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October 22, 2020, 06:46:09 AM
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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  SD Anzalone-Liszt-Grove: Noem +4
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Author Topic: SD Anzalone-Liszt-Grove: Noem +4  (Read 2367 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: July 31, 2018, 10:39:08 AM »

Noem (R) 46
Sutton (D) 42

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/592a03416a4963289406b88f/t/5b5fe0028a922d3f43b72932/1533009925897/SUTTON+POLL+SUMMARY+7.30.18.pdf
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2018, 10:58:20 AM »

Noem will obviously win but the margin could be intriguing
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2018, 11:12:45 AM »

Why is this race so competitive? Can somebody explain? Serious question.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2018, 11:16:56 AM »

Why is this race so competitive? Can somebody explain? Serious question.

Billie Sutton is an A-list recruit for the Democrats. His first election was a 58-42 win in 2010 in a very conservative State Senate seat, for perspective of how strong he is.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2018, 11:21:38 AM »

no way
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2016
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2018, 11:22:27 AM »

Democrats getting hysterical because a Democratic Poll shows them within 4 in SD. Triple LOL.
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Galaxie
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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2018, 11:45:03 AM »

Democrats getting hysterical because a Democratic Poll shows them within 4 in SD. Triple LOL.

"hysterical"
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2018, 02:18:09 PM »

Noem is not exactly the sharpest tool in the shed and she has been pretty mediocre as representative. Not surprising that she would be turning in a weak performance.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2018, 02:33:46 PM »

Great news, Billie Sutton is an exceptional candidate, along with S Abrams of GA, Laura Kelly in KS, these can be mild upsets😁
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2018, 02:40:27 PM »

Keep in mind that ALG isn't just "a Democratic pollster"; it was the official pollster for the Obama campaign and one of 3 utilized by the DNC during his presidency. Rarely do you see any public polls from them for this reason, but this is intriguing.
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Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
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« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2018, 03:05:26 PM »

Democratic internal, but it wouldn’t surprise me if this flipped before ND-SEN.
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President Biden
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« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2018, 03:14:44 PM »

Likely R, closer to Lean then Safe. Sutton is a top-tier candidate, and a great fit for his state.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2018, 03:22:47 PM »

Female candidates underperform males, I am going with Billie Sutton
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Mondale
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« Reply #13 on: July 31, 2018, 09:44:13 PM »

But but muh polarization and tRump ushering in a thousand year red state reich in the plains and midwest
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Panda Express
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« Reply #14 on: August 01, 2018, 02:59:47 AM »

Every single gubernatorial race is a tossup. Period.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #15 on: August 01, 2018, 03:14:49 AM »

I WANT TO BELIEVE.

Every single gubernatorial race is a tossup. Period.

Gavin Newsom disapproves.
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Frenchy
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« Reply #16 on: August 01, 2018, 06:31:18 AM »

Is this an internal? If so, I got excited for no reason. If not, I'll downgrade this race from Likely R to Lean R.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: August 01, 2018, 09:04:12 AM »

Is this an internal? If so, I got excited for no reason. If not, I'll downgrade this race from Likely R to Lean R.
.
The GOP is having problems in KS, OK, AZ and TN as well.

Its a femsle v male matchup and Noem is a mediocre rep, thia race along with KS, OK amd AZ can.be interesting. Females sometimes underpoll men. Like Bredeson beating Blackburn.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: August 01, 2018, 04:26:32 PM »

Is this an internal? If so, I got excited for no reason. If not, I'll downgrade this race from Likely R to Lean R.

It's an internal, and a junk one at that. They had Melancon and Vitter tied in late 2010, lol. And that's just off the top of my head, there's probably even worse examples.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: August 01, 2018, 05:16:20 PM »

Is this an internal? If so, I got excited for no reason. If not, I'll downgrade this race from Likely R to Lean R.

It's an internal, and a junk one at that. They had Melancon and Vitter tied in late 2010, lol. And that's just off the top of my head, there's probably even worse examples.

Another case where a male is performing better than a female, this is the case of the Blackburn syndrome. Blackburn is performing below Bredesen and Noem is performing below expectations here. Although, it will be an upset, if Billy Sutton wins.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #20 on: August 01, 2018, 05:44:31 PM »

Is this an internal? If so, I got excited for no reason. If not, I'll downgrade this race from Likely R to Lean R.

It's an internal, and a junk one at that. They had Melancon and Vitter tied in late 2010, lol. And that's just off the top of my head, there's probably even worse examples.

Another case where a male is performing better than a female, this is the case of the Blackburn syndrome. Blackburn is performing below Bredesen and Noem is performing below expectations here. Although, it will be an upset, if Billy Sutton wins.

1. It's spelled Billie.
2. You seem really stuck on this "females underperform" point.
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: August 03, 2018, 09:38:31 AM »

Looks like junk. Sutton may keep this within single digits, but I highly doubt that he comes this close.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: August 03, 2018, 01:06:19 PM »

Looks like junk. Sutton may keep this within single digits, but I highly doubt that he comes this close.

Nah, me thinks that we can have different races vote differrntly than the presidential race😁
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ajc0918
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« Reply #23 on: August 03, 2018, 01:30:44 PM »

Governor Sutton will gerrymander SD into a solid D house seat.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #24 on: August 03, 2018, 01:34:38 PM »

Alot of these small states arent scared to put in GOP or Dem governors as a check on the tax and spend state legislatures, either on tax hikes or tax cuts. Its happening in OR and ME, too.
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