The Bagel23/X Marks the Spot Cellar of Exquisitely Aged Content

[IceSpear]

No need to wait for election day for this one.

Arizona: McSally - 52% | Sinema - 48%
California: Feinstein - 65% | de Leon - 35%
Connecticut: Murphy - 65% | Corey - 35%
Delaware: Carper - 65% | Arlett - 35%
Florida: Scott - 52% | Nelson - 48%
Hawaii: Hirono - 66% | Curtis - 34%
Indiana: Braun - 53% | Donnelly - 47%
Maine: King - 54% | Brakey - 39% | Ringelstein - 7%
Maryland: Cardin - 65% | Campbell - 29%
Massachusetts: Warren - 60% | Diehl - 34% | Ayyadurai - 6%
Michigan: Stabenow - 54% | James - 46%
Minnesota (1): Klobuchar - 58% | Newberger - 42%
Minnesota (2): Housley 50% | Smith - 50%
Mississippi (1): Wicker - 60% | Baria - 40%
Mississippi (2): Hyde-Smith - 50% | Espy - 30% | McDaniel - 18%
Missouri: Hawley - 55% | McCaskill 45%
Montana:  Rosendale - 52% | Tester 47%
Nebraska: Fischer - 62% | Raybould - 38%
Nevada: Heller - 54% | Rosen - 46%
New Jersey: Menendez - 49% | Hugin - 48%
New Mexico: Heinrich - 48% | Rich - 40% | Johnson - 11%
New York: Gillibrand - 69% | Farley - 31%
North Dakota: Cramer - 62% | Heitkamp - 38%
Ohio: Brown - 52% | Renacci - 48%
Pennsylvania: Casey - 53% | Barletta - 47%
Rhode Island: Whitehouse - 67% | Flanders - 32%
Tennessee: Blackburn - 58% | Bredesen - 42%
Texas: Cruz - 60% | O'Rourke - 40%
Utah: Romney - 66% | Wilson - 28%
Vermont: Sanders - 70% | Zupan - 28%
Virginia: Kaine - 53% | Stewart - 46%
Washington: Cantwell - 58% | Hutchinson - 40%
West Virginia: Manchin - 48% | Morrisey - 47%
Wisconsin: Vukmir 48% | Baldwin 48%
Wyoming: Barrasso - 70% | Trauner - 28%

[ON Progressive]

Won't even have to wait for Election Day on these NM-Gov takes:

The polling for this race has continually showed this race as closer than it should be. I blame this on Lujan-Grisham being a blank slate who stands for nothing.

This’ll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Won’t be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.

Frankly, far closer than I would expect. This will be a close race.

Pearce is really popular, and Grisham is the definition of unknown meh generic dem candidate #349,820. Still, go Grisham!

[Xing]

The polls are looking really strong for Democrats so far tonight.  Small leads for Allred and McBath are holding, Delgado has rapidly pulled ahead of Faso, and the large early leads for Brat, Barr, and Tenney have all been cut to 3 points are less.  Dems are closing strong!

Sorry, that won't last. Handel and Sessions will be leading by decent margins once the polls are finished.

We'll be getting many more posts from him, as well as the other R cheerleaders on the Congressional board.

[IceSpear]

The polls are looking really strong for Democrats so far tonight.  Small leads for Allred and McBath are holding, Delgado has rapidly pulled ahead of Faso, and the large early leads for Brat, Barr, and Tenney have all been cut to 3 points are less.  Dems are closing strong!

Sorry, that won't last. Handel and Sessions will be leading by decent margins once the polls are finished.

We'll be getting many more posts from him, as well as the other R cheerleaders on the Congressional board.

Don't bother, he clearly just wants the attention.

[Pericles]

Putting stuff in here before Election Dy is obnoxious and stupid. Savor the victory when it's called. If need be use the wulfric well rather than distorting this thread and its purpose.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Thread about which races one thought would produce the largest margin of victory while Sabato predicted the race incorrectly:

I'm assuming that Tossups don't count here? Anyway:

FL-26 (why does he have this at Lean R? lol)
IL-14
UT-04
VA-02

are all clear contenders. I think Dems win all four of them.

3 our of 4 races picked by this user ended up being moved from Lean R to Lean D at the last day.

[Politician]

West Virginia: Tossup (considering Rahall got crushed but Justice is winning by double-digits, who the hell knows)

Justice will lose.

[Yellowhammer]

Gillum also losing in this poll.

#trash

Hawleys gonna lose. Lmao

Nelson wins by 4-5. This'll be one race we all look back on and laugh about after the election.

Woo!

If McCaskill is +2 in a Rasmussen poll, she must be winning in a landslide.

We should all called her Landslide McCaskill from now on.

[Technocracy Timmy]

The Bredesen cheerleaders in this thread have gotten so desperate they’re now citing supposed insider information from a Washington post opinion columnist on Twitter.

Imagine having a brain that powerful.

Not to mention two recent polls have the race tied and outside groups and the GOP are still spending on this race AND Trump is going today? Sure, that really sounds like Blackburn is up by 9.

Are you seriously trying to reason with him? Bredesen could be leading by 10 and he would still call this Safe R based on his ridiculous assumptions about the Republican base.

[IceSpear]

On Tennessee:

LOL. RIP IceSpear. If two polls show this race tied, it isn't really "Safe R" anymore, huh?

On Nevada:

Anyway, Heller won't win by 7, but this is a tossup that both sides have a decent chance of winning. LOL at IceSpear though.

On IA-04:

Steve King only up one point.

I want to believe!

IceSpear and Mizzoulian told me that all Republicans in IA-04 are evil, racist Steve King-loving deplorables, though!

On Tennessee/Florida:

But IceSpear told me Scott and Bredesen couldn't win at the same time!

On Alaska:

But IceSpear told me this race was Safe R!

On Oklahoma:

Kevin Stitt Drew Edmondson has won the race to be the next governor of Oklahoma. Of course, he'll need to dispense with the token opposition first.

On WI-01, from Politician (thread is locked):

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Basically everything I predicted was spot on, LMAO. Very bad night for my friend Politician. Maybe it wasn't the brightest idea to mock all my predictions?

[Virginiá]

Imagine if Atlas had a trending list and "But IceSpear said" was up on it several days a week

[Hammy]

2008

I'll take my loss here ("Dems gain most house seats since" thread)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

BOLD prediction: Comstock wins in a squeaker.

Womp womp.

[Alabama_Indy10]

BOLD prediction: Comstock wins in a squeaker.

Womp womp.

I was being BOLD. But I was off quite a bit on that lol

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

BOLD prediction: Comstock wins in a squeaker.

Womp womp.

I was being BOLD. But I was off quite a bit on that lol

That was beyond bold buddy lol.

[Politician]

*snip*

The OK post was a joke lol, and I was actually right on IA04, King greatly underperformed and only won by 3 when you predicted he would win by 20.

[Politician]

LOL, RIP libertpaulian and Politician! Turns out Granite Staters will choose the White woman with the (D) next to her name over the male member of the hate group (R). Who would have thought? NH elections are so predictable.

Yeah, and Sununu isn’t winning New Hampshire males by 23 points. Stick a fork in him, he’s done.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Oh my gosh so many of my quotes would fit here lol

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Yeah, and Sununu isn’t winning New Hampshire males by 23 points. Stick a fork in him, he’s done.

I wonder what made him underestimate the power of angry NH men?

[Politician]

LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

[IceSpear]

*snip*

The OK post was a joke lol, and I was actually right on IA04, King greatly underperformed and only won by 3 when you predicted he would win by 20.

Huh? I never said he'd win by 20. Granted, I did expect him to win by more than he actually did.

[Politician]

lmao if Handel survived Jon Ossof, his multimillion dollar campaign, and low GOP turnout due to it being a special election, she'll survive Lucy McBath - especially given the fact that GOP turnout will inherently be higher due to it being a general election date

[Technocracy Timmy]

lmao if Handel survived Jon Ossof, his multimillion dollar campaign, and low GOP turnout due to it being a special election, she'll survive Lucy McBath - especially given the fact that GOP turnout will inherently be higher due to it being a general election date

Jon Ossoff looks like such a weenie now in hindsight.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Based on the StarTrib comments, Ellison is in trouble. We'll see if my patented online comments methodology of prediction beats this poll in BRTD's backyard.

[Politician]

You'll be calling Mr. Hugin Senator Hugin this January