As happened last time as well, Rockwall was paired with Dallas for 5. Tarrant became populated enough for 4. Collin had enough for 2, as opposed to almost 1.5 last time. One constituency is no longer enough for Montgomery County, and Conroe has to shrink. Population growth also forces the separation of Galveston and Beaumont. Travis County gets a new constituency that has all of the county south of the Colorado River,  and another that takes in white areas north of it; the rest is paired in what is intended to be a minority opportunity seat down the line. Bexar is redrawn to have all its districts be Latino-controlled.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #135 on: December 21, 2021, 08:52:54 PM »
« Edited: December 21, 2021, 08:56:44 PM by Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil »

All districts thus far:
Biden 263
Trump 255

D+ PVI 225
R+ PVI 283
EVEN 10

It is likely Trump never takes the lead in terms of who wins more districts. MT and WY, assuming he sweeps all 4 seats in each, takes him to 263, and then Colorado puts Biden in the lead by a fair margin.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #136 on: December 21, 2021, 09:26:33 PM »


Billings 65-32 Trump R+20
Bozeman-Butte 54-44 Trump R+8
Helena-Missouri 58-40 Trump R+12
Missoula 53-45 Trump R+7
These districts are renewed for the 2020s with no changes.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #137 on: December 21, 2021, 10:09:47 PM »


Cheyenne 59-37 Trump R+15
Casper 73-24 Trump R+28
Gillette 82-16 Trump R+37
Yellowstone-Teton 67-30 Trump R+22

Goshen County moves from Cheyenne to Casper. Otherwise there are no changes.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #138 on: December 21, 2021, 10:23:08 PM »


Anacostia 93-4 Biden D+45
Capitol Hill 92-6 Biden D+43
Georgetown 90-8 Biden D+41
Rock Creek 94-4 Biden D+45

Three precincts (including Navy Yard) are moved from Capitol Hill to Anacostia. The rest of the map is unchanged.

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Pink Panther
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« Reply #139 on: December 21, 2021, 10:44:12 PM »


Anacostia 93-4 Biden D+45
Capitol Hill 92-6 Biden D+43
Georgetown 90-8 Biden D+41
Rock Creek 94-4 Biden D+45

Three precincts (including Navy Yard) are moved from Capitol Hill to Anacostia. The rest of the map is unchanged.

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When Bill Cosby or even the corpse of Robert Byrd could win here. But great stuff, btw.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #140 on: December 21, 2021, 11:16:53 PM »


Anacostia 93-4 Biden D+45
Capitol Hill 92-6 Biden D+43
Georgetown 90-8 Biden D+41
Rock Creek 94-4 Biden D+45

Three precincts (including Navy Yard) are moved from Capitol Hill to Anacostia. The rest of the map is unchanged.

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When Bill Cosby or even the corpse of Robert Byrd could win here. But great stuff, btw.
Thanks for the kind words!
I think there's about 130 or so seats left, including roughly 80 in California.
I plan to translate it all into a map as well.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #141 on: December 22, 2021, 12:13:50 AM »


Pueblo 52-46 Trump R+6
Pikes Peak-High Plains 66-32 Trump R+22
Colorado Springs 48.3-47.7 Biden R+5
Grand Junction 50-47 Trump R+6
Fort Collins 65-33 Biden D+13
Cache la Poudre 52-46 Biden EVEN
Denver North 83-15 Biden D+33
Denver South-Columbine 65-33 Biden D+13
Lakewood 60-37 Biden D+7
Aurora 61-37 Biden D+8
Thornton 57-40 Biden D+5
Highlands Ranch 49-48.5 Biden R+4

CO goes from 10 members to 12. Some effort was made to maintain continuity, but given everything else, it was difficult. No districts are left unchanged. Population growth resulted in, among other things, a new constituency taking in all of Adams County, and also resulted in Pueblo withdrawing from El Paso County.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #142 on: December 22, 2021, 12:21:40 AM »


Santa Fe-Carlsbad 52-46 Biden D+2
Las Cruces 50-48 Biden R+2
Albuquerque 61-37 Biden D+9
Farmington 54-44 Biden D+3

These districts are kept unchanged for the 2020s.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #143 on: December 22, 2021, 12:31:44 AM »


Moscow-Bitterroot 69-28 Trump R+23
Boise 50-46 Trump R+5
Magic Valley-Nampa 68-29 Trump R+23
Pocatello 72-24 Trump R+27

These districts are kept unchanged for the 2020s.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #144 on: December 22, 2021, 01:45:01 AM »


Salt Lake South-Lehi 64-30 Trump, R+22
Salt Lake Central 51-44 Biden D+1
Salt Lake North 67-29 Biden D+19
Utah* 66-27 Trump R+19
Great Salt Lake 64-31 Trump R+19
St. George 74-22 Trump R+30
Davis-Summit 61-33 Trump R+18
*=named for the lake and the county

Utah goes from 6 members to 7. There are now three seats mostly within or entirely within Salt Lake County alone. The Provo constituency has been renamed Utah.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #145 on: December 22, 2021, 03:09:55 AM »


Maricopa:
Chandler-Gilbert 50-48 Trump R+5
Mesa 54-44 Trump R+9
Scottsdale 52-47 Trump EVEN
Pheonix North 54-45 Trump R+8
Pheonix Central 67-32 Biden D+15
Pheonix South 69-30 Biden D+18
Glendale 53-45 Trump R+7
Surprise 58-41 Trump R+11
Yuma-Avondale 52-46 Biden D+2

Outside of Maricopa:
Tucson East 55-44 Biden D+3
Tucson West 65-34 Biden D+15
Navajo 52-47 Biden D+1
Prescott 68-30 Trump R+21
Pinal 59-39 Trump R+12

Arizona gains one member, going from 13 to 14. There are three dedicated Pheonix constituencies, one for just Mesa, and another for almost all of Chandler+Gilbert. The lines in Tucson were redrawn to maximize the Latino % in Tucson West. Navajo and Prescott are unchanged.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #146 on: December 22, 2021, 04:36:43 AM »


Clark-Las Vegas 58-40 Biden D+9
Clark-North Las Vegas 55-43 Biden D+5
Clark-Enterprise 54-44 Biden D+4
Clark-The Strip 55-43 Biden D+5
Reno 51-46 Biden EVEN
Carson City-Humboldt 64-34 Trump R+18

The cores of the constituencies are generally maintained. Where changes have occurred, it has generally been to reduce municipal splits. A new constituency, Clark-Enterprise, is composed of all of Spring Valley, Enterpise, and Summerlin South.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #147 on: December 22, 2021, 04:37:44 AM »

Every state that does not border the Pacific Ocean has been completed.
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Anti-Bothsidesism
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« Reply #148 on: December 22, 2021, 10:30:14 AM »

The images for NM and ID aren't showing up for me.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #149 on: December 22, 2021, 12:27:01 PM »

The images for NM and ID aren't showing up for me.
Are you seeing the words [Image Link]?
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