SD Anzalone-Liszt-Grove: Noem +4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news, Billie Sutton is an exceptional candidate, along with S Abrams of GA, Laura Kelly in KS, these can be mild upsets😁

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Female candidates underperform males, I am going with Billie Sutton

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Is this an internal? If so, I got excited for no reason. If not, I'll downgrade this race from Likely R to Lean R.

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The GOP is having problems in KS, OK, AZ and TN as well.

Its a femsle v male matchup and Noem is a mediocre rep, thia race along with KS, OK amd AZ can.be interesting. Females sometimes underpoll men. Like Bredeson beating Blackburn.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Is this an internal? If so, I got excited for no reason. If not, I'll downgrade this race from Likely R to Lean R.

It's an internal, and a junk one at that. They had Melancon and Vitter tied in late 2010, lol. And that's just off the top of my head, there's probably even worse examples.

Another case where a male is performing better than a female, this is the case of the Blackburn syndrome. Blackburn is performing below Bredesen and Noem is performing below expectations here. Although, it will be an upset, if Billy Sutton wins.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Looks like junk. Sutton may keep this within single digits, but I highly doubt that he comes this close.

Nah, me thinks that we can have different races vote differrntly than the presidential race😁

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Alot of these small states arent scared to put in GOP or Dem governors as a check on the tax and spend state legislatures, either on tax hikes or tax cuts. Its happening in OR and ME, too.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Alot of these small states arent scared to put in GOP or Dem governors as a check on the tax and spend state legislatures, either on tax hikes or tax cuts. Its happening in OR and ME, too.

SD has not elected a democratic governor since 1974 - longest streak of one party control of the governor's mansion of any state.

In this environment, its not impossible😁

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kent Conrad and Byron Dorgan and Tim Johnson were all elected to Dakotas. The left in the Dakotas arent liberal, they are more pragmatic in their approach. Sutton is that type of Dem and so is Heidi, thats why polls are tight

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Conventional wisdom has K.Noem winning this race, but its a lean Democratic year, and Sutton, being in a wheelchair helps him in this race.